- Joined
- 28 May 2020
- Posts
- 6,433
- Reactions
- 12,242
I posted the above back in July this year after king of climate hysteria, Michal Mann and his scientific team made some bold predictions about the severity of the summer 2024 northern hemisphere hurricane season.The king of the Climate Hysteria, Michael Mann, wrote in the WAPO back in April about their predictions for the busiest Hurricane season on record.
Note that these predictions are for named storms, some of which may progress to hurricanes.
There is going to have to be some massive outbreaks of storms to get even close to the 33 figure they forecast.
So far this year there have been 3.
The US is half way through the deemed Hurricane season.
The highest number of named storms was in 2005 with 28.
Mick
View attachment 181503
Having reached the end of the season, it will probably come as a surprise to few that the predictions by Mann's research team have fallen somewhat short.
The final result was 18 named storms, 11 of which were at least category 1 hurricanes, 5 of which were category 3 or greater. (source The Statesman )
The 18 final storms was well short of the "best guess" of 33.
back in September, the Washington Post from where the original article came, made mention of the failure of the models in their predictions, and wrote of a number of factors that may have influenced the strange behaviour that they did not expect.
However, the bottom line, none of the models came up with the right answer, sop they now have to go back and try to tweak them until they get somewhat closer.
Or could could just throw their hands in the air and finally admit that they really have little idea as to what drives the weather.
Mick