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RBA cash rate

Looks like Goldman Sachs agrees with us Wayne.

ASX flat; RBA rate at 4.85pc by Sep: Goldman​

Stocks flat. Goldman Sachs raises RBA rate hike expectations
Goldman Sachs, like the other big players, will only release statements that help them make money.
They aint there to dispel truth or help out investors.
Morgan Stanley sees only one more rate hike.
Blackrock sees persistent inflation worldwide including OZ, as he thinks much of the inflation is structural.
i would take anything GS, MS or Blackrock make with a grain of salt.
They will be positioning themselves to make a few billion no matter what happens.
Mick
 

Phil Lowe gave a speech this morning and he had a slide which showed productivity at 2019 levels. It never recovered post-COVID. This is despite wages growth.
My interpretation was that we had too many workers not doing much at all. So either we trim the fat, or we get those workers on payroll to do more work. I would think the latter would lead to a supply glut and would be more harmful to business' bottom line, so the former is the reasonable option.


 
All those office workers who think that working from home is the way to go, will be finding themselves replaced by people working from home in India, but don't tell them. ?
Like I said working from home is like buying a home gym, the only workout that happens is the building of the gym and the dragging the gym out for the verge pick up.
A lot of shocks are coming IMO, that's why Labor get in when the going gets tough, the tough get going and the media don't intervene.
It isn't until it is all over, before the general public go what the f#ck happened and then the cycle starts again.
 
Well it didn't take long for the above quote to be confirmed.
Ah the clever country. ?

From the article:
If you’ve taken out a mortgage with ANZ Bank, there’s a decent chance some processing of the loan occurred in the fast-growing city of Bengaluru in India.
The banking giant has close to 8000 staff in the city, who work on everything from helping to process applications for some loans or credit cards, to developing payment platforms, to conducting checks on new business clients.
 
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Wow I'm not with ANZ fortunately. It was bad enough when I had to deal with the out-sourcing that Telstra had. Their spoken English is not what I could understand most tims.
 
All those office workers who think that working from home is the way to go, will be finding themselves replaced by people working from home in India, but don't tell them. ?
This is the same as what happened to blue collar workers back in the eighties, their jobs were exported to China. I don't recall much empathy from white collar workers at the time. I think this is called Karma.
 
Wow I'm not with ANZ fortunately. It was bad enough when I had to deal with the out-sourcing that Telstra had. Their spoken English is not what I could understand most tims.
I had to call the NAB about a security issue, and spoke to someone who was most likely Filipino.
She may have been living in OZ, and got a job with a local NAB call centre, but I doubt it.
I struggled to understand her a few times, but then I am old an decrepit.
As one gets older, the hearing deteriorates asTelephones will not pick up sound below 300 or 400 HZ, and so for most people the lowest tones are not transmitted.
To make matters worse, as we get older, the upper level of frequency that we can hear steadily reduces, so that the softer sounds like s, f or h tend to be indistinguishable. Women and children tend to have voices in the higher frequency ranges, so older people can hear people speaking, but struggle to hear the subtle differences with these softer consonants. You can hear, but struggle to understand.
Getting old sucks.
Mick
 
Inflation is the enemy of the people, not debt laden government.
People will rejoice at no more hike, but will be decimated financially in a decade of higher real inflation.
No plebe winner here in n Oz as we do not have much fixed rate loans..different in Europe or US where you could get 25y fixed at 2%...
Bingo...for them
 
These banks with el-cheapo loans ovr a long time frame are they in the same leauge as ours making massive profits or on the verge of going bust as interest rates rise.
 
These banks with el-cheapo loans ovr a long time frame are they in the same leauge as ours making massive profits or on the verge of going bust as interest rates rise.
Some might get bust but in France, home loan are fixed on 20 or 25y.
I know my sister switched hers back to a lower rate a couple of years ago..in the 2 PC range.
I also know my parents borrowed on a similar low rate a couple of years before the first oil crisis 1974?
With inflation and salaries soaring, it was the deal of a lifetime if you were keeping in the same place..which is the standard in France.
I was shocked and scared when I had to use the Aussie variable rate and could not wait repaying that open liability asap.
Different culture and financial experience, far from the she'll be right and market always rise mottos we have here?
 
The point, a negative one, with long fixed rate mortgages is that it makes it hard to sell out and move. Because the old mortgage rate isn't transferable, so any new purchase would carry a higher rate, now.

So much for flexibility.
 
Most of the financial institutions are spreading the news that rates have peaked.
The Evil Murdoch Press are helping them push the story
Its in the Banks interest of course to convince people that interest rates will be falling "real soon now" so that they can lok in their costs but are free to increase the rates they charge on loans.
So I treat it with a grain of salt.
They may end up being correct, who knows.
Mick
 
Maybe the Govt is happy, to milk the cow, rather than pull its ×!+$ off?
Why have a crash, when you can milk the extra gst, extra taxes on wages, profits, stamp duty on increased house prices.
All it does is reduce the buying power of savings and who cares about that? Lol
 
With the multi trillion dollar debt I guess the Govt is more than happy to squeeze every possible dollar out of the long suffering tax payers and those existing on Struggle Street.
 
As I was itting around waiting for todays RBA rates decision, I was idle looking at the RBA website.
This chart from the RBA highlights how from an histroric perspective, the rates of tay are nothing special in that they are still lower than at any time from 1990, and if the chart had more historical data, would go back even further would show that it is less than any valueof the cash rate as far back as 1969.

Not sure why we are all whinging about rates.
Mick
 
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