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I am reasonably confident $19 will be breached within the quarter as present action is pretty much the same as the sharp selloff in May.reece55 said:The strong up-trend channel that has been in place since September that saw prices go from the 11 mark to 19 appears well and truly broken - many people disagreed with me when the price was $19 in early Jan, but curiously most haven't posted on this thread since!
Cheers
Reece
rederob said:I am reasonably confident $19 will be breached within the quarter as present action is pretty much the same as the sharp selloff in May.
Except at that stage there were shiploads of zinc avaialble.
Only Chinese restocking at LME Singapore will defer the rebound.
While drawdowns have been light, that is a function of backwardation and consumers will try to hold out as long as possible for cheaper prices to be achieved.
Just remember that about 18 months ago a single delivery of zinc to LME was greater than total present warranted stock, so any stock rebuilds will need to be exceptionally strong to turn around zinc's fundamental tone.
It already has been breached, on the 3rd.rederob said:I am reasonably confident $19 will be breached within the quarter as present action is pretty much the same as the sharp selloff in May.
Oh well, let's make it $20 this quarter.chops_a_must said:It already has been breached, on the 3rd.
Lol! At least no-one could have accused you of having an unjustified price target on it!rederob said:Oh well, let's make it $20 this quarter.
chops_a_must said:It already has been breached, on the 3rd.
My prediction is still looking good. It really needs to test $16 though. There is a lot of money sitting on the side lines for this one. Lots of mums and dads watching it on the news. And depending on how it reacts to the $16 mark, and my guess is that it wont dive further given zinc has bounced off its support between $3,750 and $3,500, we should see some strong buying.
rederob said:Oh well, let's make it $20 this quarter.
As far as I'm aware the lowest it got was into the $16.10s. Which isn't a serious attack at the support level. I would really like to see it bouce off before I commit any money to it.eMark said:Hey chops
When you say "test $16.00", do you feel it needs to go back there a few more times before moving forward? As it's been back to $16 a couple of times this week already.
eMark
I think both zinc and lead are likely to get tighter, and more record highs are therefore probable.michael_selway said:I concur
btw what do u think of lead, it apear sto be holding very well above 70c/lb, record highs
thx
MS
rederob said:I think both zinc and lead are likely to get tighter, and more record highs are therefore probable.
At the broader economic level there is still nothing to suggest either of these metal are going to suffer the fate of copper, near to medium term.
MSmichael_selway said:Zinc, Lead, & Nickel
In what order do you think more further upside potential at current prices?
thx
MS
So IF it really dropped below $16, would it be worthed to buy more? thxHalba said:... absolutely no downside risk ...
If it clears 17.80, then that will mean it has gone above 10% of its recent lows and a higher probability of a turn around. Should be fun to see what happens.MiningGuru said:I agree. I think that the chart shows that ZFX is now turning up and that it should push up beyong its previous highs.
Time to get on again at the start of a new run!
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