SevenFX said:What do you mean by this, and HOW do you know this Mr Right...???
Mr Right said:I am not selling this share for less than $5. Monday is a big day!
Binjal said:Mr Right
Any theories on why the share price would be jumping up by so much??? I sure hope you are right though....
doctorj said:These are all very 'big' numbers, but please don't go taking a mortgage out on your house tomorrow. Really, they don't mean anything or in my book atleast, not near enough to warrent a 520% increase in market cap.
Sure, finding an intersection of hydrocarbons helps you on the way to commerciality. Finding more than you hoped is even better. But 28 feet of gross pay isn't the next Prudhoe Bay. Running wireline logs means very little. Many many wells are logged, then plugged and abandoned. The data they gather can be valuable to add to their understanding of the geology.
Working out whether or not it is commercial is the next step. 28ft of gross pay doesn't necessarily make for a commercial well. Porosity, the size and type of the trap and ultimately the flow rate will decide whether or not its cased for production.
This is really irrational exhuberance. I hope its commercial and I hope its a major find for a company of this size, but this is gas exploration. Chances are weighted in favour of a lot of people losing a lot of money.
They're more than 12000 feet below ground. Down there its hot and there is lots of pressure. Drill strings break, things get stuck. Sometimes, particularly where there is lots of gas, it can be difficult stabilising the well bore. This is a long way off a sure thing, no matter how much you like to bold the impressive big sounding numbers.
Then there is the small fact of the amount of money that would be required to develop a field. Each drill will will cost a couple of mill. They might want to do a couple of step out wells. There's pipelines and other facilities to build etc etc etc. And this company has $5mill in the bank at the end of the last quarter. There will be a big whack of dillution IF this is assessed as commercial.
rosesny_1 said:The average porosity of the Leadville Reservoir at Lisbon Field, Paradox Basin, Utah (largest leadville producing field in Paradox) is 5.5 percent and varies from 1 percent to 21 percent. http://geology.utah.gov/emp/leadville/pdf/doloposter1.pdf
Binjal said:Mr Right
Any theories on why the share price would be jumping up by so much??? I sure hope you are right though....
Mr Right said:This is what i think of GDN:
They will complete the drilling in the next week or so. So far they have aprox 100 million mcf which equates to $2.50 per share after capital and operating cost and taxes. They are preparing the well for production it will take up to four mounts to get it on line. Then they will start drilling the rest of the wells with 3 mounts for each well.
So the price of the share will be above $ 2.50 BY the completion of the well they have minimum 100 million already. some people are predicting 400 million mcf. which will probably get it above $7.00 a share.
I am thinking of selling after the completion of the well as it will drop nothing will be happening for 3 mounts at least.
Was this last last monday or next monday.........im confused. Anyrate will be interesting to see if there is any mini rally ( again !) leading to the close.Mr Right said:I am not selling this share for less than $5. Monday is a big day!
tech/a said:You guys still buggerising around with this?
There are other stocks going nuts out there!!!
chris1983 said:haha what hurts waiting 2 weeks? Thats why you have a diversified portfolio. Stocks travelling nicely Today are AOE/INL.
Stocks travelling niceley yesterday was AGM.
Stock travelling nicely in two weeks time will be BMN/GDN
nizar said:Chris,
I think tech means look at WMT, PEN, FML, MLS.
chris1983 said:haha what hurts waiting 2 weeks? Thats why you have a diversified portfolio. Stocks travelling nicely Today are AOE/INL.
Stocks travelling niceley yesterday was AGM.
Stock travelling nicely in two weeks time will be BMN/GDN
trader said:The AGM is today will start in 20 minutes, 11.30 perth time.
constable said:Was this last last monday or next monday.........im confused. Anyrate will be interesting to see if there is any mini rally ( again !) leading to the close.
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