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You intitled to your view But you are dead WRONG in everything you say above I hate to see people get conned& given fauce hope She will go down in history as the a the first person to bring back from almost death I wont hold my breath /Great Dame
Please do us all a favor and take your negativity else where. Things you haven't considered of digested from this forum
1. JH is going to provide us a more transparent breakdown of the funds loans and investments. From this we will get a better feel for it's state and potential to recover.
2. The fund will over time recover in part from realising true capital value (property prices are deflated at the moment). I would rather wait 3-5 years to realise $11 mill than take $1 mill through liquidation at the moment.
3. a 3 cent (most likely tax free) distribution by December is probably worth 4.25 cents before tax (8.5%)
4. Once RBOS is out of the picture (predicted end of August) the fund will in fact be making money. Lets say the fund is worth $430,000,000 and is conservatively returning 8% that equates to $34,400,000. (if JH takes 2.89 mill there is a little bit of change).
5. If we bail on the fund what is the likely recovery of the 147.5 Million and 50 Million owed by OCV - NOT VERY HIGH!!!!!. JH has already moved to make us an equal creditor of 5. She has predicted OCV is probably worth 400 mill in cash and assets. I for one would rather back JH and get 80 mill (1/5th of 400 mill) than $0.
I am big believer in the fat we can all have an opinion, but lets work with facts and stop going around in circles posting the same old negativity.
Yes things aren't ideal, but we are all in the same boat and the only way we can move forward is to back JH. She might not get to $1 in 5 years but I am backing she will go close - POSITIVITY!!!!!!!!!
You intitled to your view But you are dead WRONG in everything you say above I hate to see people get conned& given fauce hope She will go down in history as the a the first person to bring back from almost death I wont hold my breath /
Octaviar is really in dire straits and it seems very unlikely that we will see a cent of the $147.5 Million plus $50 million.
According to IMF (Australia) Ltd, Legal firm, at the moment there are over
$1 billion worth of claims against Octaviar/MFS, the most significant being:
1. $50 Million shareholder Action by IMF
2. $349 Million Public Trustee of Queensland - court hearing on 9/10 September
3. $100 million in bonds - Challenger - hearing 21 July
4. $270 Million - OPI Pacific Finance - damages claim
5. $197.5 Million - PIF - September hearing for 147.5
6. $60 million - ATO (tax + interest)
7. $40 Million NAB - loan LLA
As at 30 Dec 2007 MFS balance sheet showed $3.8 Billion of assets and $2.6 billion liabilities. On April 28 $1 billion of assets were written off leaving expected net assets of $240 million!! There are also more damages claims expected.
yes all getting very emotive as everything comes to a head -
Hope i havent stirred up any hornets nest - as i have said before i have 30 years experience in Investment banking have been a director of over 40 public companies and whats happened here is the worst example of governance i have ever seen from people claiming to be professionals in my life time.
Regards
Deano1
It appears we all need a good strong fully represented action group to carry all these forum messages direct to WC / ASIC warts and all.
From what I am hearing and reading, the AG's are well underway awaiting for the final meetings today and tomorrow.
About poking a stick into the hornets nest, try stamping on a bull ants nest without getting bitten.
There are a lot more prickly questions to be answered yet.
All will be revealed at some point of time.
Splipin
Duped i dont believe this guy has an answer for anything in life henceforth i have dubbed him Mr Magoo, i really would not like to be in need of life threatening help with this person around ,even he or she if they were to take the time to look at their contributions to this forum must see how negative they appear to most others who contribute, i actually am not very happy with myself for responding like this,because idiots like this should not be given a moment of anybodys time.(i have resolved not to respond any more until they stop children from logging threads on this forum)i shall correspond through Breaker1 via E/mail keep up the good work those in the positive cheers FlatbackSo what's your solution?
... before anyone can make an informed decision - WC have to come out and explain exactly what the assets are that are supporting the loans - they dont have to break and commercial confidentialities to do this ...
Deano 1 the most sensible post for some weeks now without the above we may as well pack the bags and go home, i believe the above will be address'd in the next week or two and all of our questions will be answered whether they will be what we want? who knows , but we have to stop beating ourselves up,just a few more weeks then we will know which way to go,final post Flatbackyes all getting very emotive as everything comes to a head - i'll come back to the points i have raised here before - before anyone can make an informed decision - WC have to come out and explain exactly what the assets are that are supporting the loans - they dont have to break and commercial confidentialities to do this - like i think Rocky1 has said loan A is supported by an asset in X state ie QLD / Gold coast - the loan value is X and we value that asset at Y - the liquidators value that asset as Z - we think we can achieve Valuation Y over X number of months years ( dont forget the result she has achieved in the liquidation of the 32 apartments last week - that should give people confidence on her valuation models) - 2 liquidation is not necessarily the worst case scenario - Korda Mentha is still liquidating the Ansett debacle and when it all washes up most of the employees will end up getting most of their cash back - ( yeah inflation has made their $1 less than what it is but they still look like getting their money out) a liquidation / or administration doesn't have to be cut and run - it can be an orderly process - i'm not decided on my mums and brothers behalf which way they should go yet as i really want to see what is in this fund before decisions get made - but what i really do want to see is the thieves who have stolen the money - if they have 1c buried somewhere - i want that recovered - the directors of MFS are personally liable for the criminal activity if they knowingly permitted it to occur and from what i have heard, read - seen - they knew - they are guilty - and they need to be persued - i think you will find they have money buried everywhere and the longer they have to shift this away from recovery - the harder and more expensive it becomes to recover it. persue whats nearest and dearest to these thieves - their wallet and listen to the scream - i'd like to hear some fighting words from WC on this front - I'd be anti listing on any exchange if you can keep the process in house your not opening yourself to any sort of market manipulation - remember someone offering 20c is probably going to get hit on the bid at the moment - and if the fund is worth say 45c now they are in front and do not share the same objectives as the current unit holders - although i do recognise the need for some sort of facility to allow those desperatly in need of some cash to get access to it.
My final comment yes WC are in it to make money for themselves - i hope they make a fortune as they will make a silk purse out of a sows ear - and the unit holders will ultimately benefit - but if they can't turn it around its going to be your money going to pay them for something that could have been done via administration.
Until you see the loan book, assets and a valuation comparison all this is just venting over a bllody disgraceful set of circumstances - once you get the details then you can make an informed decision - and JH, WC or anyone else cannot suggest / infer whats best for you - you need to make the decision based on having access to all the facts you need to make that decision.
Hope i havent stirred up any hornets nest - as i have said before i have 30 years experience in Investment banking have been a director of over 40 public companies and whats happened here is the worst example of governance i have ever seen from people claiming to be professionals in my life time.
Regards
Thanks for the update breaker.
It seems JH said the same thing a number of ways regarding future exit vehicles - "not the only model they are looking at"
I truly hope she elaborates on this before August and strongly believe the AG should push her on this as soon as Forums are complete
Also RE: snapping up bargains, surely if she uses PIF money they must go to the PIF
Don't lose sight of the fact that the Fund would have to have the appropriate 'Funds' available to take advantage of these opportunities as they arise. JH is going to be under enormous scrutiny from every direction, I don't think this will be an issue. Welcome to the forum Rance. SeamistyMate, I've got this awful feeling that another genuine redemption plan besides the NSX won't materialise.
I guess if she sees a bargain, she will decide what fund to put it in and then take the money out of the appropriate fund to pay for it, that she wants to favour.
No i am not a menber of the AG group Would you like me to be ? Look Splitpin any DH can get up on the stage and say they save us all guves us no detail what so ever how its going to be done untill i see it in detail in print how its going to be done its just cheap talk to win us over Sorry if i upset a few folk by being blunt But thats me /////////Great Dame
Thank you for your numereous colourfull entries of your view of the world.
Are you a member of your local action group.
And if not / why not.
And if so, is your opinion generally the same as your local group.
Splitpin
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