Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Swine flu pandemic fears

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A lot of people have recovered after being infected from this new flu. Unless it mutates into something more sinister I wouldn’t be too worried just yet. Basic precautions at this stage imo.

I would like to know the stats of recovery vs death once infected.
 
What will happen to the Share market tomorrow? anyone can remember what was happened to the share market during SARS? Which sections will hold up well during this kind of situation?
 
The World Health Organization(WHO) has its Annual Health Assembly on 18-27 May, 2009. Is someone pumping the porcine flu story to attract the world's attention to that moribund Organization ?
 
michael_selway said:
Hm what specific stocks are FLU related?

IMU - Imugene Limited (IMU) specialises in the development and commercialisation of animal health products for pigs and poultry, including vaccines and productivity enhancers. IMU also owns the worldwide rights to the Fowl Adenoviral Vector Delivery System for poultry and the Porcine Adenoviral Vector Delivery System for pigs.

BTA - Biota Holdings Limited (BTA) is an Australian based, anti-infective drug development company. They specialise in the discovery and development of pharmaceuticals, focusing on research for the treatment of viral respiratory diseases, particularly influenza.

Any others?

Thanks

MS
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I was living and working in Singabore when SARS broke out about 5~6 years ago.... sales of thermometers and disposable respiratory face masks through the roof!

Not sure who produces/sells these things but I suppose if you found out you could track back and see if the rapid jump in sales had any impact on their share prices.
 
michael_selway said:
Hm what specific stocks are FLU related?

IMU - Imugene Limited (IMU) specialises in the development and commercialisation of animal health products for pigs and poultry, including vaccines and productivity enhancers. IMU also owns the worldwide rights to the Fowl Adenoviral Vector Delivery System for poultry and the Porcine Adenoviral Vector Delivery System for pigs.

BTA - Biota Holdings Limited (BTA) is an Australian based, anti-infective drug development company. They specialise in the discovery and development of pharmaceuticals, focusing on research for the treatment of viral respiratory diseases, particularly influenza.

Any others?

Thanks

MS
Click to expand...


BDM also ... illiquid , ugly , tightly held.....i keep ramping this sucka but no one listens .. i hold as a park and wait .

maybe worth a research but hey it probably wont suit many here as one needs patience and sneaky smaller accumulated entrys.


anyways DYOR blah blah blah
 
Cripes, 81 now dead and students from NZ having just returned from Mexico showing symptoms. Mexico City schools and universities closed. US hasn't issued any travel warnings yet, or quarantines, but looks on the cards.

Supposed to be flying into Cancun on Friday.... Long way from Mexico City, but .. Hmmm.
 
as reinhardt says.........FOLLOW THE MONEY...!!!! colim powel and al gore set to benefit from bird flu. al HAS been a good boy of late....

Notable members Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers of the firm include partners John Doerr and Brook Byers, as well as high-profile individuals such as Sun Microsystems co-founder Bill Joy (who joined as partner in January 2005), former U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell (who joined in July 2005 in the newly-created position of "strategic limited partner"), and former U.S. Vice President Al Gore, who joined as partner in November 2007 as part of a collaboration between KPCB and Gore's firm Generation Investment Management (GIM) to promote green technology, business and policy solutions. In 2008, John Gage of Sun Microsystems joined Gore as a Partner.
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WIKIPEDIA

Venture capital firm set to reap rewards on swine flu

LOS ANGELES, April 24 (Reuters) - The swine flu outbreak is likely to benefit one of the most prolific and successful venture capital firms in the United States: Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Thomson Reuters Private Equity Week reported on Friday.

Shares of the two public companies in the firm's portfolio of eight Pandemic and Bio Defense companies -- BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX.O) and Novavax (NVAX.O) -- jumped Friday on news that the swine flu killed a reported 60 people in Mexico and has infected people in the United States.
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TAMIFLU....

Rumsfeld isn't the only political heavyweight benefiting from demand for Tamiflu, which is manufactured and marketed by Swiss pharma giant Roche. (Gilead receives a royalty from Roche equaling about 10% of sales.) Former Secretary of State George Shultz, who is on Gilead's board, has sold more than $7 million worth of Gilead since the beginning of 2005.

Another board member is the wife of former California Gov. Pete Wilson.

"I don't know of any biotech company that's so politically well-connected," says analyst Andrew McDonald of Think Equity Partners in San Francisco.

What's more, the federal government is emerging as one of the world's biggest customers for Tamiflu. In July, the Pentagon ordered $58 million worth of the treatment for U.S. troops around the world, and Congress is considering a multi-billion dollar purchase. Roche expects 2005 sales for Tamiflu to be about $1 billion, compared with $258 million in 2004.
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http://money.cnn.com/2005/10/31/news/newsmakers/fortune_rumsfeld/

this would be an absolute rabbit warren if one bothered to do some serious research. it would be enlightening to look at board members, and other companies they are affiliated with..
 
I've already stocked up on masks and will be bringing a few with me when I go out, especially to work while on public transport. You never know which idiot, who after suffering from a flu like symptoms, would still head off to work on public transports because he/she might afraid of being made redundant and would rather risk the rest of the population with the virus than losing a job.

Cleaning your hand is probably the best one to avoid getting infected though. So time to get some more of those non-water based alcohol washing liquid.

Gloom and doom all the way! :D
 
it will be well spread by now. mexico got onto it very late. nz is very good on border control, and small, so i'd say its well gone by now.
maybe mexico is good, as if u get a weak version, like it seems presently, and it mutates, then u r more likely to fight off a nasty mutated version.
 
apparently the spanish flu of 1918 killed about 40-50 million
and thats in a time were high speed global travel was nil.

fingers crossed this isnt comparable.
 
Perhaps this is what all those 'coffins' in some US state were for Metric...

You know all that conspiracy stuff, im sure you know what im talking about, cause i certainly dont
 
And Biota up 78% so far. At least it started in relatively advanced country so the prevention side will be started immediately. If this had started in rural China, well, who knows when we would have heard about it.
 
nunthewiser said:
BDM also ... illiquid , ugly , tightly held.....i keep ramping this sucka but no one listens .. i hold as a park and wait .

maybe worth a research but hey it probably wont suit many here as one needs patience and sneaky smaller accumulated entrys.


anyways DYOR blah blah blah
Click to expand...

Nice run today BTA!

436.jpg


Business Description
Biota Holdings Limited (BTA) is an Australian based, anti-infective drug development company. They specialise in the discovery and development of pharmaceuticals, focusing on research for the treatment of viral respiratory diseases, particularly influenza.

Company Strategy
Biotas strategy is to continue drug discovery and product development programs in antivirals, particularly respiratory antivirals, and to release shareholder value from the processes of discovery, product development and the early clinical phases of drug development. The company is focused on anti-infectives and has developed drug candidates for the treatment of influenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus and hepatitis C infections. In the long run, BTA intends to increase the number of projects within the company?s portfolio and to extend selected products further into clinic. This should help to improve the overall risk balance within the portfolio. Biota Holdings reported net loss of $6.49m for the year ended 30 June 2008. Revenues from ordinary activities were $44.99m, down 21% from last year. Diluted EPS was (3.5) cents compared to 11.0 cents last year. Net operating cash flow was $4.82m compared to $20.98m last year. No dividend was declared.
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BTA - Earnings and Dividends Forecast (cents per share)
2008 2009 2010 2011
EPS -3.6 -1.6 2.9 7.7
DPS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
 

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