Yearly XAO Prediction Thread

[divs4ever]

i was just hoping the market would bl**dy crash and get some reality into the metrics , but here we are still above 7000

 

[qldfrog]

i was just hoping the market would bl**dy crash and get some reality into the metrics , but here we are still above 7000

see it that way, inflation at +7%..at very least
XNT( market+divs) on the last year +2%
overall an index etf has lost more than 5% real value..it is substancial but indeed not free fall yet;
Note i would be happy to have a 2% gain on the last 12months as last FY was bad for me

 

[divs4ever]

will be interesting to see if the folks with super-funds ( as a client ) start making different choices ( to say , self-manage , or just change fund managers ) am waiting for a fair drop before considering if and which ETFs to put cash into .

my results are always patchy because i venture into unpopular corners looking for the gems that may take a couple of years to shine ( like say TUA )

 

[Dona Ferentes]

Three months later

And a few weeks later, @PZ99 at 7000 looking like being back in contention, though @qldfrog is probably lining up a tuxedo and polishing an acceptance speech, though 5800 is unlikely with only 6 trading days left.

(6400, halfway, may not be !) (And 6399 will win it)

 

[wayneL]

I still have hope

 

[wayneL]

I still have hope

And as I said at the time probably more of a 2023 prediction.

 

[divs4ever]

I still have hope

be VERY AFRAID if i suddenly look a strong chance ( my pick was 55something )

good luck

 

[Logique2]

Santa's sleigh must be stuck in the queue at the charging station.

Gunnerguy and Sean K. likely to dice it out between 7200 - 7300

 

[Sean K]

US giving us a poor lead, once again. I might still be in the hunt for the chicken dinner.

Tesla continues to get smashed.

 

[Dona Ferentes]

please, do not employ any .. mathematical analysis to the above... As Monsieur Foucault has taught, truth is relative... And I can employ any sort of mathematical truths I feel like using..

But truth can get you into trouble. Stalin didn't like Kantorovich showing that central planning was inefficient (not optimal).

 

[wayneL]

Psst, hey @Knobby22

Guess who the actual wooden spooner is?

 

[Knobby22]

Psst, hey @Knobby22

Guess who the actual wooden spooner is?

Yea, didn't think the Ukraine war would go ahead and we would have a SP blow off. Didn't think Putin would be that stupid.

I actually got out of nearly everything in January and am still on the sidelines. Starting to get interested again but that's it.

 

[divs4ever]

Psst, hey @Knobby22

Guess who the actual wooden spooner is?

not me ( as of Friday morning 23rd December ) but am certainly heading in that direction , i would be surprised/delighted if 6500 doesn't hold

 

[Knobby22]

And also I will have you know I learnt to play Stairway from Heaven when I was 14 and Jimmy Paige didn't write it till he was 24.
I think that says a lot.




(Stolen from Rik Mayal)

 

[PZ99]

And also I will have you know I learnt to play Stairway from Heaven when I was 14 and Jimmy Paige didn't write it till he was 24.
I think that says a lot.



View attachment 150860
(Stolen from Rik Mayal)

That sounds like Bad News to me.. just like the last few days on the market

 

[Dona Ferentes]

Gunnerguy and Sean K. likely to dice it out between 7200 - 7300

Put on yr gloves, you two. .... Only two more trading days, and it is at 7262. A drop of 25 pts today .

 

[Dona Ferentes]

Snapshot at beginning of last day of trading 30 Dec.
@Sean K tipped 7200 and @Gunnerguy tipped 7300.

Likely to come down to 4:10 and whether it's profit-taking or locking in gains.

 

[Sean K]

View attachment 151033
Snapshot at beginning of last day of trading 30 Dec.
@Sean K tipped 7200 and @Gunnerguy tipped 7300.

Likely to come down to 4:10 and whether it's profit-taking or locking in gains.

8 more pips and it's Gunnas. Under 6 more I get the chicken. Could it be a tie?

 

[Sean K]

Finished at 7221.

Send the roast chook to my joint @Joe Blow

Bad luck @Gunnerguy, was a close race, to the end.

 

[wayneL]

Finished at 7221.

Send the roast chook to my joint @Joe Blow

Bad luck @Gunnerguy, was a close race, to the end.

View attachment 151052

Confirmed in the futs after the close. Nailed it.