Kauri hi,
Can you do alternate count to downside to show say gold dropping US 10-15 tonight or tomorrow night so I can see that picture
I know it was only $9.50 but can I have my chart please
Kauri hi,
Can you do alternate count to downside to show say gold dropping US 10-15 tonight or tomorrow night so I can see that picture
The index I mentioned in earlier posts his last up date
Please read – may help you understand
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/kern/current.html
Herein lies the problem it bought last night, Using it on the HUI and XAU they brought as well the night before.
Now my own Gold system did not it may if the Gold Indexes rise for a couple of more days 2-3
Normally I would be seeing a slight change in my values at the moment (slight turn up) but I have not I have a divergence!!!
The US Market Indexes have alingned themselves again for the possibility of a two day down tonight and tomorrow to show a change in direction.
Believe it our not the Dow has closed three days in a row down. and other Indicies apart from advance on Monday have gone nowhere.
So part of my system uses numbers and time series come into play, so does various technical analysis.
Short medium and long term.
And its not just the Nasdaq its NYSE and a few others and Dow itself….
I would not be concerned if I had a buy in Gold Indexes because chances of it happening would be less.
I also know the price of Gold has not passed various pivot points as yet.
So those using pivots are not buying gold.
The wavers calling wave five of five in the markets well they are covered because hardest wave to pick and wave five can be extended. However if in fact US Gold Indexes are joining the advance then the markets may well rise for several more months or longer
Kauri why I wanted to see the alternate count down was the only reason his system would not buy was what you showed but over three days. And that may well come into place if the US Markets and Gold Indexes and Gold move down together. Because I do not have a buy signal on Gold and I have that set up mentioned in US Markets something like that may well come into place.
If the bullish case is in for Gold a small retractment tonight then a push up?
Or just a push up?
At the moment I myself still do not have a buy signal in US Gold Indexes.
I do not have a sell signal in the US Markets.
So Gold’s direction????
Hopefully the next two days I will get an indication of a signal in one of them
I invest mainly in Gold & Silver stocks, the ones I invest in are mainly lower in price from when I sold.
I have been in a no risk situation.
Posted On: Tuesday, November 19, 2002, 6:45:00 PM EST
A Time for Reflection
Author: Jim Sinclair
I believe that I serve this investment community not only in my capacity to impart to you the value of my experience and in hopefully balancing the strong emotions that are common to precious metals trading.
In that capacity, I have been the recipient over the period of September 23 to today of conservatively 2000 emails, the majority of which demonstrated no commitment fundamentally to a potential bull market in gold. I have repeatedly suggested that investment in any field, whether gold, tech, biomeds, bombed-out utilities or whatever, requires first and foremost a strong, well-thought-out fundamental viewpoint. All the technical studies you do will at best break you, even if you have no fundamental understanding and adherence bullish/bearish to the selected field of investment.
It is time that you determine where you stand fundamentally on the gold issue. If you do not, then you are destined to make a significant donation of your fortune in the name of your refusal to do the required homework. I have outlined in the form of editorials and VIP posting all the criteria required for a long-term bull market in gold. You can hear all the contrary opinions on gold simply by going to Tim Wood's web site, www.miningweb.com. He has not yet failed to point out every possible negative factor, thereby serving an important role as the devil's advocate. Of course, one wonders who financially the devil is in Tim's situation. You therefore have both sides of the debate on gold's future. Among www.financialsense.com, www.lemetropolecafe.com and www.miningweb.com you have a wealth of information from which to make informed decisions. Please make the effort and come to a decision, and then adhere to that decision.
As it stands now, the gold market is made up of investors of opportunity, speculators and those that are seeking insurance. The investors of opportunity seem to me to be primarily professional who, because of their experience, are staying ahead of the market successfully. The speculators are being chewed to pieces because they seem undisciplined technically and without commitment fundamentally either bullishly or bearishly. They, the speculators, make up the bulk of those that have come to me in the recent decline in gold and gold-related investments seeking direction or simply unloading emotions. Those of the insurance category seem to me as more mature participants who have the experience of the 1968 to 1980 period behind them and a strong commitment to a positive future for gold.
It is the middle group, the speculators without technical training or fundamental commitment, who need to deeply examine what they are doing and if they are making money. It is this group that I feel have the greatest chance of going broke bullish in a bull market in gold. It is this group that would be well advised to find something they could believe in and stay there. It is this group that had better stop dealing in gold, gold shares, silver and silver shares while they still have some money left. It is this group that no one can help because they will not help themselves. It is this group that have unburdened themselves by heaping burden on me, taking away my time from those that are truly interested in learning, in being disciplined and in making a success of their investment careers not only in gold but in the many areas of future attention. It is this group which appears to me to be terminally at financial risk if they continue what they are doing. It is for this group that I offer only one suggestion: STOP NOW by using gold's strength to leave while you can with financial dignity, for certainly you will panic again and dump your positions at the bottom of a simple reaction.
Posted On: Tuesday, November 19, 2002, 6:45:00 PM EST
A Time for Reflection
Author: Jim Sinclair
I believe that I serve this investment community not only in my capacity to impart to you the value of my experience and in hopefully balancing the strong emotions that are common to precious metals trading.
Worth Reading ....
And rereading.
Key Date: 30 May.
Major Dates: 17 July (completion?), 11 June, 22 August.
Minor Dates: 24 May, 29 June.
http://www.kitco.com/ind/grandich/may292007.htmlIt’s also been absolutely hammered – not only by aggressive central bank selling, but by a continuing pattern of strange selling on the Comex that almost always is concentrated around the 11 a.m. time frame. The fact that this is when most of the physical buying worldwide shuts down until later in the evening in Asia is no coincidence.
Currently Gold has been in a short term bearish move since the high on the 20th of April 2007. If my cycle analysis is correct, Gold should rally up from here, and the cycle termination (up) I am looking at should be either 17 July or 22 August.
The current dominant cycle I perceive in the daily chart is bullish, but the price action recently has been bearish, hence some confusion. My suspicion is that this current move may be a short term counter trend to a bullish cycle which I project should complete around the 17 July (possibly as late as 22 August) before a more sustained pull back in the medium term.
wavepicker has forecast Gold in a downward phase for the longer term cycle before resuming bullishly potentially next year – note though that price action does not necessarily translate neatly into cycles, hence an end of a cycle may actually be a higher low (or lower high) in price, with a time increment in the cycle being where the actual price low (high) occurs.
So, if there is a bullish resumption from last nights bar, I suspect that this will terminate at some point (suspect the termination dates), and either retest the major low (past low dates: 14 June 06 or 04 October 06), or move sideways and base for a while till the cycle wavepicker has identified in the longer term plays out, and the 8.5 year cycle resumes bullishly (assuming this cycle is correct).
But the problem for me is timing, and the current bearish price action looks to me to be the end of a counter trend and may have found support last night. (Please see the chart where I think this may turn to attempt to resume bullishly).
The question is when will Gold find support, and will it be enough to support a bullish leg up? If 30 May does find support, this could be very bullish and a logical place I’d expect to see Gold rally. But it must do so either tonight or Friday night, and this low must hold.
All of this is assuming that the existing cycle I have been using since October 2006 is still valid (and was still valid on 06 May). A lot will depend on the emerging pattern, but I have to say that currently this looks like it is still trying to break up to me to wash out the buyers before moving bearishly to complete the bearish leg of the longer term cycle wavepicker has identified (then of course resume bullishly in the much longer term 8.5 year cycle he has identified).
That’s what I see currently.
Regards
Magdoran
Some strange things continue to happen to gold. Here's one for the conspiracy brigade.
This comment is from Peter Grandich, via Kitco, so could have a bias towards gold, but the alignment of selling pressure at about the same time every day is highly correlated.
http://www.kitco.com/ind/grandich/may292007.html
I have placed sell arrows at the same time every day on the chart; apart from about 3 instances, there is a pronounced dip in the gold price soon after.
Some strange things continue to happen to gold. Here's one for the conspiracy brigade.
This comment is from Peter Grandich, via Kitco, so could have a bias towards gold, but the alignment of selling pressure at about the same time every day is highly correlated.
http://www.kitco.com/ind/grandich/may292007.html
I have placed sell arrows at the same time every day on the chart; apart from about 3 instances, there is a pronounced dip in the gold price soon after.
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