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The state of the economy at the street level

Or are people who might previously have bought a new car now buying used instead?
Then market being supply demand, it would be interesting to see the price trend of used cars , and the various segments.
It is a very hard sector to analyse.
Are people buying non expensive ones et reducing amount spent?
Population growth?
Migrants buy extra second hand cars, and 18y old kids..or parents for kids..but otherwise,it is often one bough and one put for sale...
In overall numbers, migrants and population growth add demand, write off in accidents, blown engines and steal and burn reduce the supply.
And if you do not have access to dealers trade-in market/new car sold..hard to draw anything from these numbers imho
 
Looking into the detail from the ABS, it does not look like people are financing less, at least in dollar terms with personal loans for personal loan vehicle financing.
So many new cars these days are bought on Novated leases.
The NALSpA put out a media release that there had been strong growth up until March 2024.



One can draw many conclusions from the above, all or none of which may be true.
Mick
 
Was at a 2YO birthday party today.
Talking to some of the guests, it seems that in this area (Goulburn Valley, Vic) at least, things are definitely slowing down.
One guy who runs a 13 man electrical business has gone so quiet that he will not be replacing a staff member leaving in a few weeks.
A carpet layer has been so quiet that he is doing a few weeks work in Adelaide to cover expenses.
One of our butchers is closing, he could not sell the business.
The window tinting guy has so little work he is only working three days a week and spending three days a week milking cows.
be interesting in this Tuedsdays town business meeting.
Mick
 
Business revenue is one thing but expenditure is another. It seems businesses are being squeezed on multiple levels and being choked to death.

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A WA mechanic has blamed the “spoilt generation” for the closure of his business, saying young people were dismissing apprenticeships because of low pay while ordering “$50 burgers” on Uber Eats.

If the unemployment rate was higher, I would agree with him 100%. However, with the labour shortage people can choose what they want and demand higher pay. Who wouldn't.

Though I do agree that there is a problem with how some parents and schools have educated a generation into believing that they are gold and know it all. And now believe that they are hard done by with the cost of a house that must include every luxury known to the world, while at the same time limiting land for property, saving the planet with expensive renewable and regulations which hit everyone with added costs.


 
No I meant was the comment prompted by a specific occurrence?
too many potentials this time

a new Government in Japan could be a biggie , and maybe not even wrecking the yen carry trade , just reducing imports drastically

could the EU panic and go back to negative bond rates

and then you have sanctions and a potential full-on trade war ( or several of them )

too many nations with huge debt and trade deficits , Australia will either have to be a patsy lender ( extend unwise credit lines to customers ) or be entangled by the defaults elsewhere
 
in late 2019 i was expecting a liquidity crunch/credit freeze , instead a virus was blamed , while another virus is less likely even that can't be ruled out as a weaponized distraction
 
Prompted by anything specific?
Yesterday passengers attitude in my return trip to Australia.
A bunch of mostly older brits, german and i am sure some French heading to see grandchildren,children who i can only compare to my Chinese flying passengers orderly behaviours in my FIFO days.
No etiquette, hostess having to give up bringing the trolley thru in face of the hords standing in the alley to reach toilets.
Us aussies are actually pretty civil vs this bunch, and i repeat older 60s ..was shocking..

Maybe just wrong roll of dice.
While most things were expensive in Europe and people have it hard on numbers, i did not see it being gloomy.
They are used to, and their wealth is crawling but not falling.
Will compare with home in coming days
 
Is it any wonder why businesses employ less people, reduce services, increase costs, and close up?

Taxes. levies, rates, and energy costs are making it tough for many businesses to stay open and increasing mental health issues. No wonder everyone wants a government job.

Payroll tax is a levy calculated on wages paid to employees. Simone says there are many key issues with payroll tax. “It’s not a tax that takes into account whether your business made a profit or not that year,” she says. “It’s just a tax that’s, basically, you pay your staff this many dollars, so you pay the government this many dollars.”
“So you’ve got these small family businesses who are just out there doing the best that they can in what is a cost-of-doing-business crisis, as much as there is a cost-of-living crisis.”
As a result of this, Simone says they’ve “reduced [their] headcount significantly”. They used to employ “close to 70 people”, now they employ 40.

 
visiting , or checking out the migration potential , i doubt i would like to be anywhere the EU ( or UK ) this ( Northern ) winter

( might be cheaper to stay in Oz than pay the heating bills )
 
Nothing new there. I paid payroll tax for 30 years.
 
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