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International markets traders banter

there was a lift last week in Commercials buying but the institutionals still out-weigh them on sells side.....nothing like a flush to get the retail buy-buy-buy become bye bye bye

gold 201113 ii.gif

holding sells in this :)

http://www.dailyfx.com/devisenhande...el/2013/11/20/ND_Retail-Position_EURUSD_.html
XAU / USD - The ratio of long and short positions in the XAU / USD is trading at 1.82. 65% of traders are long positions. Yesterday, the ratio was 2.03, and the retail traders were positioned at 67% Long. Open long positions fell by 0.5% compared to the previous day and are 6.4% below the level of last week. Open short positions rose by 10.8% compared to the previous day and are 8.0% higher than last week. Open interest is 3.2% compared to the previous day and noted increased 3.8% over the monthly average. The SSI is a counter-indicator and the majority long position indicates a bearish trend. The retail traders reduced their net long position in comparison to the previous day and compared to last week. The combination between the current sentiment and the last position change results in a neutral trading trend.
 
I don't trade gold but have it as one of my background charts, jeez it hit quick. I imagine there will be a few of those 500:1 margin retail brokers having a few of their clients accounts in negative balances after that (unless they gave generous fills of stops, either way will cost them a bit)

...holding sells in this :)...

I saw in the other thread, nice trade, looks like christmas will be good for your friends and fam!

1250 looking very close
 
Since its trendy (yet wrong!) to be bearish this anit good,

ES 12-13 (Daily) _ ^NNYH (Daily)  26_11_2012 - 22_11_2013.jpg

S&P500 making new highs and the 52 week new highs (yellow bars and 20 day avg blue line) very much lagging and even looks to have rolled over.
 
That FTSEing DAX just FTSEed me over again!

Another 3,000 FTSEing Euros down the gurgler!

FTSE it! FTSE it! FTSE it!

FTSE the FTSEing DAX!

That DAX is one FTSEing mean motherFTSEing son of a bourse!!!
 
Definitely financials and technological stocks are over valued now. Even in technology stocks in frontier and emerging world are over valued now. We may see correction in technology stocks sooner than later. We should avoid overvalued markets, sectors, commodities, currencies and other assets and it is time to go behind undervalued out of favour sectors, stocks, commodities, and currencies. For example some commodity stocks are cheaper than commodities now. Both NZD and AUD are over valued now. We may see sell off in stocks during next six months. In short we can see some bubble in few sectors.

I believe we may see some sell-off in overvalued markets sooner than later.

I will take the funds from selling some shares and redeploy them into the new stocks I have researched and written about.

In any market be it developed, emerging or frontier market we need seasonal adjustments to our portfolios. I believe this is the time to readjust portfolios, do some rotation and identity next winners in the commodity, stock and currency markets globally. Globally some markets, sectors, commodities and currencies are under valued. Similarly some markets, some sectors, commodities and currencies are over valued.

We may have correction in some overvalued markets during next six months. It is time to identify next winners.

My ideas are not a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or currency. Please do your own research prior to making any investment decisions
 
In any market be it developed, emerging or frontier market we need seasonal adjustments to our portfolios. I believe this is the time to readjust portfolios, do some rotation and identity next winners in the commodity, stock and currency markets globally. Globally some markets, sectors, commodities and currencies are under valued. Similarly some markets, some sectors, commodities and currencies are over valued.

We may have correction in some overvalued markets during next six months. It is time to identify next winners.

So your contribution would be similar to this,

283px-Darts_in_a_dartboard.jpg
 
It is F*&%ing incredible how often I manage to sum up a situation perfectly and not make money

edit: TH beat me to it and said it a lot less words than me

Not making assumptions about how you trade, but I had this problem for a while. It was mainly due to searching for setups too specific before trading my idea or to put it another way, getting stuck with the fallacy of A+ setups.

How I solved this was to scale in with an entry not too far from the mean and the second one further, so if it is unlikely to take off without me, and if it moves too much the opposite way to my idea at least my average price isn't too bad.
 
Not making assumptions about how you trade, but I had this problem for a while. It was mainly due to searching for setups too specific before trading my idea or to put it another way, getting stuck with the fallacy of A+ setups.

How I solved this was to scale in with an entry not too far from the mean and the second one further, so if it is unlikely to take off without me, and if it moves too much the opposite way to my idea at least my average price isn't too bad.

see below.

if this was FTSE fair call but this was in the bonds, different kettle of fish

rough gig this!
 
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