Knobby22
Mmmmmm 2nd breakfast
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I note many of the papers say assuming no water feedback.
But water vapour is as the papers say is very important to retaining heat. The maths is beyond me but what I have read is that the small incremental increases in CO2, methane and NO2 reduce the emission of heat into space and thereby through water vapour feedback increase the temperature gain.
The effect of CO2 on its own is not large but combined with the other greenhouse gases (which though shorter lived are more effective as greenhouse gases) and the feedback loops cause the temperature rise.
The truth is that we can see this is occurring and there is no alternate theory that explains it once the normal cycles caused by the earth wobbles is included in the calculations.