Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Dump it Here

Update on the AI picks, 2 weeks from entering the market.

One AI portfolio has had a decent decline as it was up over 5K profit during the middle of last week, while the other has gained.

I noticed that ZIP in particular copped a hammering, one of the large institutions bought in that's known to sell to shorters and seems to of spooked investors.

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should be interesting considering the different strategies of parking ( imaginary ) cash
 
Remember, money is an integral part of life, but our critical thinking skills drive personal development. By being mindful of our thought processes, we can enhance our self-awareness and make more informed decisions in life.

Respite is not all it's cracked up to be
In a spur-of-the-moment decision, I ventured into investing, hoping it would liberate my mind and allow me to focus on sidelined projects. This newfound freedom was a breath of fresh air, but only for a fleeting few weeks. Old habits die hard, and I found myself brainstorming new strategies to carve out a profit from the market.

A Focused Approach Reduces Stress
Recently, @peter2 expressed interest in trading the fluctuations of the ASX20. Coincidentally, I’ve been crafting a similar strategy. My approach zeroes in on a select group of '100 companies' from the ASX300, specifically excluding those in the ASX200. By narrowing the field, I’ve found that the stress associated with decision-making significantly diminishes.


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Skate.
 
Momentum Shift is at the heart of this strategy
The Pulse Strategy capitalises on changes in the stock market’s momentum. It uses a multi-buy condition to capture these shifts, or “pulses”. The buy conditions, a set of rules based on technical indicators and trading rules, help identify optimal times to purchase securities. This strategy aims to leverage market dynamics for potential gains.

# The first buy condition is based on the security's price being above a certain level, known as the support level. This support level is calculated using a moving average of the security's price over a certain period. When the security price is above this level, it indicates that the security is in an uptrend and may be a good time to buy.

# The second buy condition is based on the security's moving average. When the security's moving average is above a certain level, it indicates that the security is in an uptrend and may be a good time to buy.

# The third buy condition is based on the security's relative strength index (RSI). When the RSI is above a certain level, it indicates that the security is overbought and may be due for a correction. However, when the RSI is below a certain level, it indicates that the security is oversold and may be a good time to buy.

# The fourth buy condition is based on the security's trend. When the security trend is up, it indicates that the security is in an uptrend and may be a good time to buy.

# The final buy condition is based on a combination of the above conditions. When all of the above conditions are met, it indicates that the security is in a strong uptrend and may be a good time to buy.

The fact that this strategy only involves trading in 100 companies that satisfy stringent buy conditions makes it a safer trading option.

Skate.
 
365 Day backtest
The past year has been highly favourable for traders, particularly since my transition to investing. The one-year backtest period is showcased to demonstrate the potential benefits of trading a select group of liquid companies. Focusing on the ASX300, excluding the ASX200, provides an optimal balance for traders seeking to limit exposure to slower-moving stocks and avoid those on the upper fringe of the ASX All Ordinaries.

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Skate.
 
Respite is not all it's cracked up to be
In a spur-of-the-moment decision, I ventured into investing, hoping it would liberate my mind and allow me to focus on sidelined projects. This newfound freedom was a breath of fresh air, but only for a fleeting few weeks. Old habits die hard, and I found myself brainstorming new strategies to carve out a profit from the market.

A Focused Approach Reduces Stress
Recently, @peter2 expressed interest in trading the fluctuations of the ASX20. Coincidentally, I’ve been crafting a similar strategy. My approach zeroes in on a select group of '100 companies' from the ASX300, specifically excluding those in the ASX200. By narrowing the field, I’ve found that the stress associated with decision-making significantly diminishes.


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Skate.
match your scan with take-over targets ( ABC is one ) and give yourself a probable safety exit ( albeit with an uncomfortable wait if that exit is needed)

good luck
 
The fact that this strategy only involves trading in 100 companies that satisfy stringent buy conditions makes it a safer trading option.
I've got 2 bones to pick with that statement. I won't say what they are. 😉

Good to see some systematic stuff again. Now, where are those signal lists! 😬
Are the bars daily?

Thanks for the backtest and always interested in seeing avg bars business for chosen universes. 👍
 
I've got 2 bones to pick with that statement. I won't say what they are. 😉

Good to see some systematic stuff again. Now, where are those signal lists! 😬
Are the bars daily?

Thanks for the backtest and always interested in seeing avg bars business for chosen universes. 👍
Yes, i have some doubt about the risk being lower taking the asx300 minus asx200..why would the risk be lower?
..I understand more room for upside but in term of risk?
 
Yes, i have some doubt about the risk being lower taking the asx300 minus asx200..why would the risk be lower?
..I understand more room for upside but in term of risk?
less perceived risk than the lower 200 (in the All Ords ) is how i understood it , but i maybe wrong on that
 
I've got 2 bones to pick with that statement. I won't say what they are. 😉

es, i have some doubt about the risk being lower taking the asx300 minus asx200..why would the risk be lower?
..I understand more room for upside but in term of risk?

When I said that trading the ASX300 minus the ASX200, which involves trading only 100 companies, makes it a safer trading option, I was referring to the reduced universe of stocks that this approach offers. By limiting the number of stocks to 100, I've effectively narrowed down the field of potential companies, which can make decision-making less overwhelming and, therefore, lower the risk associated with trading. This approach allows me to focus on a smaller narrow group of companies that meet specific criteria.

Additionally, by excluding the 200 largest companies on the ASX, I've removed some of the most well-known and widely traded stocks, as this can help avoid the risks associated with high-priced stocks and instead focus on undervalued or growth-oriented companies that may offer better potential for returns. These companies are often less followed by large institutional investors and analysts. This means there may be more opportunities to find undervalued stocks before the broader market recognises their value.

Skate.
 
When I said that trading the ASX300 minus the ASX200, which involves trading only 100 companies, makes it a safer trading option, I was referring to the reduced universe of stocks that this approach offers. By limiting the number of stocks to 100, I've effectively narrowed down the field of potential companies, which can make decision-making less overwhelming and, therefore, lower the risk associated with trading. This approach allows me to focus on a smaller narrow group of companies that meet specific criteria.

Additionally, by excluding the 200 largest companies on the ASX, I've removed some of the most well-known and widely traded stocks, as this can help avoid the risks associated with high-priced stocks and instead focus on undervalued or growth-oriented companies that may offer better potential for returns. These companies are often less followed by large institutional investors and analysts. This means there may be more opportunities to find undervalued stocks before the broader market recognises their value.

Skate.
The institutions buy in when the capital hits the ASX200 level and that also means shares are loaned to shorters.
 
When I said that trading the ASX300 minus the ASX200, which involves trading only 100 companies, makes it a safer trading option, I was referring to the reduced universe of stocks that this approach offers. By limiting the number of stocks to 100, I've effectively narrowed down the field of potential companies, which can make decision-making less overwhelming and, therefore, lower the risk associated with trading. This approach allows me to focus on a smaller narrow group of companies that meet specific criteria.

Additionally, by excluding the 200 largest companies on the ASX, I've removed some of the most well-known and widely traded stocks, as this can help avoid the risks associated with high-priced stocks and instead focus on undervalued or growth-oriented companies that may offer better potential for returns. These companies are often less followed by large institutional investors and analysts. This means there may be more opportunities to find undervalued stocks before the broader market recognises their value.

Skate.
Ok..I could not understand why that restrained universe was less risking in term of up down, takeover or collapse..
 
The institutions buy in when the capital hits the ASX200 level and that also means shares are loaned to shorters.
the shares ( in the lower 100 ) are stilled loaned ( Vanguard declares they do ) but less intsos buy the smaller cap. shares

 
the shares ( in the lower 100 ) are stilled loaned ( Vanguard declares they do ) but less intsos buy the smaller cap. shares

Yeah, I check all the time on shorts, ASX has a daily list available also.

They all seemed to be interlocked with each other one way or another.

BlackRock and Vanguard are two of the Big three passive fund asset management firms. The third, State Street, is owned by BlackRock -whose largest shareholder is Vanguard. It seems all roads lead to BlackRock.
All three combined $20 trillion in managed assets is the equivalent of more than half of the combined value of all shares of companies in the S&P 500 (about $38 trillion). And That’s larger than the gross domestic product (GDP) of every single country around the globe, except for China and the United States.
Bloomberg calls BlackRock “The fourth branch of government”, because it’s the only private agency that closely works with the central banks. These firms were right of Federal Reserve which helped in time of 2008 housing crises to clear the mess.
BlackRock and Vanguard AUM is $8.6 & $8.1 trillion, respectively. In total, they both own/invested in 1,600 U.S. companies(Reuters:2022).

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/giant-conglomerates-control-world-omkar-



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ppeakey007.jpg

Despite some assumptions
I want to clarify that I am not the user known as 'ppeakey007' on (X) formerly Twitter, but @Nick Radge is aware of the user's true identity. Although the avatar of 'ppeakey007' has been directly lifted from my profile page, the similarities end there.

The alias 'ppeakey007' serves as a digital mask, allowing the 'true user' to express their opinions freely and unfiltered without revealing their true identity. In this case, the same individual manages the alias and the actual identity.

Unfiltered attack dog

Unfiltered attack dog.jpg

Skate.
 
Well, someone not happy
Someone is making up fake Twitter accounts using my ASF avatar lifted again from my profile page. I am aware of individuals who operate under pseudonyms and maintain counterfeit Twitter accounts. Even those with verified status, indicated by the ‘blue tick’, can display discourteous conduct, a point I’ve highlighted in a previous post

Another from the same person
This is a classic instance of ‘misguided judgment’, where they assume they’ve thrown an insult, but in reality, they’ve inadvertently delivered a concealed compliment. I take pleasure in browsing Twitter feeds, but it becomes amusing when they start posting unrelated matters that ‘no one could possibly care about’

Another by the same person.jpg

Skate.
 
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Despite some assumptions
I want to clarify that I am not the user known as 'ppeakey007' on (X) formerly Twitter, but @Nick Radge is aware of the user's true identity. Although the avatar of 'ppeakey007' has been directly lifted from my profile page, the similarities end there.

The alias 'ppeakey007' serves as a digital mask, allowing the 'true user' to express their opinions freely and unfiltered without revealing their true identity. In this case, the same individual manages the alias and the actual identity.

Unfiltered attack dog

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Skate.
obviously less polite than yourself , that might have been a give-away to many serious forum users
 
Well, someone not happy
Someone is making up fake Twitter accounts using my ASF avatar lifted again from my profile page. I am aware of individuals who operate under pseudonyms and maintain counterfeit Twitter accounts. Even those with verified status, indicated by the ‘blue tick’, can display discourteous conduct, a point I’ve highlighted in a previous post

Another from the same person
This is a classic instance of ‘misguided judgment’, where they assume they’ve thrown an insult, but in reality, they’ve inadvertently delivered a concealed compliment. I take pleasure in browsing Twitter feeds, but it becomes amusing when they start posting unrelated matters that ‘no one could possibly care about’

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Skate.
have seen similar at other defunct forums , however i chose avatars that are obviously not a real person ( me or anybody else )

a nice copy-cat might have even been flattering ( sigh )
 
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