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At close: All Ordinaries: 6,054.4 down 92.9.
That's equivalent to a drop of 1.51% after the DOW rose 0.92% last night. Now that's what I call divergence!
I'm going with those who claim a turnaround early next week.
There's still good support yet. Until 6018.9 is comprehensively broken, I'm not too worried about roaming bears.
They'll probably have to go hungry fo a bit longer yet.
I confused now, DOW was up but our market went down, DOW was down this morning by 250, so our market will go up Monday????? Maybe Tuesday Whiskers, you'd think there was a rebound to come sooner or later?
Quarterly and half yearly reports due out soon thay may give our market some stimulus and show AUS is partially decoupled from the US.
Resources are expecting record profits this year combined with takeover activity should give us a boost
The old saying you gotta hit rock bottom before things get better apply too the market atm and we aint hit bottom yet imo
The DOW and NASDAQ feel nearly 2% on Friday so the XAO doesn't stand a chance.
Quarterly and half yearly reports due out soon thay may give our market some stimulus and show AUS is partially decoupled from the US.
Resources are expecting record profits this year combined with takeover activity should give us a boost
The old saying you gotta hit rock bottom before things get better apply too the market atm and we aint hit bottom yet imo
Good quarterly and half year reports are not evidence of decoupling. You would not expect to see earnings weakness in Australia at the same time as the US. Their will be a lag effect and will also depend on how deep and protracted the US slowdown is. ASX company profits will be solid through at least June 2008.
Mining company profits have been declining for several quarters and actually peaked several quarters ago. More importantly as treefrog points out will be company outlooks.
Our Market will be slaughtered on Monday. The DOW and NASDAQ feel nearly 2% on Friday so the XAO doesn't stand a chance.
I'm taking my Bat (money) and Ball (laptop) and going home.
particularly so this round of announcements the market will be looking well forward for earnings and growth projections - a good result that is months old not likely to help at all
3 pretty pics to consider. First two show XAO activity during last two US recessions. 3rd looks at what might happen now.
I confused now, DOW was up but our market went down, DOW was down this morning by 250, so our market will go up Monday????? Maybe Tuesday Whiskers, you'd think there was a rebound to come sooner or later?
An aside, interesting because it does not occur that often is the dead cross of the 50day EMA of the 200 day EMA on the S&P. This has just occurred this week on the S&P500. Though it has no real forecasting capabilities by itself, anecdotally the index either recovers (ie, a golden cross):
i ) within a few weeks with some possible consolidation before the next leg up,
OR
ii) if it cannot recover in a few weeks, the index goes into a much longer term period of consolidation or turns bear - both periods lasting months to years.
Dead Crosses going back to 87 have only occurred 7 times:
Jan 08 till ??
Oct 2000 dead cross lasted until May 03 golden cross (bear market)
Oct 98 dead cross lasted 3 weeks while index traced out a double bottom
dEC 94 - lasted 4 weeks (end of consolidation phase - part of a broader basing phase - before bull market run)
aPRIL 94 dead cross lasted until Aug 94 golden cross (index ranging for most of 94 caused the dead cross)
Aug 90 dead cross lasted until Feb 91 golden cross (bear market)
Oct 87 dead cross lasted until Oct 88 golden cross (bear falls followed by basing phase)
LOLOL
"Bearish" A parody song
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