Yearly XAO Prediction Thread

[Bill M]

Good morning, the predictions for year end 2019 are in and no more entries will be taken for this year. We have had 31 entries submitted, from lows of 2300 right up to a high of 6900. Lets see how it all plays out. Good luck everybody and thanks for having a go, cheers.


explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000 (US double top then bear)
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500 (Up till March then China down)
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
Iggy_Pop........ 5655
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
fiftyeight......... 5858
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
rederob......... 6543
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900

 

[Darc Knight]

Great work Bill

I note @Triple B hasn't given a reason. Curious to hear one

 

[Triple B]

Great work Bill

I note @Triple B hasn't given a reason. Curious to hear one

Sorry :
(looks like a normal correction) < quote this bit. note previous crashes on chart and the steep increase before sharp downturn
combine with my expert fundamental analysis in earlier post and I think we may be in for a bull run baby. then a crash!

 

[Bill M]

Sorry :
(looks like a normal correction) < quote this bit. note previous crashes on chart and the steep increase before sharp downturn
View attachment 91329 combine with my expert fundamental analysis in earlier post and I think we may be in for a bull run baby. then a crash!

Thanks for the quote and the chart, I hope you are right.

explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000 (US double top then bear)
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500 (Up till March then China down)
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
Iggy_Pop........ 5655
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
fiftyeight......... 5858
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
rederob......... 6543
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900 (looks like a normal correction)

 

[PZ99]

Just a quick update

Top 5 is kid hustler , fiftyeight , Horace , peter2 & macca

 

[Toyota Lexcen]

Looking forward to the next update, Trump & China sorted next.

 

[qldfrog]

So real estate and economic figures a disaster, rba might have to reduce the rate and so crash the AUD, debt as high as ever with China stopped in its economic track but asx goes on a crazy high..
What can go wrong?

 

[Toyota Lexcen]

having good run, Brexit sorted out shortly as well

 

[PZ99]

I'm stranded on a one man mobile phone island at the moment so haven't access to the spreadsheet but with the XAO at 6274 that puts
Greggles in the lead at 4
followed by Bill M at 67
Then sptrawler at 101
peter2 at 135
SirRumpole at 174
Toyota Lexen at 226

Hope that's correct. Cheers

 

[PZ99]

XAO hits around 6350

That puts Bill M in pole position,

followed by sptrawler, greggles, Toyota Lexen, rederob and peter2

(sorry got the colours mixed up)...

Happy Easter

 

[Bill M]

Yeeehaa, looking good. Thanks for the update.

 

[PZ99]

Australian shares surge to 11-year high after nearly all sectors rise more than one per cent each

https://www.news.com.au/finance/mar...h/news-story/d75455b7e27ddd0d10aaff47435a3824

 

[qldfrog]

and yet my overly bearish portfolio if going from high to high..bond usd, gold, etc
weird time

 

[PZ99]

Let's do this again LOL

 

[Logique]

6,728 at 19 June. The pool of possible winners is shrinking rapidly, well done to you high rollers.

Explod, mate at 2,300 you could probably put the cue in the rack at this point

 

[PZ99]

 

[Joules MM1]

I predict these predictionings are predictable predicated on the predicament of peculiar passions for near-term near-sighted nearly-right-ed-ness, price pickin'

explods footy bloodbath lookin red

 

[PZ99]

ASX opens higher after Wall St hit records

The Australian share market has risen at the start of trading after stocks on Wall Street hit new highs.

The benchmark S&P/ASX200 index was up 28.6 points, or 0.43 per cent, to 6,714.1 points at 1030 AEST on Thursday, while the broader All Ordinaries was up 27.5 points, or 0.41 cent, to 6,797.6.

Healthcare and financial shares were the highest climbers, adding 1.12 per cent and 0.85 per cent respectively.

Pharma giant CSL was up 1.68 per cent to $220.89, Healius was up 1.32 per cent to $3.06 and AusCann was up 3.52 per cent $36.75.

The big four banks all gained, with ANZ up 1.19 per cent to $28.12, Commonwealth up 1.04 per cent to $81.79, NAB up 0.86 per cent to $26.85, and Westpac up one per cent to $28.18.

The heavyweight materials sector was the only segment of the ASX to fall within the first half hour.

Mining giant BHP was down 0.69 per cent to $41.79, Rio Tinto was down 0.61 per cent to $106.40 and Fortescue Metals was down 0.64 per cent to $9.34.

All three major Wall Street indices finished at record highs overnight, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing up 0.67 per cent, the S&P 500 up 0.77 per cent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite up 0.75 per cent.

The Aussie dollar is buying 70.36 US cents from 69.94 US cents on Wednesday.

https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/asx-set-open-higher-wall-st-records-210919979--spt.html

 

[HelloU]

will just say that over last few months xao was lagging xfl (50) and diverging ....... and influencing my decisions in a negative/tentative way ........ but gap is now closing (for what it is worth to those that look at this)

of course xjo is currently rolling over intra-day 13:23 04Jul19 as I type this, so who knows.

 

[Bill M]

Triple B.......... 6900 (looks like a normal correction)

Well done Triple B. Long way to go but right now your choice is looking good.