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RBA cash rate

Free lunch on Monday, toss a coin on Tuesday.
 
A bit of interest in the RBA & BOJ Interest rate decisions on Tuesday & being a trader of the AUD/USD & AUD/JPY. I think the RBA should remain on hold and continue to let the dust settle and give the borrowers a break. The market is untamed but I think Inflation should be given bit more time of day to deflate...

The RBA surprised a few of us by retaining their slightly hawkish bias in their February statement. Inflation is lower, consumer spending and growth are slowing. So what gives? The RBA still think inflation is too high, and they remain reluctant to announce a victory on inflation, particularly when the Fed retain a higher interest rate and it remains unclear as to when they may hike.

And until they remove from the final paragraph of the statement that “a further increase in the interest rate cannot be ruled out”, the RBA appear set to hold at 4.35%.


 
rock and hard place.

Governments throwing money everywhere, cost of living keeps going up, great employment figures, and a cooling economy.

The next 6 to 12 months is going to be interesting.
@JohnDe I guess those suffering with mortgage stress can get by for another month without tightening the belt another notch.
 
@JohnDe I guess those suffering with mortgage stress can get by for another month without tightening the belt another notch.
How bad can it be, the ANZ CEO announced today that they have .3 % of lenders in their hardship programme, 79% of customers were in front with loans and 50% were ahead by 3 months. I reckon you're going to see another rate rise before the years out.
 
How bad can it be, the ANZ CEO announced today that they have .3 % of lenders in their hardship programme, 79% of customers were in front with loans and 50% were ahead by 3 months. I reckon you're going to see another rate rise before the years out.
@TimeIsmoeny perhaps rubbery figures, or is their loan book not that very large??
 
@TimeIsmoeny perhaps rubbery figures, or is their loan book not that very large??

Household disposable income is low but I think most people are getting by. If I get time tomorrow I'll see what other banks have as figures.

AMP figures.



 
Ok hang your nuts over the fence and put number on it. Lol
What do you think it will settle at?
I said a while ago 5.1 %.

How bad can it be, the ANZ CEO announced today that they have .3 % of lenders in their hardship programme, 79% of customers were in front with loans and 50% were ahead by 3 months. I reckon you're going to see another rate rise before the years out.
I still think 5.1% will be the top out point for the RBA, atm they are just letting people adjust IMO.
My earlier post above, was on November 7.
 

Experts split on first rate cut – and some think 2026

And it's not just the banks who can't agree on when we'll get that first rate cut. In this month's Finder RBA Cash Rate Survey, where 42 experts and economists made their predictions, 39 of the votes are stretched across a 7-month window. Take a look below.
The end of the bar chart is something struggling homeowners might want to shield their eyes from, with 2 experts believing a rate cut will only come in 2026. Let's hope not.






 
And is hardly surprising that the RBA cash rate remains the same after todays meeting.
Now to digest the rationale behind it.
Mick
 
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