Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Re: XAO Analysis

Aussiest, Squawk reads the results to auctions out live, you can also see them if you pay for Reuters or Bloomberg.

This is some very odd price action lately, particularly the USD/equities correlatioin. After the fed, USD rallied (obviously as no more T buying and hence, better rate differentials) with equities remaining choppy, but then USD came off again. Have a pretty hedged portfolio now, so will just ride this one out.

Broadway, will get back to you on the data tonight.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Aussiest, Squawk reads the results to auctions out live, you can also see them if you pay for Reuters or Bloomberg.

This is some very odd price action lately, particularly the USD/equities correlatioin. After the fed, USD rallied with equities remaining choppy, but then USD came off again. Obviously as no more T buying and hence, better rate differentials.

Broadway, will get back to you on the data tonight.

Thanks MRC :) :xyxthumbs

That all sounds like a foreign language to me, but gives me more to research!
 
Re: XAO Analysis

yeh i thought the correlation had changed aswell MRC, but with USD wekaness today and USD futures pointing up heavily, the correlation seems to have resumed... I have a mix of 2 shorts and one long on the NYSE atm (although 2 are at breakeven) , I think we will see some clarity in September
 
Re: XAO Analysis

I think we will see some clarity in September

Yes, I can't wait until the end of Northern Hemisphere summer, things are getting very confused and messed up at the moment.

Yes, it's clear the runner I expected probably won't happen immediately, but still want the position, so hedging it with an asset class that will perform well in both inflationary/risk trade environments.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

2400 any moment now.. any moment..

running_of_the_bulls.jpg

Amazing that we are starting a new leg up again.

Doom and gloom bears and those calling for a 'depression for a decade' have rapidly gone into hibernation, licking wounds on the way.

If I was a fund manager that was waiting for a decent pullback to get on, I would be steaming.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Pity... Easy come easy go?
Preservation of capital more important than being right or making bucketloads on a call.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Preservation of capital more important than being right or making bucketloads on a call.

Preservation of capital I agree.
But trading in anticipation of both profit and preservation may be just as important.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Who's game for a short?

I can tell you my finger is on the the sell button. It's like that card game "spoons" where the last person to grab the spoon loses, but a person who grabs a spoon for no reason also loses...
 
Re: XAO Analysis

ill be shorting US market in coming days or weeks. Im very unconvinced with this rally.

Meaning, you should all go long and make some cash :)
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Fair way to fill to next resistance at ~4600. Volume yesterday was 2nd largest ever..

our banks are starting to reach P/E of 16x .. unless the insto's are going to bid them up into the 20's on expectation of a big profit increase next year.. I think that has to slow down soon.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Yeah that sucks, making lots in 1 FY, then losing it in the next.

Surely there must be some sort of dipensation if he can show the ATO what has become of his situation, anyway feel sorry for the guy to wreck an account in such a public way, another reason i prefer keep my positions to myself, ego and trading aren't a good mix.
 
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