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The physical supply issues remain:
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The leverage within the system is such that (if, when) physical inventory declines to a critical point, the paper positions will accelerate to the upside potentially causing a concomitant run on the physical. Same as a bank run on the fractional reserve system
The breakdown of the USD within the oil market is draining physical in any case. The game is over. This variable still has a year or two to play out as China is in no rush to collapse the USD yet.
Add the current treasury market (it's not actually a bank issue) crisis to the mix and this variable could speed up events significantly.
jog on
duc
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The leverage within the system is such that (if, when) physical inventory declines to a critical point, the paper positions will accelerate to the upside potentially causing a concomitant run on the physical. Same as a bank run on the fractional reserve system
The breakdown of the USD within the oil market is draining physical in any case. The game is over. This variable still has a year or two to play out as China is in no rush to collapse the USD yet.
Add the current treasury market (it's not actually a bank issue) crisis to the mix and this variable could speed up events significantly.
jog on
duc