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I have noticed the price of flights I monitor from Japan to NZ/Aus have dropped 10-15% since this started getting media attention.
We are in a delaying tactic allowing the refinement of treatment and a vaccine within a year and a half.don't think more can be done.
i expect to have it or its mutated version within 2 y.
will it become seasonal as the "common" flu or will it just spread over the world and die?
I noticed that qantas is reaching highs whereas all airlines are offering killing deals... literally?
They will be unable to contain it as it spreads like flu. Historically quarantine procedures dont work for flu so no reason why it would work for COVID19. Might slow down the spread though.
link failed
Social reaction to fear with mob attack against virus refugees
I saw that, those poor people, its bloody insanity!link failed
Attacks against quarantine buses in Ukraine.google
If this isn't an outlier, or erroneous assessment, then the whole model of control is out the window.This isn't good news...
Fears coronavirus quarantine regime is compromised as 27 day incubation period detected in man in China's Hubei Province
Key points:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-02-22/27-day-incubation-period-coronavirus-china-covid-19/11991604
- Chinese authorities say a 70-year-old man in China's Hubei Province was infected with coronavirus but did not show symptoms for 27 days
- The Australian Department of Health says they are watching overseas developments closely and their emergency response plans are flexible and scalable
- A second patient has died of the infection in Italy, as an outbreak spread in the north of the country
And even as an outliner, we would then be selecting these trends as a result of the quarantines.If this isn't an outlier, or erroneous assessment, then the whole model of control is out the window.
most observed incubation data was 2-14 days. If it can lurk undetected for longer, then the sheer mathematics of contact might render existing measures ineffectiveAnd even as an outliner..
According to the manual. But like generals, fighting the last war?But i think genuinely as much as possible has been done...
...seems to be taking out the older ones and those with pre-existing compromised systems (often the same cohort). But the fear is if it manifests in young and healthy and of reproductive age. then the demographics get skewed... it seems confirmed as relatively benign for most so will give an economic shock and a surge in death for a year or 2 but not a civilization ending pandemic...
IIf it gets into Africa, there could be problems, HIV is still pretty rampant there from what I've read.
If it gets into Africa, there could be problems, HIV is still pretty rampant there from what I've read.
As you say, there are plenty of places where it will wreak havoc.Not just Africa, any country that does not have good medical services is a potential bomb.
India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, North Korea, Mongolia, Siberia and most of Africa are potential epidemic locations.
Rural China could also lose millions of people, their are just sooo many people in China the numbers could be horrific.
A terrible thing that could either become like the common cold or could kill millions of people who are malnourished or lacking medical help
And what makes the US or UK or Australia so special we could avoid or handle an epidemic ?
How many additional serious illnesses cases could our hospital system handle before it cracked up ? Hundreds ? Thousands ? Consider a city like Melbourne/Sydney with 50,000 infections of which 10,000 require hospitalization. Do you seriously think we can handle it ?
What will happen in the US where single medical incident is enough to bankrupt more than half the population ? Perhaps people who come down with a severe case of coronavirus will be taken straight to a special mortuary because sure as hell they won't be seen in a hospital
South Korea looks awfully like China about a month ago.
The good news is that according to the statistics, almost a third of those infected have now recovered. 78,823 infected and 23,380 recovered.
The bad news is there have now been 602 cases in South Korea, 135 in Japan and it seems now 22 in Australia. The number of cases outside China is now escalating it seems:
More than 100 each in South Korea and Japan.
50 - 99 each in Singapore, Italy, Hong Kong
10 - 49 each in Thailand, USA, Iran, Taiwan, Australia, Malaysia, Germany, Vietnam, United Arab Emirates, France, Macau
1 - 9 cases each in Canada, UK, Philippines, India, Russia, Spain, Lebanon, Nepal, Cambodia, Israel, Belgium, Finland, Sweden, Egypt, Sri Lanka
Total outside China is now 1887.
Concerning is that looking at that list, well there's quite a few places which either have a huge population themselves, are major tourist destinations or major transit points. So the possibility of further rapid spread would seem at least plausible.
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