Yearly XAO Prediction Thread

[tinhat]

8050

"Climbing the wall of worry"

 

[rederob]

We should make a cut off for entries. What do you all reckon, Sunday 5th Jan or Sunday 12th Jan?

Given it’s holidays now I reckon 12th is fair and frankly believe even another week will not make anyone a better tipster or create an advantage.

 

[Bill M]

Given it’s holidays now I reckon 12th is fair and frankly believe even another week will not make anyone a better tipster or create an advantage.

Last year we made it the second Sunday too. When we got near that time very few entries were coming in so I am also thinking perhaps the 12th is fair too. Anyone else have an opinion?

 

[Triple B]

No Objections here your Honour

 

[Logique]

Last year we made it the second Sunday too. When we got near that time very few entries were coming in so I am also thinking perhaps the 12th is fair too. Anyone else have an opinion?

No problem with 12 Jan. Many on leave, or the back of a fire tanker somewhere

 

[Triple B]

Systematic could take out 2019 prediction with 6850....... XAO at 6835 11:30am with Lusk at 6800.
Did the trumpster open his mouth again?

 

[Triple B]

Systematic could take out 2019 prediction with 6850....... XAO at 6835 11:30am with Lusk at 6800.
Did the trumpster open his mouth again?

Im out ,Gaaaaaaaaaawn
Lusk the outsider coming home strong at 6800!! XAO now 6817....
Almost missed PZ99 at 6800 too, could there be a Tie!!!
Tin Hat could jag it with 6780!!

 

[cement]

8170

 

[Bill M]

The Winner for the 2019 year end prediction of the All Ordinaries was equal winners @lusk and @PZ99 who both picked 6800. Coming in at second was @tinhat who picked 6780. Coming in at third was @systematic who picked 6851. Well done guys!!

How did you guys do it? What made you both pick 6800? Or was it just a punt? I'm sure everyone would like to know.

And poor old Triple B held the closest position for the longest period of time only to get wiped out on the last 2 trading days, OUCH!! Not fair eh? It was all good fun.

So all the entries are rolling in for the year end prediction for 2020. I'll start getting that together soon. What an amazing year it has been. I hope we can all do well next year.

The cut off for the 2020 predictions will be midnight Sunday 12th. of January. This will give us all a couple of weeks to get our entries in.

Take care of yourselves out there and special thanks to all Fire Fighters and Volunteer Fire Fighters for all your hours of hard work and sacrifice you put in for us, great respect to you all.

Have a Happy New Year everyone!!!

 

[Triple B]

Thought I had it at 4pm yesterday with 6902 on the card.

thats 19.14% gain from beginning of 2019!!

 

[frugal.rock]

7333 thanks Bill.
Mmmmmmm, 333 mustard pickles with corned beef on a buttered crusty bread roll.... I call it tasty logic

 

[Toyota Lexcen]

Well done lusk and pz99, great effort

Thanks BillM for running comp

 

[systematic]

7905 thanks @Bill M

Gann cycle of price and time squared and measured from an angle of ninety degrees from the last time a move of the current completed cycle measured in this order...with a little nod to the 30,685.5 days that Uranus took to revolute around the sun. Technically, this should be a bear year, especially in the Indian indices, but I'm a permabull...so...7905 it is.

 

[tinhat]

How did you guys do it? What made you both pick 6800? Or was it just a punt? I'm sure everyone would like to know.

Have a Happy New Year everyone!!!

As I've explained here, you will probably find that most of the predictions fall within the normal range of the XAO anyway. I was bullish for 2019 (as I was for 2018 and as I am for 2020) so I just made an optimistic guess.

Thanks for your analysis and reporting through the year.

Happy new year to all.

 

[Bill M]

All right so we got until midnight Sunday the 12th Jan 2020 to get our entries in. Due to popular demand we are having the 5 words or less as a brief description or a light hearted joke as to why you chose your number (not compulsory). So until Sunday the 12th please feel free to change your figure or add, change or remove your comment, I'll update it. It's all a bit of fun, enjoy and get your entries in.

The 2020 year end XAO Predictions:

rcm617..............5900 - Due for a rough year
kid hustlr............6000 - Look, all these perma bulls
greggles.............6050 - Chickens come home to roost
So_Cynical..........6667 - Should be rough
Triple B...............7200 - Bullish early, selling before election
Belle10...............7219
frugal.rock..........7333 - I call it tasty logic
Logique..............7500 - Don't see a market crash
Bill M.................7512 - Ultra low/negative interest rates
myrtie100..........7515
knobby22...........7677 - Bullish, probably final good year
macca................7777 - Election year in USA
Peter2................7887 - A roller coaster year
MovingAverage....7900 - My random number generator says
systematic..........7905 - I'm a perma bull......so
bigdog................7950
qldfrog...............7960 - Trump win, we end up
tinhat.................8050 - Climbing the wall of worry
drillinto...............8080
cement...............8170
sptrawler.............8250 - Trump/China trade agreement
rederob...............8288 - 2 will "harmonise" the prediction

Keep them come coming, cheers.

 

[myrtie100]

The tea leaves told me 7515

 

[Logique]

Wow what a finish to the 2019 comp! Right down to the last day. Lusk and PZ99 - flashed through on the rails, well done.

Triple B - hard lines mate, had you on the podium for sure..

For 2020, people seem quite bullish so far

 

[InsvestoBoy]

I will continue to take the low end of the range please Bill, 3300 please

 

[frugal.rock]

https://www.aussiestockforums.com/threads/z1p-apt-prediction-competition.35127/

G'day Al,
Another one for the thinkers!
Entries close end of 15/1/2020
Cheers

 

[zaxacel1975]

7718, strong, then weak, then strong.