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Yearly XAO Prediction Thread

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divs4ever said:
i was just hoping the market would bl**dy crash and get some reality into the metrics , but here we are still above 7000
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see it that way, inflation at +7%..at very least
XNT( market+divs) on the last year +2%
overall an index etf has lost more than 5% real value..it is substancial but indeed not free fall yet;
Note i would be happy to have a 2% gain on the last 12months as last FY was bad for me
 
will be interesting to see if the folks with super-funds ( as a client ) start making different choices ( to say , self-manage , or just change fund managers ) am waiting for a fair drop before considering if and which ETFs to put cash into .

my results are always patchy because i venture into unpopular corners looking for the gems that may take a couple of years to shine ( like say TUA )
 
peter2 said:
Three months later
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And a few weeks later, @PZ99 at 7000 looking like being back in contention, though @qldfrog is probably lining up a tuxedo and polishing an acceptance speech, though 5800 is unlikely with only 6 trading days left.

(6400, halfway, may not be !) (And 6399 will win it)
 
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wayneL said:
please, do not employ any .. mathematical analysis to the above... As Monsieur Foucault has taught, truth is relative... And I can employ any sort of mathematical truths I feel like using..
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But truth can get you into trouble. Stalin didn't like Kantorovich showing that central planning was inefficient (not optimal).

 
wayneL said:
Psst, hey @Knobby22

Guess who the actual wooden spooner is?
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Yea, didn't think the Ukraine war would go ahead and we would have a SP blow off. Didn't think Putin would be that stupid.

I actually got out of nearly everything in January and am still on the sidelines. Starting to get interested again but that's it.
 
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