Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Gold Price - Where is it heading?

Because of the steep recent fall in the AUD, Goldi n AUD is now approaching the 2500 mark.
For those unhedged miners, these are good returns times.
I am a bit surprised that there has not been a bit of as surge in some of the goldies, but more than happy to wait.
Mick
 
Because of the steep recent fall in the AUD, Goldi n AUD is now approaching the 2500 mark.
For those unhedged miners, these are good returns times.
I am a bit surprised that there has not been a bit of as surge in some of the goldies, but more than happy to wait.
Mick

i have been recently trying to cherry-pick gold-producers at what i consider fair prices , so yes i will embrace the disappointment of ASX listed gold miners wallowing in mediocrity

( as the NIC implies i am hoping they will continue paying DIVS on the nice earnings )
 
what you say defies logic ( compulsive money printing , real inflation rising , etc etc . )

but currently , logic is habitually ignored

gold stocks should be smashed ( briefly ) when the easy credit dries up and the over-leveraged need to cover their debts

but when will they turn off the money-taps

this stimulus has already gone on longer than i imagined
 
given such massive liquidity , i am also concerned banks MIGHT freeze accounts until the crisis ( their liquity issues ) passes
 
what you say defies logic ( compulsive money printing , real inflation rising , etc etc . )

but currently , logic is habitually ignored

gold stocks should be smashed ( briefly ) when the easy credit dries up and the over-leveraged need to cover their debts

but when will they turn off the money-taps

this stimulus has already gone on longer than i imagined
They can't turn off QE.
The US and EU hell throw us in the mix as well are going down the same path as Japan best Ponzi seem I have ever seen.
 
Care needs to be taken when comparing gold in AUD terms versus USD terms.
While indexing is a handy way of assessing comparative performance, significant misinterpretation can occur when inappropriate starting dates (or periods) are used.
In the chart below I have used a "best fit" for calendar 2019 (rather than single point in time) as a basis for comparing trends in later prices:
YSG0npv6.png
The longer term price trend is obvious from the above.
I won't chart the shorter term trend as anyone can play with indexed dates for 2021 and discover that throughout this year to date POG in AUD has outperformed.
The point of this comparison is to map back prices to Australian gold mining company performance. While 2021 looks good for AUD denominated gold the bigger picture shows we have a lot of catching up to do to return to parity.
 
A closer look at gold's collapse:
YeBLuC9q

Recovery now underway.
 
Markets are closed today in Japan and Singapur due to public holidays, liquidity was very thin this morning on the ASIA Pacific session, perfect scenario for the big guys to manipulate the Gold price, the trap was set up on Friday New York Closing time with the first drop, they moved the price where they want it, I will be very surprised if Gold keeps going down.
 
Markets are closed today in Japan and Singapur due to public holidays, liquidity was very thin this morning on the ASIA Pacific session, perfect scenario for the big guys to manipulate the Gold price, the trap was set up on Friday New York Closing time with the first drop, they moved the price where they want it, I will be very surprised if Gold keeps going down.
welcome to ASF , and posting here

personally i am staying flexible in my choices

cheers
 
Sorry to open another thread on gold. I got bored with the market this afternoon and went in to Kitco.

I was struck by the appearance of an EW Wave 2 presently forming in all time frames 6mo. and beyond.

Is anyone charting USD/Gold Oz. Screen Shot 2021-08-11 at 3.42.47 pm.png
gg
 
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