Dona Ferentes
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Jim Rickards recently wroteI also read that there is a disconnect between the spot prices (based on futures) which has come down recently and real prices based on the price of the physical which has gone up in demand.
... [a factor is] the emergence of a two-tier market. Gold futures prices and London market prices are around US$1,740 per ounce recently. But, if you call a real dealer to buy real gold, the price they quote is ‘spot plus commission’. That’s fine, but the commissions have been expanding from 2% to 4%, to 10%, and even higher in some cases.
Plenty of 'spot fires' around the world. For example, people are buying gold in Saudi prior to trebling of VAT. And in HK, you'd would have to see a rise in gold demand.This means that US$1,740 per ounce gold is really US$1,915 per ounce with a 10% commission. That higher commission is not the result of dealer greed. It’s the result of scarcity and the dealer’s efforts to balance supply and demand.
What it really means is that real price of gold is closer to US$1,850 per ounce once the excess commission is added to the spot price. When it comes to gold prices, forget New York and London. Real prices are already higher than you know.
Thanks found his quite interestingAgain providing an angle of perspective as to how high the USD Gold price is relative to another financial asset - the US stockmarket. Gold's not out of bounds at all - its price is only catching up to its average in these terms.
https://www.mining.com/this-50-year-chart-shows-just-how-cheap-gold-now-is-relative-to-stocks-39584/
The graph is lifted from an article published in Jan 2020 and I am taking their premises at face value (i.e correct)
Over 50 years - dating back to roughly when President Nixon reneged on the redeemability of the USD in gold for foreign governments - the S&P500 could be bought for an average 1.55 ounces of Gold:
S&P500 is today at $3327
Therefore if gold was at the average 'exchange rate' today the price would be:
$3327 ÷ 1.55 = $2,146 USD
View attachment 106987
@againsthegrain
ABC Bullion reputable, pretty sure I've bought from them in the dim past
This is the dealer I engage with and I've found them very helpful over the years. They're in the CBD:
They also offer pooled precious metal services whereby you can buy physically backed metal which they hold and you can quickly liquidate online when you decide. No storage hassles or risks, can buy and sell small amounts.Gold Stackers - Buy & Sell Gold & Silver Bullion Online
Gold Stackers is Australia's leading gold and silver bullion dealer. Buy or sell gold and silver at great prices. It's safe, simple, and secure.www.goldstackers.com.au
They have an historical association with silverstackers.com where you might like to check out peer to peer offers - can work out cheaper when you buy and a better deal when you sell if your metal has any premium value, such as collectable coins rather than brute metal. If you're just starting I would recommend staying away from special coins, just go for 99.99 gold, 99.9 silver, brute bullion.
Australia & New Zealand (Public)
Buy, swap or sell bullion & numismatics. Visible to general public.www.silverstackers.com
So I got my first bullion bar from ABC bullion. I am curious how do people here check the Gold they buy for being genuine?
Buying from a reputable dealer with brand stamped should be a good guarantee but everything can be faked as some of the stories on the internet go around.
I was simply given a bullion bar in a pouch and a invoice, is there something I should be asking or doing upon receipt in the future?
So I got my first bullion bar from ABC bullion. I am curious how do people here check the Gold they buy for being genuine?
Buying from a reputable dealer with brand stamped should be a good guarantee but everything can be faked as some of the stories on the internet go around.
I was simply given a bullion bar in a pouch and a invoice, is there something I should be asking or doing upon receipt in the future?
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