So_Cynical
The Contrarian Averager
- Joined
- 31 August 2007
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How about an unprecedented weather event...like today.
What i find repugnant is denial in the face of overwhelming reality.
This is what I find so repugnant, the breathless and gleeful reporting of any extreme weather event these clowns believe bolsters their case.
How about an unprecedented weather event...like today.
What i find repugnant is denial in the face of overwhelming reality.
All records are unprecedented weather events, cold or hot.
However science casts a wider net than a one day record, cold or hot.
A sum of events make an overwhelming reality, not a single event, to imply this is repugnant.
Do you have any graphs that visualise the sum of events that match overwhelming reality?
Letter to the Editor of The Australian
A pattern of extreme weather should not be confused with climate change.
The recent heat wave across much of Central Australia and its occasional extension east and south is a pattern of extreme weather. Climate is the recurring patterns of weather that inure us to such extremes. The climate of Alice Springs is exemplified by 1887, the previously hottest January with an average maximum of 40.7oC. The extreme, nearly 5oC above the long term January average, was made possible by a spell of 11 days over 40oC, a brief respite then another 10 days over 40oC.
Climate change, of course, is a persisting significant departure from the experienced pattern of weather. The current pattern of extreme weather is not outside the envelope of experience that describes Central Australian climate.
William Kininmonth
William Kininmonth headed Australia‘s National Climate Centre at the Bureau of Meteorology from 1986 to 1998.
Is the weather hot in Sydney today? At 45.8 degrees the answer is quite clearly "yes".What i find repugnant is denial in the face of overwhelming reality.
They are detailed and debated in the public domain, beyond the scope of a blog post, but a snippet:
Does he have an opinion about the persistent rise in anomalous extreme temperatures over the last 100+ years?
Ignoring the argumentative fallacy, I suppose so, you can ask him yourself.
We only have records going back to Settlement.
Much of the "evidence" is forward "looking" computer generated projections.
Ian Plimer puts a totally different argument to the Alarmists but is seldom listened to.
Not mine, ... timber frame. asbestos cladding, corrugated iron roof and large picture windows facing north.... houses are built so as to keep the heat out. ...
You're right, I was sitting under an air con both days!I wouldn't say that 43 in Adelaide is extreme. ...
I am not aware of any models that reflect observable data at all.
You won't find any.
“Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful” - George E. P. Box (b 1919)
Is the weather hot in Sydney today? At 45.8 degrees the answer is quite clearly "yes".
Is the climate changing? Hard to absolutely prove but there's a lot of anecdotal evidence to suggest that it is different now to 30 years ago.
Is there a change due to man-made CO2? Possibly but it's unproven. Where's the proof that it's not due to man-made direct heating effects (for example)?
Very true, assuming your perception of any given individual is correct, do you think that is then representative of all, or even the majority, of climate scientists?
How do you feel about AGW coverage in The Australian's over the last 1-2 weeks with regard to truth etc?
A interesting graph from NASA regarding temperature anomalies in the US since 1895. Further global temperature anomalies can be found here (NASA).
Have you ever read the story of the boy who cried wolf?
You can carry on all you like promoting this stuff and most won't even bother to read it. Over and out from me.
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