Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

DH7 Trades the Bond Futures

performance from 13th jan.jpg
 
Been close to having 2/3 major blows for the year so that could of changed stuff quite dramatically.

Im trying to be more responsible with averaging down losers and position sizing.
 
Some of those profits were larger lot sizes or smaller. Effects the end result on profits so its small things like that which ill need to factor in. Go big when a good opportunity arises and small when there isnt much opportunity.
 
Quick Market Review For Mondays Opening:

Equities had a strong rally. Closed off near the highs. Most likely saw a lot of short covering plus potentially some longs.

Notes also saw new highs made for the year.

Again were at the border of the value in area of the notes. Its pushing near the top of the value area seen last year in august and several attempts before hand throughout 2015. Its either going to reject accepting value higher or accept value higher. Anyway, it's just some thing to be aware of.

Trading markets searching for new value is totally different from trading when markets are ranging/in value. For one, its possibly much more difficult fading moves when markets are out of balance and if volatility is up, position sizes should be reduced and vice versa.

This week is also an important week as we have NFP coming up. Oil is also in the spotlight and its been making a "recovery". Lets see how it fairs during this week. Again, depending on the way this week rolls out in terms of figures, could determine the direction the markets might possibly head.
tya weekyl chart.jpg
 
Going to also focus on managing position sizing better.

Reducing Offside risk

Holding positions longer which I think have good merit

Managing my temper better
 
Another interesting factor is that both equities and bonds rallied last week. So I guess figuring out which market will pull back will be interesting...unless we have some sort of dislocation as a result of monetary policies.
 
Hey Joules, in regard to the chart I guess I use it just as help for context. However I can see your point.

The more profound thing on that chart for me would be those long tails on te down side. Just looks like price is constantly being rejected down their. I'd be more interested to see how it reacts down their if it gets that low again soon.

I'm glad your enjoying the thread.

Not sure what it offers other than repetition and slight entertainment but hopefully you can get some thing good out of it.
 
Short 1 x @ 17/5

Not shorting 2 lots as my risk would be to great. Might average in 1 lot if need be.

Right now the markets are 50/50 but oil was being pushed lower before buyers stepped in. Equities are trying to push up but not sure if they are either waiting for oil or some confirmation by markets on whether theyre going to go up or down.

1feb1.jpg

1feb2.PNG
 
Bought 1 x @ 16.0

Markets look like they're stalling for now.

Possibly waiting for CNY figures out at 12pm/12:45pm

Profit = $45USD
 
Waiting for the GBP figure releases. Both markets still relatively close to their opening prices. We need to jump start some thing.

Oils sold off slightly but could be in a good position for a rally with the equities.
 
Ive been slowly averaging into a long position over the last 2 hours on the note. Im hoping for a continual sell off in the equities and oil for the time being till i unload out of the position.
 
Ok I got out of the position.

Only managed to get a profit of $100USD.

Didn't expect the sudden movement of the US figures.

Overall good trading day.
 
Looks like markets have lost interest in oil prices for now.

Oil Markets saw a sell off yesterday while equities made their way higher.
I think if we start pushing lower in oil prices again, it might spark the attention of traders but for now, they might not be as correlated.
 
Long 2 x @ 10.5

Sold 1 @ 12.5

Sold 1 x @ 13.0

Profit = $140USD

Got out purely based on the fact that oil might slightly rally temporarily.Equities are at a pivotal point. What I mean by that is they might try to retest the high, go higher or reject the high. Need some more confirmation before I can get a better understanding of market direction.

Taking profits early on in the day can help create a buffer zone for a bigger trade later on in the day.
 
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