Yearly XAO Prediction Thread

[Bill M]

7385
low interest less reliance on china
repairs to China /Aust relations.

7500. I think low interest rates will continue to force investors into equities. A few shocks along the way and high volatility though. Could be higher if the China trade thing gets sorted.

Added. thanks.

Get your entries in by 10 AM Sydney time Monday 11th. January 2021.

Here's what we have so far:

Smurf1976.............6952 - expecting volatility but minimal growth
peter2.....................6966
Knobby22...............7069 - rise as the year ends
frugal.rock..............7333 - I call it tasty logic
tech/a..................... 7385 - repairs to China /Aust relations
investtrader...........7500
Bill M.......................7512 - Ultra low/negative interest rates
PZ99........................7800

 

[qldfrog]

7200
Initial bull near 8000 then inflation start hitting and squeezing of western economies by China as Reset starts showing its madness and China flexes muscles on Taiwan
By jan 2022,we will be going down but still enough " buy the dip and interest rates are low " private investors to slow the descent.in a year time big money will be out and market ready for crash. Btc outlawed

 

[jbocker]

6250 Cough up. Soon covids dead

 

[Bill M]

7200
Initial bull near 8000 then inflation start hitting and squeezing of western economies by China as Reset starts showing its madness and China flexes muscles on Taiwan
By jan 2022,we will be going down but still enough " buy the dip and interest rates are low " private investors to slow the descent.in a year time big money will be out and market ready for crash. Btc outlawed

6250 Cough up. Soon covids dead

Added. thanks.

Get your entries in by 10 AM Sydney time Monday 11th. January 2021.

Here's what we have so far:

jbocker...................6250 - Cough up. Soon covids dead
Smurf1976.............6952 - expecting volatility but minimal growth
peter2.....................6966
Knobby22...............7069 - rise as the year ends
qldfrog....................7200
frugal.rock..............7333 - I call it tasty logic
tech/a..................... 7385 - repairs to China /Aust relations
investtrader...........7500
Bill M.......................7512 - Ultra low/negative interest rates
PZ99........................7800

 

[PZ99]

Hmmm.. looking at these other predictions I think I might have blown up my hat trick

 

[Knobby22]

Hmmm.. looking at these other predictions I think I might have blown up my hat trick

You will probably win again!

 

[PZ99]

You will probably win again!

The taxman will be happy if I do

 

[Iggy_Pop]

My best guess 7389. Recovery will continue this year

Iggy

 

[systematic]

8220 'I believe in miracles...'

 

[shaka]

7650

 

[explod]

Collapse in my view:-

3500

 

[Bill M]

My best guess 7389. Recovery will continue this year

Iggy

8220 'I believe in miracles...'

7650

Collapse in my view:-

3500

Added, thanks.

Get your entries in by 10 AM Sydney time Monday 11th. January 2021.

Here's what we have so far:

explod....................3500 - Collapse in my view:-
jbocker...................6250 - Cough up. Soon covids dead
Smurf1976.............6952 - expecting volatility but minimal growth
peter2.....................6966
Knobby22...............7069 - rise as the year ends
qldfrog....................7200
frugal.rock..............7333 - I call it tasty logic
tech/a..................... 7385 - repairs to China /Aust relations
Iggy_Pop.................7389 - Recovery will continue this year
investtrader...........7500
Bill M.......................7512 - Ultra low/negative interest rates
shaka......................7650
PZ99........................7800
systematic..............8220 - I believe in miracles

 

[frugal.rock]

frugal.rock..............7333 - I call it tasty logic
tech/a..................... 7385 - repairs to China /Aust relations

My best guess 7389. Recovery will continue this year

Not a lot of social distancing going on here...

 

[Bill M]

I keep hearing this story from various sources and it could be true. I know I got some cash waiting on the sidelines to deploy if the market crashes.

---
A common refrain: “There are trillions of dollars in cash sitting on the sidelines just waiting to come into the market.”

“There is record amounts of cash sitting in checking accounts of American households — and for optimistic investors, it’s just one more reason the stock market should keep pushing higher.”

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/i...t-idea-is-hogwash-11609795905?mod=moremw_bomw

---
Are we in the same boat?

Where do you think the XAO will end up year end 2021?

Get your entries in by 10 AM Sydney time Monday 11th. January 2021.

Here's what we have so far:

explod....................3500 - Collapse in my view:-
jbocker...................6250 - Cough up. Soon covids dead
Smurf1976.............6952 - expecting volatility but minimal growth
peter2.....................6966
Knobby22...............7069 - rise as the year ends
qldfrog....................7200
frugal.rock..............7333 - I call it tasty logic
tech/a..................... 7385 - repairs to China /Aust relations
Iggy_Pop.................7389 - Recovery will continue this year
investtrader...........7500
Bill M.......................7512 - Ultra low/negative interest rates
shaka......................7650
PZ99........................7800
systematic..............8220 - I believe in miracles

 

[Bill M]

Only 2 days left to get your prediction in. It's all a bit of fun and guess work + it's interesting to see vastly different opinions. Good luck.

 

[greggles]

6170 - Australia will follow the US down when their market eventually falters in 2021.

 

[Dark1975]

Well looking at present we are just past half way in investment clock, with low interest rates for the next couple of years ( money in the bank is useless) hence we will see growth in commodities /stock and real estate (residential properties) until we reach the top of the clock which will be represented with energy stocks booming ,then we will see a decline , unfortunately know one knows when, but I'd say end of year , so i will have a wild guess and say we reach 8100 xao by oct/ Nov and the decline will start to happen,
End of year prediction near current 6734

 

[Smurf1976]

Well looking at present we are just past half way in investment clock

One thing I'll note is that the time things take seems to be quite different these days.

Eg the stock market crash of 2020. Both the decline and subsequent rebound were so rapid that many people seem to have forgotten that they even occurred.

Where that goes is caution as to the speed of future events as compared to historical precedent and how quickly we move through the cycle.

 

[kinkypenguin]

6969. not good but not terrible. lots of volatility but overall lukewarm performance

 

[Bill M]

6170 - Australia will follow the US down when their market eventually falters in 2021.

Well looking at present we are just past half way in investment clock, with low interest rates for the next couple of years ( money in the bank is useless) hence we will see growth in commodities /stock and real estate (residential properties) until we reach the top of the clock which will be represented with energy stocks booming ,then we will see a decline , unfortunately know one knows when, but I'd say end of year , so i will have a wild guess and say we reach 8100 xao by oct/ Nov and the decline will start to happen,
End of year prediction near current 6734

One thing I'll note is that the time things take seems to be quite different these days.

Eg the stock market crash of 2020. Both the decline and subsequent rebound were so rapid that many people seem to have forgotten that they even occurred.

Where that goes is caution as to the speed of future events as compared to historical precedent and how quickly we move through the cycle.

6969. not good but not terrible. lots of volatility but overall lukewarm performance

All added, thank you.

Get your entries in by 10 AM Sydney time Monday 11th. January 2021.

Here's what we have so far:

explod....................3500 - Collapse in my view:-
greggles.................6170 - will follow the US down
jbocker...................6250 - Cough up. Soon covids dead
Dark1975...............6734 - decline will start to happen
Smurf1976.............6952 - expecting volatility but minimal growth
peter2.....................6966
kinkypenguin.........6969 - not good but not terrible
Knobby22...............7069 - rise as the year ends
qldfrog....................7200
frugal.rock..............7333 - I call it tasty logic
tech/a..................... 7385 - repairs to China /Aust relations
Iggy_Pop.................7389 - Recovery will continue this year
investtrader...........7500
Bill M.......................7512 - Ultra low/negative interest rates
shaka......................7650
PZ99........................7800
systematic..............8220 - I believe in miracles