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Gold Price - Where is it heading?

@Sdajii @DrBourse @Garpal Gumnut @qldfrog @peter2 I've sent Wykoff an email to ask why he's using Dec Gold in his charting with a link to this thread. Will be interesting to see if he responds.

If anyone goes up a couple of messages ago, last week from memory, i gave the link to a non future price..but is not the first result when you google...

So in a way, is maybe not as relevant....
On many instances, the story trounces the facts , for the market at least!
 
I agree with you GG....
Jim is on the wrong horse....
Should be using the XAUUSD (or one of those)....

Then he needs to revisit some basic TA educational stuff..
 
We're all thinking and doing something wrong somewhere, what hope do we have? And what else have we been doing wrong that we know not of?

Of course we all make mistakes, some we realise at some stage, some we don't.

That's no reason to avoid making as few as possible and do the best we can.
 
Of course we all make mistakes, some we realise at some stage, some we don't.

That's no reason to avoid making as few as possible and do the best we can.
We try our best, but sometimes the best isn't enough, then what?
 
We try our best, but sometimes the best isn't enough, then what?
What point are you trying to make? Do you advocate giving up and stop striving to do the best we can?

We can do our best and maximise our chances of success or amplitude of success. Or, we can say that we might fail, so why bother putting in any effort.

What are you trying to say? If you want to give up and not try, that's your choice.
 
I've got to the point where I'm despondent about energy and materials... one day they will turn around, but when? With the exception of gold, the others are down. Sure other sectors are up, but when we make poor choices, there are consequences.....trade the sectors?....stocks are cyclical. The best we can do is pick wisely.
 
Great action. This breaks the resistance line and more decisively breaks above the $2,500 natural resistance level. Hopefully this can turn the resistance line into an increasing support line, which seems entirely possible/comfortable since we have TA targets around $3,000 and at the rate of that line it would take around two years to get there - we may get there sooner, and the support line will only be temporary. I'm not holding my breath but at this point it even looks possible that today may be the last day ever we see gold below US$2,500.

Has anyone else noticed that gold has quite a habit of riming rallies to start between around 4-6PM Sydney time?
 
I'm not counting gooses but this move looks a little different to several of the past breaks that ended up in a little bit of consolidation. I still wouldn't be surprised if there's some smart profit taking from longer term holders but at the same time maybe FOMO will eventually hit those losers backing the digital coin.

 
Fear not Sean K
"GOLDBUGS NEVER SELL!"
 
$AUD 2522 atm

The AUD is running against us though and I'm still 15c per share of PMGOLD short on my buy before the rise 2 weeks ago.

Not that I'm whinging.

Onwards and upwards.

gg
 
The US$ is weakening with the prospect of nothing but more debasement ahead and efforts by BRICS nations to de-dollarise. We may have already seen the peak of US dollar power.

Against a backdrop of a bloated equities market, a stagnant economy, wars raging around the world and widespread civil discontent, the move into precious metals by instos, government and retail punters seems entirely predictable. It's like cash, but better. The question is, how long will this bull cycle last?

 
So Trump wants a weaker USD v CNY and Yen.

Which means that if Japan could not buy energy (oil) in Yen, they would sell UST and/or US stocks, which is an unwind of the carry trade.

To prevent this, the US would need to sterilise the long end of the curve through UST buybacks. To do so they would need to revalue gold (every $4000oz = $1 Trillion) to $10,000oz = $2.5 Trillion to fund the Treasury TGA and buyback the long end of the curve, thereby allowing Japan to sell the long end of the curve.

If t'other:



The unleashing of unbridled inflation will drive gold higher.

The fundamentals are inexorable, unleashed by the East. They saw decades ago that the 1971 Petrodollar that morphed into the Eurodollar was ultimately unsustainable and implemented the gold strategy.

This gold bull is only just starting.

The energy market is 15X the gold market. That is $30K gold. There will be many technical (chart) wiggles along the way. Ultimately there is no other way unless energy becomes free:



Probably a ways off yet.

jog on
duc
 
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