Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

LYC - Lynas Rare Earths

Hello Rabbithop, hoping find you swell. rcw1 going alright, still recovering from reverse shoulder replacement. Rolled rcw1, not a tough as first thought, taken a good while for the body to heal... Good thing can concentrate on our market.... LYC not sure how far it will drop. I'll go back in on the rise. See what it does tomorrow then.

Did you finish the house improvements?

Kind regards
rcw1
Finally, completed the whole kitchen n 3 bathrooms renovation. Big Sigh of relief n enjoying living in it. Good backyard n front yard size so have been busy trying to create backyard veggie garden.
 
Good evening
LYC sp continues to tumble. Another 52 week low chalked up ... March been a terrible month for LYC.
  • Financials could have been better;
  • Tesla announced its next generation powertrain won't need any REE;
  • Tesla announcement of projected new car numbers were at the much lower end of expectations;
  • Awaiting amendment to operating license in Malaysia;
  • S@*t load of selling happening; and
  • Awaiting Kalgoorlie Plant to come on line by 30 June 2023.
Those buying on the dip, this is a dip .... ha ha ha ha, a big dip... don't fall in...
View attachment 154372


View attachment 154367

Not holding.
Have a very nice evening.


Kind regards
rcw1
Good evening
LYC sp continues to tumble. Another 52 week low chalked up ... March been a terrible month for LYC.
  • Financials could have been better;
  • Tesla announced its next generation powertrain won't need any REE;
  • Tesla announcement of projected new car numbers were at the much lower end of expectations;
  • Awaiting amendment to operating license in Malaysia;
  • S@*t load of selling happening; and
  • Awaiting Kalgoorlie Plant to come on line by 30 June 2023.
Those buying on the dip, this is a dip .... ha ha ha ha, a big dip... don't fall in...
View attachment 154372


View attachment 154367

Not holding.
Have a very nice evening.


Kind regards
rcw1
Just scary to look at the graph falling. Pot is empty now. If its 5, I will need to search under the mattress.
Same goes for PLS??, may have to overturn the mattress.
 
Good evening
LYC sp continues to tumble. Another 52 week low chalked up ... March been a terrible month for LYC.
  • Financials could have been better;
  • Tesla announced its next generation powertrain won't need any REE;
  • Tesla announcement of projected new car numbers were at the much lower end of expectations;
  • Awaiting amendment to operating license in Malaysia;
  • S@*t load of selling happening; and
  • Awaiting Kalgoorlie Plant to come on line by 30 June 2023.
Those buying on the dip, this is a dip .... ha ha ha ha, a big dip... don't fall in...
View attachment 154372


View attachment 154367

Not holding.
Have a very nice evening.


Kind regards
rcw1
Hmmm the current dip could be aligned with the super pit in Kal. The further you look down the deeper it gets.
 
The joint was no good, needed replacing and the surgeon couldn't put the joint back in place the same way, so, its reversed. Where your plate and ball is in the Shoulder joint, rcw1 is the opposite .... unreal what they can do these days... Getting there, long hard slog. Thanks for your kind comment.

Kind regards
rcw1
rcw "shoulder" on Are you in the pool exercising that shoulder?
 
What's going on here guys?

Malaysia?
Rare Earths going to be replaced by something else?
REE prices tumbling?
Overbought and correcting?

Hoping some long term support here might hold.

Screenshot 2023-03-15 at 11.55.33 am.png
 
What's going on here guys?

Malaysia?
Rare Earths going to be replaced by something else?
REE prices tumbling?
Overbought and correcting?

Hoping some long term support here might hold.

View attachment 154406
Hi Sean......Have a look at my post Nrs 1514 & 1516 page 76 both dated 13/2/22 in this forum......REE's were on the nose back then.....Looks like the perverbial has begun to hit the fan, so to speak.......Cheers..... DrB....
 
Last edited:
Last researched LYC back on 13/9/22……My Buy Price WAS $6.50, their IV is $7.11 to $7.96……..

Anyone interested in LYC should read my posts in this forum on page 76, post Nrs 1514 & 1516 on 13/2/22 to understand what MAY be happening to LYC ATM…… AND ALSO suggest that REE Punters do a Google Search for "Alternatives to Rare Earth Elements", that search may explain the Troubles with REE Stocks.

LYC’s FA has not changed much since 13/9/22….. Their TA is following my calculations……LYC has a couple of Support Lines atm, and at least 5 Resistance lines above it’s current SP……

LYC has been trading in “Nose Bleed Territory” since late Dec 2022, Now it’s SP is back where it should be, closer to the range of $7.11 to $7.96….

IMO the current Downtrend that started on 5/4/22 should continue…..

As I mentioned in my 13/2/22 Posts…..B Careful with LYC……Wat too many UNKNOWNS IMO……
20230315 LYC Cht 1206hrs.jpg

Cheers…..
DrB.
 
Boo hoo hoo. Pick up PLS today after searching under the mattress. If LYC hit the low 5, I will overturn the whole mattress for spares.
 
Good morning
  • Lynas Rare Earths raised to Buy: Bell Potter
Not Holding. Most volatile at the minute... A watching though.
Have a very nice day, today.

Kind regards
rcw1
 
Good morning
  • Lynas Rare Earths raised to Buy: Bell Potter
Not Holding. Most volatile at the minute... A watching though.
Have a very nice day, today.

Kind regards
rcw1

Do they say why? Just oversold maybe, looking better value?

Looks like this support might be holding.

Screenshot 2023-04-03 at 12.41.16 pm.png
 
I may as well throw my thoughts into the LYC discussion…..

IMO the $6.50 Long Term Support/ Resistance Line is currently (@ 2pm 3/4/23) a Continuation Benchmark Candle Formation RESISTANCE LINE @ $6.56 as the SP is now $6.51…..

My Current ST CCI is forming a Double Top (pages 20 & 109)….. and the MFI is in Oversold Territory (pages 36 to 43)……

The current LYC SP now has “Not Much ion the way of Support Lines” but it does have a minimum of 5 Resistance Lines Above it….

Not all that encouraging IMO…..

I would need to see 2 Green Candles Wholly above the $6.56 immediate Res Line B4 calling any sort of ST Uptrend….
20230403 LYC Cht.jpg

So, IMO, Keep your powder Dry and wait for some TA Confirmation Signals…..and forget the Bell Potter "Smoke n Mirrors".....
DYOR..
DrB


Cheers....
 
Do they say why? Just oversold maybe, looking better value?

Looks like this support might be holding.

View attachment 155318
Hello @Sean K,
Hoping find you well.

Do they say why?
No M8 they didn't. Didn't really explore though. Couldn't care less what they say... truth be told.

Just oversold maybe,

Yes, reckon so. Deep reservations by shareholders re the Malaysian issue, also some expected anxiety about whether or not Kalgoorlie will come on line as anticipated - 30 June 2023, couple of assumptions, although rcw1 don't see it that way. She'll be right o_O? ...
Check this out:

Was waiting for the Kalgoorlie update... March 2023. Kept one and all in suspense :) Looking pretty good it does, much much better than the December update.
looking better value?
rcw1 picked up a taste on the rise today, see what it does then ... Kept purposely overnight ....

Looks like this support might be holding.

Yep, buttt not out of the woods yet.

Have a very nice night.

Holding

Kind regards
rcw1
 
With REE stocks undergoing renewed interest, and offtake being signed, the spectre of previous REE rallies, in ARU, LYC, HAS, even ASM, from earlier decades looms large.

Find resource, prove up, raise capital, seek end users, develop processing pathway .... long, long lead times.

Since listing:
Screenshot_20230411-101202_CommSec.jpg
 
Good morning

Lynas production hit by supplier shortage​

Lynas Rare Earths' Malaysian plant delivered its best ever quarterly performance for neodymium and praseodymium (NdPr) production of 1725 tonnes in the March quarter, but supplier issues weighed on the final output.

The record came despite a general shutdown of the Lynas Malaysia plant for over 3 days to undertake tie-in works for the mixed rare earth carbonate (MREC) receival facility, which will receive and prepare feedstock from its Kalgoorlie facility in WA.

But a continued supplier shortage of hydrochloric acid forced postponement of separation of lanthanum-cerium (La-Ce), resulting in lower total Rare Earth Oxide production of 4348 tonnes for the quarter.
Total sales revenue came in at $237.1m, up on the December results of $217.5m, but a substantial decline on the $327.7m in the prior corresponding period.

Holding

Kind regards
rcw1
 
Talk is ramping up, let's hope so is the action.

Time to challenge Chinese dominance in critical minerals race

As the fossil fuel era fades, critical minerals are set to become the new oil. If not yet ubiquitous, they are the sinews of the emerging green and hi-tech economies. Think wind turbines, batteries for the renewable sector, electric vehicles, smart phones and computer hard drives.
They are also crucial for defence because they “power the weapons that determine geopolitical primacy”, says security analyst Liam Gibson. Defence needs rare earths for a vast array of applications, including smart bombs, radar, communication systems and advanced fighter aircraft.

00443213502864ebc0b7fa8b2ba7a6e5.jpg

“Since critical minerals is not a level playing field, we should play to our strengths by building a trusted, secure and sustainable value chain”

This means that they are a strategic asset as well as an economic resource. Only a few minerals have played this role historically. Silver needed for coinage in ancient times and oil, which still lubricates the wheels of transport and industry, are among them.

The problem for the world is that China has cornered the market in critical minerals, especially the 17 rare earths that are processed into high-value tech metals. Many of these have esoteric Greek names and are not well known. They soon will be.

Neodymium is representative. It produces incredibly powerful magnets that drive motors and generators in everything from wind turbines to the magnetic resonance imaging systems that are used to scan our bodies. Virtually all current and planned hybrid and electric vehicles require neodymium or praseodymium magnets. In a strategic play with enormous consequences for the West, China saw early the importance of critical minerals and set out to capture the whole ecosystem for economic and geopolitical advantage. It has largely succeeded by picking winners, using cheap labour, subsidising local exporters and disregarding the environmental damage caused by unregulated processing. In a little more than a decade China’s price dominance buried competitors, transforming the country from a minnow to a critical mineral’s giant that now controls the value chain all the way from mining to processing and manufacturing.

ecf302a758c376c5974f1cbf05a7fccc.jpg

A Fortescue Metals Group mining operation in the Pilbara region.

If this sounds familiar, it is. Under Xi Jinping, the party-state has adopted the same approach to gain market dominance in pharmaceuticals, manufacturing, renewables and battery technology. Market concentration is never a good thing, particularly if the main supplier is a state which practices coercion as a tool of statecraft. Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine exposed the folly of Europe’s reliance on Russia for gas. China weaponised rare earths against Japan in 2010 to force the resolution of a maritime dispute in its favour. Tokyo learned its lesson, reducing its dependence on Chinese rare earths from 90 to 60 per cent.

The good news is that Australia is well positioned to provide the critical minerals diversification that the world needs. That’s because we have a rich endowment of critical minerals; world class mining expertise; a rapidly developing renewable energy sector to power the processing plants that turn mined ore into usable powder; and high environmental, social and governance standards that are industry best practice.

These were among the key findings of the recently concluded inaugural Darwin Dialogue on critical minerals that attracted an unusually eclectic gathering of politicians, officials, diplomats, miners and experts from Australia, Japan, India, Europe and the US to the Northern Territory.

Convened by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, there was broad consensus among its participants that China’s command of the critical mineral’s universe would not be diluted without friend-shoring, co-operation and strong government support.

“Pure market-oriented businesses” cannot compete with authoritarian states, says Gibson. Their companies don’t need to make a profit if the government wants control of an industry for geopolitical purposes.

Since critical minerals is not a level playing field, we should play to our strengths by building a trusted, secure and sustainable value chain in which our high ESG standards are a clear comparative advantage. But we are starting from a long way back. Our critical minerals industry is still in its infancy despite recent encouraging progress. Surprisingly, much of the continent remains geologically unexplored and commercially unexploited. We have only a handful of mines producing critical minerals, and only one company that can refine rare earths.

China spends vast sums on protecting its near monopoly, which includes research and development and an 80 per cent share of rare earths intellectual property, once owned by the West. Australia has less than 1 per cent. Meanwhile, the US, Japan and Europe are ramping up investment in critical minerals and associated technology. The Biden Administration committed more than half a trillion dollars to clean energy in November. Small Australian mining juniors struggle to obtain start-up capital and government financial support to fund the billion plus dollars required to establish rare earths processing facilities. The big miners, with deep pockets, have been notably absent from the tech metals sector.

f88ecc18b0159c7fc45869cd0eed6b8a.jpg

Luke Smith, Australian Super, and John Hopkins, Export Finance Australia, speak at The Australian's Critical Minerals Summit at Barangaroo. John Feder/The Australian.

Our university system is failing to deliver the qualified metallurgists, mining engineers, industrial chemists and earth science graduates needed to establish a sector which should do more than dig up critical minerals for processing and value adding offshore. The number of earth science graduates has actually declined. And mining no longer seems to attract young people, its image tarnished by a green zeitgeist increasingly hostile to mining in all its forms even though the minerals sector produces 70 per cent of our export income.

Japan has shown the way forward by treating critical minerals as a strategic resource; encouraging exploration; and exhaustively surveying and identifying commercially exploitable ore bodies. Our national approach is too fragmented, lacks scale and needs to be elevated in the Albanese government’s policy priorities.

As the only significant democratic supplier of rare earths in a supply-constrained world, there is now a once-in-a generation opportunity to establish Australia as a critical minerals superpower. This would be a boon to the world and a virtuous convergence of our climate change, energy and national security interests.

ALAN DUPONT

 
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