Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

LGL - Lihir Gold

... as you were saying Real1ty ... been bagging gold have I? ... & brought it down single-handed why don't you accuse me? because it IS DOWN, you must admit!

another interesting feature & which I have been pointing out quite some time back, if not on this forum then on the other one you were referring to:

the Flight into Security which was supposed to be into Gold, wasn't into gold at all but into the Dollar & ten-year Bonds. the worthless fiat currency, would you believe. have a look at this:

<< "The same old reasoning still applies: The U.S. is regarded as being able to weather a recession much better than the euro zone," wrote strategists at Commerzbank.
Also, the European Central Bank has further to go in cutting interest rates than the Fed, which has already delivered the bulk of its interest-rate cuts in this cycle, they said.
Sadly this increase in the value of the $ will be counterproductive in the long run, damaging exporters ability to be competitive in a global market, and further damage US Exports. >>


"the same old reasoning ..." I like that! whoever I ask you ... in their wildest dreams ... ever expected that the Dollar would beat Gold in the able-to-weather-a-recession stakes?

the last paragraph, commencing with "Sadly..." unfortunately takes the wind out of the sails, any potential bulls still around ... regarding health of US economy.

you may notice that I am posting these comments on the LGL thread, I am doing that on purpose. on the assumption that not many people follow it. if I posted on the Gold thread, it could startle the horses. we don't want to cause any more damage if we can help it. anyway we've clarified one or two things, now let us watch events take their course.

for instance, the greenback vs. the Yen is not looking at all healthy, there could be some hidden meaning in that. the Golden turning-point perhaps?

hoping, not predicting. but with the blinkers off!
 
LGL looks to be impulsing lower on the wekly chart yet there is an outside chance the move down could be counted as corrective. In the nearer term, it may be tracing out a large running flat wave (4) or it may just go straight lower in the wave (5). The possible completion of the wave (4) hit the typical retracement area. There will be some stern resistace in the $2.60 - $2.75 area pending any bounce once these five waves complete.
 

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Great chart Lachlan! but if you superimpose it on the POG, in recent times its almost identical. except in July when the POG was trying to regain previous peaks, LGL was already losing traction. barely noticeably at the time ...

& of course not hard to decide which of the two ... POG or LGL ... is leading which. so we better keep our fingers crossed for Gold.
 
I would be interested to know what LGL holders think of the quarterly results just released. Seems like a very good result from the operation on Lihir Island, with Ballarat slowly coming up to speed, Ivory Coast coming into full production this quarter, and Mt Rawdon holding stable.

The POG will of course impact results for this quarter, but it looks as though the plan of multiple operating mining sites is coming to fruition.
 
Lets put this in perspective. Like every market it's timing. If gold was purchased in 1980, your return after the debasement of your fiat currency of choice would be terrible. If you purchased gold in 1999 when at approx' $250 US ( $500 odd aussie, cannot remember exact exchange rate) your return today would be fantastic. Unfortunately people jump in without doing their research, follow the herd and believe what their pimply financial adviser has heard is a good thing or what the media is broadcasting. Make your own decisions and be prepared to get out when the facts are their for all to see. The house of cards was going to crumble at some stage and unfortunately most people are now frozen in the headlights and are just hoping that things will return to the good times like they have after previous sell offs. Most will get out at the wrong time and get back in at the wrong time. Silly me, I keep forgetting what they tell the masses. Buy and hold for the long term and everything will be alright. Sorry for being so cynical.

Remember Gold 1980 - 2008 Oh dear.
Nikkei 1990 - 2008 40000 down to 8211 Oh dear Oh dear

Sorry about the rant, I won't do it on the LHG board next time. Protect your capital.

Cheers
 
Lets put this in perspective. Like every market it's timing. If gold was purchased in 1980, your return after the debasement of your fiat currency of choice would be terrible. If you purchased gold in 1999 when at approx' $250 US ( $500 odd aussie, cannot remember exact exchange rate) your return today would be fantastic. Unfortunately people jump in without doing their research, follow the herd and believe what their pimply financial adviser has heard is a good thing or what the media is broadcasting. Make your own decisions and be prepared to get out when the facts are their for all to see. The house of cards was going to crumble at some stage and unfortunately most people are now frozen in the headlights and are just hoping that things will return to the good times like they have after previous sell offs. Most will get out at the wrong time and get back in at the wrong time. Silly me, I keep forgetting what they tell the masses. Buy and hold for the long term and everything will be alright. Sorry for being so cynical.

Remember Gold 1980 - 2008 Oh dear.
Nikkei 1990 - 2008 40000 down to 8211 Oh dear Oh dear

Sorry about the rant, I won't do it on the LHG board next time. Protect your capital.

Cheers

Im as cynical as they come, but atleast my posts make sense... you rant is nothing new, and has very little to do with LGL. apart from the fact you mentioned gold... stay off the PCP buddy, its not all bad - LGL up again today and gold climbing for a little while, sit back and smell the roses - it aint all bad...
 
Dear Goldmann, if my post didn't make sense to you why offer a reply stating my rant is nothing new. Never kidded myself that it was ground breaking. I own LGL and gold at the moment, sorry you feel I was trying to bag it. Ask LGL holders that picked up shares at $4 and ask them if their timing could have been better.
I have a cynical view of our financial system, not the value and purpose of gold or owning gold shares.
By the way things are great for my family and myself and we smell the roses everyday, not PCP. Unfortunately this is not the case financially for millions who have put their trust in others to guide them through these times financially. Included in that are stock forums.

Just so you know in future. I hold physical gold which I hope my children pass to the grandkids. LGL, SBM, BDG, AVO. Luckily most were sold last year and bought again recently. Thank my lucky stars I didn't take note of all the "Good news only allowed or you will be chastised and sent to the back of the class" stock forum threads. Otherwise I would be reading all the " Let's all stay strong, it's a good company and the price will come back eventually" threads to comfort myself.
 
Hi Amory. Just looked back at the previous page on this thread to see you getting bagged. I do remember your name from a forum I participated in several years ago, technical analysis forum from memory. Thanks for all your input back then. Your input and all the other posters really helped kick start my interest in TA. I then purchased Metastock and lots of books. Thankyou, TA has served me well and helped preserve my capital over the last year. Most of all it filters out all the garbage. Keep em coming.

Cheers




barrett,

amory, as he likes to be called here, is well known on other forums.

He is a time waster that has no rational to his thoughts but this doesn't stop him sprouting off his inane ramblings.

He has an obsession with bagging out Jim Sinclair and LGL and to a lessor extent Gold.

My guess is Sinclair might have once suggested a buy on LGL, "amory" bought in, got burnt, and never forgot it.

Not going to tell you how to post as that is your prerogative but you will find no sensible or rational posts in reply from grbasher AKA amory....
 
Anyone got any thoughts on LGL at the moment?
The share price is slowly climbing - inch by inch - back towards 3 bucks!
Not bad given that it was trading around $1.50 in late October!
People finally seem to be taking notice of the larger gold miners.
 
If they constantly mention "no debt" then why do they need financing to fund expansion?

Purely a sentiment play imho..
 
LGL just seems to keep defying gravity. It's looking as though it may hit some resistance about now at $2.79 and the RSI has it looking a bit overbought. Could be time to start heading for the exit I think.
 

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This will break $3.00 next week. I suspect this will test its high's in the next 12 months as the US dollar depreciates and the gold price increase.
 
This will break $3.00 next week. I suspect this will test its high's in the next 12 months as the US dollar depreciates and the gold price increase.

If the gold price goes anywhere near the $1000 mark over the next 2 months LGL will be trading at it's all time highs then IMO but time will tell.
 
I think LGL is one of the best gold stocks for long term investment at the moment. Anyone has the target price for this company within the next 6 months?

I expect it to be higher than its previous high. It looks pretty good.
 
I think LGL is one of the best gold stocks for long term investment at the moment. Anyone has the target price for this company within the next 6 months?

I expect it to be higher than its previous high. It looks pretty good.
No price targets, but I think the last few days is just the evener upper after the NCM outperformance.

I don't think it's the best LONG term gold stock on the ASX as is due to the uncertainty about recent acquisitions risk and still the reliance on Lihir Island (country and geological risk) for the vast bulk of production. If they nab Prominant Hill or Matarbe for a few cents off OZ then it'll be more well rounded...
 
Back over $3 today :) of course i took a profit last week at 2.87 :(

Hard to believe LGL was a dollar something a few months ago.:rolleyes:
 
From Today's Age:


Lihir Gold, Australia's second-biggest listed gold producer, has been forced to shut its mine in Papua New Guinea because of landowner disputes.

The Lihir Island mine, in the province of New Ireland, about 700 km northeast of the capital, Port Moresby, has been shut since Friday afternoon over a compensation dispute between the local landowners and the apex landowner body.

"LGL is presently assisting the parties involved to resolve the matter quickly,'' Lihir's spokeswoman said today.

The mine, fully owned by Lihir, produced 216,371 ounces of gold in the third quarter, and the firm has flagged the mine's full-year production to top 700,000 ounces.

Disputes over the distribution of compensation and land are not uncommon in PNG, whose mineral deposits, including copper, gold and oil account for nearly two-thirds of the country's export earnings.

Lihir in October forecast annual production of 850,000 ounces this year, up from 701,000 in 2007, owing in part to the start of new mines in Australia and Africa as it moved away from being a company with one mine in PNG.
 
What a great report. On track and with a rising gold price, love it.

Only got back in last Friday, almost on a whim but felt a few things coming together.
 
yeah i agree Explod! Finally LGL starting to recover! Got some at 2.40 and was kicking myself when it fell back to under $2. But all good now...

will be interesting to see if Gold holds above $900 tonight... it appears a big resistance line! Long term we will be right though
 
I have been looking to move some money into Lihir Gold for the last few weeks. Looks to be trending up very nicely now with gold prices on the rise. Does anyone think that there will be a reasonable fall in share price any time soon which might be a good time to buy in? If so why?

Also, what are peoples expectation for Lihir in terms of share price at the end of 2009?

Speculate away!
 
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