Who's cashed up waiting for bottom to fall out in 2018?

[sptrawler]

Jolly good idea.

Maybe he's waiting till after the election this time.

No I doubt it, but if he does, I will praise him.
At the moment all he is hitting is the little man, the low hanging fruit, that don't realise they are hanging low.

 

[systematic]

That is only if you didn't buy any disasters, most of us have a few in the bottom draw, so in reality most wouldn't be back to where they were in 2007.

...But I thought we were talking about 'the market' - not the experience of an individual investor? You're throwing a curve ball. I was simply stating a fact: 'this was the level of the market back then, this is the level now, here is the return % and here is the inflation %'

In 2007 the all ords reached 6,700 from memory, and it still hasn't got back there, despite record migration and a housing boom.

...I was simply showing that whoever said that dividends would've made a difference is correct.

I thought I was clear in my post - even if you bought ('the market') at the very peak in 2007...you HAVE surpassed the level of 2007. And that's someone unlucky enough to buy at the peak - any later and you'd have done better. Just look at a chart if that makes it easier. You're correct about the price index, but that's not the experience of the investor.

 

[MrChow]

I allocate based on my needs so I don't have win / lose outcomes.

 

[Garpal Gumnut]

Me.

I'm even selling my big winners and losers atm to have more cash.

CBA under $40 is not unreasonable by November.

Now Cash 60% Shares 40%

gg

Forgive me if I'm asking for your secrets but how many people here are lurking all cashed up waiting to swoop in when this market crashes like some are expecting it to?
I thought about it a year or so ago, so lucky I didn't "cash up* back then.

 

[Skate]

CBA under $40 is not unreasonable by November.

gg

CBA under $40 - my opinion differs

If opinions didn't differ there wouldn't be any trading..

Skate.

 

[Darc Knight]

Back to 50/50 now.

Vanguards site went down at opening yesterday. I assume everyone paniced crashing the site.

 

[sptrawler]

Now all we on ASF need, is you chartist's, to tell us when it has bottomed.

 

[Darc Knight]

Now all we on ASF need, is you chartist's, to tell us when it has bottomed.

That's the hard part isn't it. The influx of Index investors may have increased volatiity. I'm not smart enough to take that risk lol

 

[Darc Knight]

When Bellboys and Car washers are investing, it's time to get out I thought.

 

[TheBigKangaroo]

Forgive me if I'm asking for your secrets but how many people here are lurking all cashed up waiting to swoop in when this market crashes like some are expecting it to?
I thought about it a year or so ago, so lucky I didn't "cash up* back then.

Sorry for the dumb question. I am very new. What market are you talking about 'crashing' cheers

 

[wayneL]

I cashed up out of US market last month, no conscious timing on my part, just different goals. Fluked it.

I don't an imminent crash as such, but interest rates are going to make things very interesting I suspect ... Sitting in cash for the moment.

 

[Darc Knight]

Sorry for the dumb question. I am very new. What market are you talking about 'crashing' cheers

Aus Shares, U.S. shares etc. Any market I guess. Take your pick

 

[TheBigKangaroo]

Aus Shares, U.S. shares etc. Any market I guess. Take your pick

Yes ok, yes of course. The "market" in general. cheers

 

[ducati916]

Is this a 'buy the dip' moment?

From the title of the thread, for those who are cashed up, is this enough of a dip, or do you wait for more losses and lower prices?

jog on
duc

 

[Darc Knight]

Are Value Investors leaving the market? You hear it a bit "there's not much value out there".

 

[explod]

Is this a 'buy the dip' moment?

From the title of the thread, for those who are cashed up, is this enough of a dip, or do you wait for more losses and lower prices?

jog on
duc

"follow the trend until the bend" is an old but wise saying.

The financial markets continue to look very shaky in my view. To me the trend is down.

 

[Toyota Lexcen]

the US economy is booming, could be good opportunity to get and index fund there

the rest of the world not so good, AUS in particular is very sick.

have an RE market in decline thanks to over regulation, shares that cant get over pre-GFC numbers, political turmoil, over regulation of everything except minerals

slow move down over next 5-10years

 

[wayneL]

To me the can was kicked down the road in 2008 and there is a perfect storm in the offing at some stage. Dont know when, maybe not now, but sometime.

The yanks *can engineer their way out of it, so long as the Dems don't get control in midterms, or worse, POTUS.

But, the fat tail looms imo.

 

[greggles]

Peter Schiff is saying that the current stock market bubble is bigger than it was in 2008 and the coming crash far larger.

https://www.rt.com/business/441197-stock-bubble-2008-crash/

Of course, Peter Schiff is known for his pathological bearishness but still, he may be right...

 

[sptrawler]

Peter Schiff is saying that the current stock market bubble is bigger than it was in 2008 and the coming crash far larger.

https://www.rt.com/business/441197-stock-bubble-2008-crash/

Of course, Peter Schiff is known for his pathological bearishness but still, he may be right...

He is no doubt talking the U.S market, we certainly have a link to it, but at the end of the day one has to take each economy on its merits.

https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/stock-market

Not much happening here, other than a lot of people pissing their pants IMO.

Click on historical, then on maximum time frame, nothing looks out of the average unless we are in for another first.