explod
explod
- Joined
- 4 March 2007
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andione 1983 posted this "whether you choose to believe in evolution or creation, the facts are there to support either belief"
It is not about the crime as such, it is more about the "people" (religious or otherwise) that perpetuate the crime that this thread is about !! PLEASE !
Pascal's Wager is more relevant than the Black Swan theory. My insurance is that if a god does exist and that he's worthy enough of my respect, he's going to respect my logical stance - the stance being that it is unlikely that a god exists, especially in the form that we perceive, but that it isn't impossible. If he does feel insulted and vengeful, then I couldn't care less about him.
CHRIST ........... last time I saw a decent BLACK SWAN was on the side of Alan Bonds brewing company. SWAN LAGER !!!!!!!!!
Taleb states that a Black Swan event depends on the observer -- a Black Swan surprise for the turkey is not a Black Swan surprise for the butcher, hence his idea is to "avoid being the turkey" by finding out where one may be exposed to being a turkey and "turn the Black Swans white".
weird said:As mentioned in Nassim's book Black Swan, Pascal's Wager has a flaw, that is, even being swayed by the odds, one still needs to "believe".
However, I more accept some people siding on the I don't know wager ... than adamantly taking a conclusive stance based only on personal white swan evidence that there is nothing (although some don't seem to need any evidence at all to make that leap).
I'm not mucking around fasting or growing a beard or lining up for wine. I'm just being a good person as best I can. Imagine if everybody did this. How much better would the world be?
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