Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Re: XAO Analysis

Chop!. Mmmmmm....... maybe the script is still being written..... genuine panic selling today......please put me back in the bears den :eek:. Is there gonna be a bounce? Starting now?
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Wayne.

Testing Fridays low as per script.
XJO Friday 5619
Today 5622

I'll get on to it!
Expect results after lunch.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

The script is getting stretched out due to the US Holiday.
I believe the script writers have it penciled in for tomorrow just before the US open.

Which is going to hurt me I'm getting the Cucumber Rumba from swing longs.

:whip
 
Re: XAO Analysis

The script is getting stretched out due to the US Holiday.
I believe the script writers have it penciled in for tomorrow just before the US open.

Which is going to hurt me I'm getting the Cucumber Rumba from swing longs.

:whip

Ahhhhhhhhhhhh!

The problem is simple.

All script writers are on Strike!

One way to get attention just cut a few 100 billion out of the economy!
 
Re: XAO Analysis

I'm waiting for the instos to go for lunch , they may come back merrier today with any luck , the US closure creates a bit of a blackhole for the game ones , so let's hope they have one or two , too many Stellas at lunch .

When the US circus starts again , we may get an idea just how low we can go.
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

I think we should be alright for now. It's back up to around the 5700 mark.

Just broke intraday low now. 35-40 mins left to go back above previous low, I doubt it. Looks like we have a "confirmed" low breakout.

At least my gold hasn't moved a tid. hehe Though my gold shares did suffer a little bit.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Complete nonsense? How you can say that astounds me. We rallied 120 points from Friday's low based on an expected big rally that night on the DOW, which not only did not eventuate (meaning we could/should give that rally back), but it actually fell a further 0.5%. Based on these figures, saying the possibility of a 100+ point drop on our market Monday is complete nonsense is ridiculous. Also, I don't understand :confused: how your comment about no US trading Monday night will prevent our market from having the losses it should have (based on what happened Friday night) on Monday. If anything it may temporarily prevent any further losses Tuesday.

Errr...ummmmm.....yes, complete nonsense "chops a must":D;)
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Yes, but as I stated before MFP; that is far too logical. You are placing intellect on the market itself, as if it is an entity that needs to now 'make up' for losses...

(Once again, to repeat myself; this is nonsensical logic. By that argument, we're due in for some gains from the rallies we missed over the last 11 days!)

It does not work that way, selling is not some kind of exact science, where suddenly people sell because they should have on Friday. They aren't going to suddenly stop selling because we've now equalized with the Dow, either. They sell from their own interpretations of news, & their own fears of what the dow will do next.

As stated; these buyers / sellers, do not need to worry about what the Dow will do Monday night, because it's closed. This means there will be a lot less fear in the markets; & we may see some fundamental buying, or technical buying based on some expected rally :p: - especially on the resources front.

No, it doesn't work that way. Of course people won't suddenly sell because they should have on Friday. And yes, there will be a lot less fear in the markets today because the US market is closed tonight, so we may see some fundamental buying ...LOL (PS XJO -122.30 as I write, just off intraday low)
:D:D;);)
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Make that XJO -141.60 with 6 mins to go, breaking Friday's low and taking out the Mar 07 and Aug 07 closing lows.:D
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Make that XJO -141.60 with 6 mins to go, breaking Friday's low and taking out the Mar 07 and Aug 07 closing lows.:D

Yep. Who would have thunk it?

Clearly it was Asia dragging us down today though. With RIO down 8%, BNB >10% and CBA down 5%, that is some serious weight.

100 points just seemed like such an arbitrary figure. Why not 150? That's where all the swing lows were.

And in my opinion, unless something is pulled out, we are in serious crash trouble for tomorrow, tomorrow night and Wednesday. Serious serious trouble. So it may be wise to cool it with those smilies and things. Even though I ended the day short, and stand to gain a lot if that does pan out, people will be ruined by this. And that's something I think you should be aware of and respectful of, because I don't think you are. What's playing out is just not good for anyone. And even though I stand to gain a lot here, I am mindful of what damage is potentially going to be done...:2twocents
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Make that XJO -141.60 with 6 mins to go, breaking Friday's low and taking out the Mar 07 and Aug 07 closing lows.:D

Arhhhh.... this is why you are sooo happy.....

I'm completely out of the market and loving watching this slaughter unfold, so for me this is not only positive thinking, but I would say realistic thinking.:D
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Yep. Who would have thunk it?

Clearly it was Asia dragging us down today though. With RIO down 8%, BNB >10% and CBA down 5%, that is some serious weight.

100 points just seemed like such an arbitrary figure. Why not 150? That's where all the swing lows were.

And in my opinion, unless something is pulled out, we are in serious crash trouble for tomorrow, tomorrow night and Wednesday. Serious serious trouble. So it may be wise to cool it with those smilies and things. Even though I ended the day short, and stand to gain a lot if that does pan out, people will be ruined by this. And that's something I think you should be aware of and respectful of, because I don't think you are. What's playing out is just not good for anyone. And even though I stand to gain a lot here, I am mindful of what damage is potentially going to be done...:2twocents

OK I have been a bit of a smarty pants I agree, I apologise if i'm getting up people's nose. But I too have been hurt by the recent falls, it's just that i'm so relieved at my decision to get out a couple of weeks ago and save myself a fortune. Good luck to everyone over coming days and weeks.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

And in my opinion, unless something is pulled out, we are in serious crash trouble for tomorrow, tomorrow night and Wednesday. Serious serious trouble. So it may be wise to cool it with those smilies and things. Even though I ended the day short, and stand to gain a lot if that does pan out, people will be ruined by this. And that's something I think you should be aware of and respectful of, because I don't think you are. What's playing out is just not good for anyone. And even though I stand to gain a lot here, I am mindful of what damage is potentially going to be done...:2twocents
Yep, currently sitting on $150K paper losses. Been feeding the margin calls for a week now. So far thrown $50K good money after bad. Bought up big on fundamentals, BHP, NAB etc. The pain is starting to get to the point that tomorrow looks like my exit day. Sell down the remaining $700K worth of stock and sit it out. Lock in $150K of losses and lick my wounds.

I keep saying: Tomorrow must be the end of the drop, but then it just keeps going. Today broke resistance levels that I'm not comfortable with. Just goes to show the importance of a good trailing stop loss.

At least if I exit now and wait for the turmoil to pass I'll only lock in $150K loss which is largely what I made over the last two years or so. I'll still have cash in the bank of $130K and will be able to sleep at night again.

The pride before the fall. Vanity is an evil curse.

Cya,
Michael.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

And in my opinion, unless something is pulled out, we are in serious crash trouble for tomorrow, tomorrow night and Wednesday. Serious serious trouble.

Most people think the same as you Chops.Usually the crowd are wrong so could be time for a quick hard bounce.

Yes some people will get burnt and yes, maybe even ruined but to be honest it is all about protecting capital and with the strong performance over the past few years people should be able to get out without losing too much.

We can still trade but must limit losses with stops or be prepared to "invest" with a longer time frame in mind.There is no doubt that we will be higher than we are now in a few years at most.
 
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