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Re: XAO Analysis


I'm not sure this is a good thing or bad thing, but the CEO looks like he should be in the know. I wonder if he is a neo-con...

William A. Osborn the CEO of Northern Trust, is also Director of Caterpillar Inc., Nicor Inc., Tribune Company and the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

http://www.chicagofed.org/about_the_fed/board_of_directors_osborn_william.cfm
 
Re: XAO Analysis

From "Inside Business" 2 years back...



PETER COSTELLO: I think that there's a lot of lessons that the Australian Government could learn from looking at the New Zealand experience.
Paul Costello runs the New Zealand Superannuation Fund, which began investing 18 months ago. Similar to the Future Fund but much broader, it will help fund the country's universal pension for Kiwi citizens over the age of 65.

ANDREW GEOGHEGAN: Being a very big fish in a small pond, the NZ Fund has invested most of its money offshore.
PAUL COSTELLO: Because of the size of the fund relative to the local market, we've had to keep our allocation to it quite modest. We allocate just over 7 per cent of our assets to the local equity market and around 10 per cent to the local bond
market.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Looking at the vertical rally, we should be targeting 6500 by next Monday. In terms of the broader market, it still appears to be a 'wait and see' game as to which way it'll break.
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

Forgive me if this has been posted before. Where does the 40 odd billion government contribution come from for the future fund?.. 10 billion in TLS, ok, but the rest? Is that a future contribution or dollars sitting in a bank account somewhere?

The Chinese have a 1 trillion + war chest as well which could be extra gunpowder for the market boom, the big ASX resource companies must look very juicy in their eyes I guess, not sure how those sort of things would be judged from a foreign investment stand point, probably fair game I imagine.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

A picture says it better than I can..... ..
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

Some interesting pre-open figures showing in one of my watchlists right now...

Option expiry again.

GP
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

1.36% drop on the S&P500 last night, confirmed a lower high...not looking good.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Ah... this looks better

(except for BHP of course)

GP
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

A picture says it better than I can..... ..

Yep, thats pretty much it Kauri. Same view I have had for quite a while, we have a definite broadening top formation and even through we had a record close, we actually didn't breach our all time intra day high....

Not a good sign at all..... But lets not get depressed, hopefully the short game will appear!

Cheers
 
Re: XAO Analysis

happytrader said:
The June options expiry date is the 28th.
Well maybe some warrants then.

Cheers,
GP
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

the past few trading days have had a stellar run. l think that it will dip for sure with some profit taking today. l predict atleast a 40-60 point drop today easy. Then again, just my 2 cents
 
Re: XAO Analysis

the past few trading days have had a stellar run. l think that it will dip for sure with some profit taking today. l predict atleast a 40-60 point drop today easy. Then again, just my 2 cents
Well, an easy way to predict it is to have a look at the futures Danny. Down 47, so in your guestimated range. Well done. Doesn't mean it will happen of course. We sometimes have news released during the day that effects our market.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Well, an easy way to predict it is to have a look at the futures Danny. Down 47, so in your guestimated range. Well done.

LOL thats probably what he did, but he made a range so it wouldnt be obvious
 
Re: XAO Analysis

All good. l was just looking at how the US markets travelled last nite. 150 or so point drop on the dow last night. l'm only a very very beginner. But, l am finding that it's easier to read the indicies and commodities than stocks. Just my opinion.
 
Re: XAO Analysis

Looks like the short term run to 6500 stalled and the short term trend might break.

I've been looking for a broadening wedge, but Kauri's take on it looks good too. Here's a shorter timeframe look.
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

A little bit bearish? Megaphone top forming on the weekly and hang man on the daily?
Edit - just saw Kauri's post - concur.
 

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Re: XAO Analysis

A little bit bearish? Megaphone top forming on the weekly and hang man on the daily?

I am with you UF - we failed to make a new high and the SPI is down some 60+ points at present.......

Be prepared for a red couple of days IMO, 6240 now forms support, secondary support at 6100........ Time to start to be conservative and maintain tight stops........

Brian Shannon on Alpha Trends says it best IMO (www.alphatrends.blogspot.com), trading is a defense game - time to start using that defense.....

Cheers
 
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