Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Yearly XAO Prediction Thread

Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down/FED re-balancing/falling AUD
 
kid hustlr 6000 - economy OK, no stock catalyst

Added, ta.

Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down/FED re-balancing/falling AUD
5 Words or less is what we are going with so I just took your first 5. If you want to change them, you can, thanks.

You can change your entries or comments until 2359 hours 13th Jan. Comments = 5 words or less. Thanks.

explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occassionial rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow)
MrChow.......... 5400
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900
 
5650

US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor
Thanks, added.

explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
MrChow.......... 5400
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900
 
5655, Labour win election, impact on franking credits with change for many SMSFs to international shares, Global growth still positive but does slow down.

Iggy
 
Absolutely no idea what value XAO will end up at and don't even want to try and guess.
2019 will be a down year, but more importantly, the market will tell us what it really wants to do before it actually happens.
 
Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020

5655, Labour win election, impact on franking credits with change for many SMSFs to international shares, Global growth still positive but does slow down.

Iggy

Thanks, added. Taking entries until Sunday the 13th 2359 Hours if anyone else is interested. If you want to add a 5 words or less comment please supply it and I will put it up for you.

explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
MrChow.......... 5400
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
Iggy_Pop........ 5655
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900
 
DOW, Oil, Banks all up.

6800+ Bank rally drags XAO up (Dow up from here, 1 to 2 years left in Bull)

5400 - High Early Low Late

Thanks everyone, added.

explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
Iggy_Pop........ 5655
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900
 
The yearly XAO prediction thread is still taking educated guesses/punts/tea leaf readings until 2359 Hours Sunday the 13th January (tomorrow night). So if you would like to enter your number with a 5 words or less comment please enter now (the comment is not compulsory). So far we have entries ranging from 2300 to 6900. It is interesting times and I'm looking forward to the year ahead. The thread will be open for comments and general discussion throughout the year. Good luck everyone, cheers.

explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
Iggy_Pop........ 5655
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900
 

Comment: US double top then bear.

Comment
Up till March then China down

Thanks everyone, added.

explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000 (US double top then bear)
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500 (Up till March then China down)
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
Iggy_Pop........ 5655
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
rederob......... 6543
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900
 
Anyone else want to put in a prediction for the XAO at the end of the calendar year? Tonight's the last night if you are interested, cheers.
 

Thanks, added. PS: Very clever ;)

explod............. 2300 (I feel a bloodbath afoot)
jjbinks............. 3000
InsvestoBoy..... 3000
Smurf1976...... 4000 (US double top then bear)
$20shoes........ 4380
qldfrog............ 4500 (Up till March then China down)
Darc Knight..... 4800 (sustained bear market, occasional rallies)
Trednomics...... 4900 (Australian Banking Crisis)
Gringotts Bank. 5000
Struzball......... 5100
IFocus............ 5200 (Trump uncertainty/tariffs/China slow down)
MrChow.......... 5400 (High Early Low Late)
Logique.......... 5500 (China slowdown, UK hard Brexit)
bigdog........... 5650 (US/China tariffs, Brexit and labor)
Iggy_Pop........ 5655
jbocker........... 5575 (Markets, Banks flat; Debt reduction)
macca............ 5700
fiftyeight......... 5858
kid hustler....... 6000 (economy OK, no stock catalyst)
SirRumpole..... 6100
peter2............ 6139 (US/China sorted, bank rally starting)
greggles......... 6270
Bill M............. 6341 (Follows DOW down, then up)
sptrawler........ 6375 (Down, up, Labor recession mid 2020)
Toyota Lexen.. 6500
rederob......... 6543
tinhat............ 6780
PZ99............. 6800 (DOW, Oil, Banks all up.)
lusk.............. 6800 (Bank rally drags XAO up)
Systematic..... 6851 (20% year - we’re overdue, baby!)
Triple B.......... 6900
 
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