nulla nulla
Positive Expectancy
- Joined
- 24 September 2008
- Posts
- 3,588
- Reactions
- 133
Question is, whether the share can rally off the support level of $3.72 or are we going to break through and test lower levels. No news recently about the ALZ take-over offer? Anyone heard anything?
Yeah we bought in at $3.79 for a small trade that is now in the red. As always, do your own research and good luck.
Recent block trades have focused attention on where the next moves will come from and on Monday afternoon the spotlight shone on GPT Group as one potential source.
Government of Singapore Investment Corporation owns 13 per cent of GPT Group, after bailing the property giant out during the global financial crisis. GIC bought most of its stake at a hefty discount to Monday’s trading price of $3.69.
Most of the big real estate trusts ended lower on Monday, which caused hedge funds to wonder whether a big property investor was making room in its portfolio for a block trade.
If GIC did sell out of GPT, it would come on the back of two major property block trades.
GPT has been sliding now for a few weeks. I thought it may have something to do with the proposed acquisition of Australand assets but the share price actualy ran up after the acquisition proposal was announced. Also in this time GPT has raised a substantial amount of funds in the U.S that was raised on the basis of the Aud$ as the relevent currency, so GPT will not have exposure to any drop off of the Aud$ against the U.S$.
On Monday several A-REIT's dropped in a flurry of selling in the half hour leading up to the close and even further in the auction. As you point out it had the appearance of fund managers reweighting their portfolios', exiting the likes of CFX, CPA, DXS, IOF, GPT and SGP (and others) however there was a good take up of WDC and I suspect the $ and volumes of the sales would closely match the take up buys of SCP, WDC and WRT (but not completely as I also expect some of the sales were profit taking).
A large foreign investor winding down their positions at the current AUD$ level would also make sense. If GPT is going to be sold off as a large block, I would expect it to be at a discount to the present levels. Also, the impact of the sell down on the share price would most likely replicate what took place when SGP sold out of GPT. It may pay to have a bit of cash set aside in case this is what is happening. Apart from the oportunities created on Monday another block sell down of GPT would be worth jumping into (imo). Additionaly they have another div coming up in early May.
I will happily sell you my gpt purchased at $4.10 for $4.90GPT is facing the resistance of 4.22. The technical indicator shows a buy with the 4.929 target price in six months.
I will happily sell you my gpt purchased at $4.10 for $4.90.
GPT has taken a battering with the pull back of off-shore investor funds compounded by the decision not to proceed with a takeover bid for the Australand assets.
View attachment 52581
At this point I am looking at taking the loss for the tax offset and sitting out of the market until it settles down into a trade-able pattern again.
JP Morgan have upgraded GPT to a high conviction buy following the recent price weakness. Not sure that will stop the current slide but may provide some short term support.
The hardest part of trading a share like GPT is working out whether a substantial correction, such as we have seen over the past few weeks, is a golden opportunity to jump in for a good short term profit on a rebound or whether the correction still has further to run. Often after activating a stock loss, the share recovers significantly leaving you out of pocket. Damned if you do and Damned if you don't.
Can you pass on when JP Morgan upgraded GPT's status? High conviction buy sounds fairly impressive.
It was just last night that they upgraded.
It was just last night that they upgraded.
Actually it was 27 May. They did however reiterate the call last night / this morning.
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?
We use cookies and similar technologies for the following purposes:
Do you accept cookies and these technologies?