Knobby22
Mmmmmm 2nd breakfast
- Joined
- 13 October 2004
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The Elliot Wave theorist on this site had it bottoming at 2400, so that lines up with yours Boggo.
XAO looking super interesting here. Looks like a bear flag forming. 38.2 retracement potentially coming into play with some confluence around the 5480 - 5620 support area. First short target could be the 127.2 extension around 3650.
View attachment 101832
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Beautiful jump off from the 50 - this is going further up imoIt's only the US Nasdaq, but it doesn't seem to have received the memo. Just saying.
They're feeling the squeeze in FAAMG ville
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I'd be interested in an update of this graph and your present opinion @BoggoBecause of significant external influences I am not putting much faith in any form of technical analysis at the moment.
Having said that I find that this is interesting for fun if nothing else.
A wave 4 primary retracement area is 38.2% to 50.0% of wave 3. Last week the XAO did retrace almost precisely to 38.2% of wave 3 but today it has progressed into the area between the two primaries.
The next theoretical area of resistance will be around 5500, let's see how it pans out from here.
(click to expand)
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Thanks mate. It looks as if it is heading down. ABC, or a 3, to me.Giday GG.
The All Ords (XAO) seem to be following behind the S&P 500 which seems to be in an area of decision at the moment.
Still a lot of potential external influences that could send both in either direction at short notice.
Personally, I am tending to think that we may encounter a correction to the current correction (hope that makes sense).
Two charts below, the S&P 500 is the one that we need to see break out of the current area of indecision, the XAO will follow.
(click to expand)
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Thanks mate. It looks as if it is heading down. ABC, or a 3, to me.
gg
IMO you and kahuna are spot on, eventually the U.S as reserve currency will be challenged, there has to be a constant that all currencies are measured against. The U.S IMO has abused its position and lost a lot of credibility post gfc.Chart below is of PNV and i'm just using it as an example of what I watch for and would like to see happen in the two example above, particularly on the S&P 500.
Basically, into the the area of indecision, some hesitation and then turn upwards with conviction.
Insights such as kahuna1's post here is a worry for the future...
https://www.aussiestockforums.com/posts/1071280/
(PNV example - click to expand)
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The XAO looks like it's approaching the apex of an ascending triangle, with a line starting from 5160 and the horizontal ceiling at around 5550. A big move up or down shortly?
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