Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Oil price discussion and analysis

Re: OIL AGAIN!

From http://www.safehaven.com/article-12134.htm

12134_b.png


Bullish...
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Reminds me in the early 80's I was living in a caravan park in Carnarvon (surfing at the time secret locations in the northwest of course) another group of people in the park were stock piling enormous amounts of diesel in 44's behind their caravan.........could never happen today I guess.

When I was younger, being a goofy footer I wanted to go to the Bluff but the winter trip north never eventuated.
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Without having to read 60 pages worth of history in this thread is anyone able to give me a list of ASX companies which are heavily exposed to movement in oil prices? ie somewhere to start some research on good stocks to be buying in this sector...
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Without having to read 60 pages worth of history in this thread is anyone able to give me a list of ASX companies which are heavily exposed to movement in oil prices? ie somewhere to start some research on good stocks to be buying in this sector...

If an oil company produces oil its "heavily exposed" to the oil price.

The more oil it produces the greater its exposure.

Start with companies beginning with "a" and work through. Then, if you find a short cut to good research, let us know.
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Without having to read 60 pages worth of history in this thread is anyone able to give me a list of ASX companies which are heavily exposed to movement in oil prices? ie somewhere to start some research on good stocks to be buying in this sector...
Have a look at these one's for a start:

WPL
OSH
STO
BPT
AED
PPP
ROC
NWE
EGO

There's a long list
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Have a look at these one's for a start:

WPL
OSH
STO
BPT
AED
PPP
ROC
NWE
EGO

There's a long list
Then there's OEX & CVN. Oils got to start climbing again soon downturn recession or whatever the world is still hungry for oil:2twocents
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Every thing I have been reading tells me Oil is going up guess you need to form a partnership and back it both ways to survive.
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Then there's OEX & CVN. Oils got to start climbing again soon downturn recession or whatever the world is still hungry for oil:2twocents

Well it did jump about 43.85% (brent crude) from recent lows so there is a decent climb of near 50%.Gotta be on the ball with all these lows around at the moment.:)
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Wednesday 7 January 2009

There may be some downside relief for oil around $40, +/-, as a reasonable area
of support. The short-term "bubble" that went from 80 to 150+,
and then collapsed back to 32, in a hyperdermic fashion, lacks reality, editorially
speaking. The close on a monthly chart, December, was the first time oil was
able to close at mid-range since its peak, 5 months prior, and the close was
above 40.

On a weekly chart, the second week in December was an inside bar with a notable
spike in volume. Interesting. The next week was a large range bar to the lows
for the move that closed near the bottom of the range. Volume was strong,
but less than the previous week. It could be buying entering, a reasonable
assumption, but in need of proof.

A daily chart clearly shows no base built from which to support a sustainable
rally. Mid-December highs at 51 is where initial resistance turned up, and
that is precisely where Tuesday's rally failed.

It appears a trading range would be the likely scenario for oil, according to what
the market activity seems to be saying. If that is true, support should make
its presence known around 39-40. Daily ranges should narrow, and volume
should lessen. Those would be clues for which to watch over the next several
trading days, for starters.

This is akin to putting the cart before the horse, but the cart assumption is
predicated on what the horse has been doing, so this is idle speculation. The
market has not yet fully revealed its intent.
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

Tuesday 13 January 2009

Oil epitomizes why one should never engage in bottom-picking, and instead, let
the market play itself out and prove a bottom is in place. While lower today,
the recent lows are still intact. The volume preceding the low was much greater
than the volume as the low was made, a fact. Last week, volume picked up
again, yet price did not get pushed down to new lows, another fact.

It is too soon to know if the recent lows will be final, but activity does seem to
be indicating it could be near, if not past. Even if one knew with certainty that
the low was in, it would not be reason to be buying, at least not until some kind
of base is apparent, but that is just me.
 
Re: OIL AGAIN!

I have placed Crude Oil in what looks to be setting up as a consolidation in the wave (4), possibly a triangle. This consolidation also sits on some historical support around the $40 mark. Looking for new lows once this triangle is complete then a big corrective bounce to the upside. First things first let's see how this wave (4) pans out.
 

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Re: OIL AGAIN!

I have placed Crude Oil in what looks to be setting up as a consolidation in the wave (4), possibly a triangle. This consolidation also sits on some historical support around the $40 mark. Looking for new lows once this triangle is complete then a big corrective bounce to the upside. First things first let's see how this wave (4) pans out.

Interesting chart, keep us posted, cheers:)
 
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