brerwallabi
The Oracle
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Re: GOLD Where is it heading?
There is a bear out there, anyone seen him?
There is a bear out there, anyone seen him?
he's hiding in his cave after losing a fight with a very mean and nasty bull. He'll recover and get his revenge one day but!brerwallabi said:There is a bear out there, anyone seen him?
So that's one forecast down.ducati
I have a strong view that gold's next upleg will be relatively swift and strong and carry the gold price decisively over $600 before end June this year, and that further uplegs will see it at/near/over $700 by year's end.
YOUNG_TRADER said:Keeping to my very simple theory, Gold has now hit my upper range of $620, which means a new (now $100) range has begun being $620 - $720,
I expect gold to trade around $615-$620 for a day or 2 before moving up strongly to $720,
Young_TraderYOUNG_TRADER said:I would be extremely worried if it fell below $610 for a sustained period,
So long as it stays $615 - $620 for a bit my range trade up to $720 is still in tact
Ducati
Test your memory banks if you dare.
Quote:
Originally Posted by rederob 25th-February-2006, 03:53 PM
ducati
I have a strong view that gold's next upleg will be relatively swift and strong and carry the gold price decisively over $600 before end June this year, and that further uplegs will see it at/near/over $700 by year's end.
So that's one forecast down.
The $700 figure is presently a mere $55 away as I write.
I believe I said that $800 POG would be seen in 2007, although at the rate of present incline, that number is in jeopardy this year.
Re-reading your analysis of gold was interesting. If you claim to hang your hat on fundamental analysis you you would do well to understand more about the practice of mining and less about the chart of accounts when it comes to the commodity sector.
I think I should end this post with a personal "gloat", just so ducati can tell everyone how these can't be believed because..........
Try 45,000 OXR shares at an average entry price of $1.27
Since your last post in this thread, I have added $30k in gold equities to my portfolio, via OXR and LHG. My protfolio of CHESS holdings is below (note that I hold 50k CWT for yield):
rederob said:Since your last post in this thread, I have added $30k in gold equities to my portfolio, via OXR and LHG.
Gold, silver finish week with a sparkle
Gold closes above $654 on weakened dollar, while silver surges more than a dollar on the launch of a new ETF fund.
April 28, 2006: 2:00 PM EDT
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Gold futures in New York shot to a 25-year high to close above $654 on Friday, buoyed by a falling dollar and a pop in silver triggered by the launch of the first silver-backed security, dealers said.
Gold jumped 2.8 percent and silver surged 4 percent during the session as players built positions in the precious metals ahead of the weekend. Higher oil prices and tensions over Iran's nuclear capabilities also fueled the advance.
It's important to adjust future forecasts in the light of changing circumstances.rederob 21st-April-2006 10:11 PM said:If gold simply sat at the present price for a few more months (which it will not) then we are still looking at a plus$700 well before year's end and a chance $800 will be taken out.
"Iran continues to provoke conflict and the gold price is reflecting that sense of uneasiness," said Peter Spina, an analyst at GoldSeek.com. "Iran knows they have leverage here, especially with oil above $70 and the U.S. dollar becoming ever so vulnerable." So "all indications are that the geopolitical tensions will continue to support gold at this juncture, with the breakdown in the U.S. dollar adding even more ammo to the run," he said. The greenback dropped to an 11-month low against the euro Friday, and a three-month low against Japan's yen. See Currencies. The per-ounce price of $700 is now achievable in May, with gold likely continuing to find great support on the downside around $600, Spina said.
China’s central bank prints yuan in exchange for foreign currency obtained from foreign trade, foreign direct investment, and speculative hot money, and amassed a treasure chest of $875.1 billion of foreign currency reserves in March. Gold dealers expect Beijing to eventually swap depreciating US bonds into gold. Beijing holds 19 million ounces of gold, which only represents 1.1% of its reserves. When asked about a possible shift from the US dollar, People's Bank of China chief Zhou Xiaochuan said on April 22nd, "I think China is among the best in managing our foreign exchange reserves. We get good returns in safe, liquid assets. We can adjust very quickly." But gold is up 45% while 10-year US Treasury notes have lost 3.2% in the past year, and according to the latest data, Beijing has not yet moved!
Surging Chinese credit growth, a widening trade surplus and double-digit economic expansion, is lending support to explosive Chinese demand for minerals from abroad. China is the world's largest customer for copper, and its demand grew 9% last year, consuming 22% of the world's supply. China became a net importer of zinc for the first time in 2005, when it imported 620,816 tons of zinc, equal to about 6% of world demand, as its steel production jumped 25 percent. Both metals have gone parabolic, with Beijing caught in a supply squeeze.
MARKETWAVES said:Interesting Video -
Titled :
What The Price Gold is Telling Us ...........
Here's the Link
http://www.lewrockwell.com/paul/paul319.html
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Barrick, the world’s largest gold producer since taking over Placer Dome, said at the release of its first quarter results it had reduced the Placer Dome hedge position by 5.7 million oz at a cost of $1.2bn as of May 03.
"The impact of closing out 5.7 million oz of gold hedges is to increase future gold revenues, as we forecast gold prices going forward to be higher than the average $554 in first quarter 2006," said RBC Capital Markets analyst, Stephen Walker, said in a note.
"This revenue lift more than offsets the $1.2bn in costs incurred to date," he said.
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