Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

AUD

The AUD is looking good for a short to medium term move higher. It looks to be tracing out a reversal head and shoulders pattern. I would expect a small retracement to form the right shoulder before the currency attempts to break through the neckline. The typical pattern target is shown and any move through the $0.80 region will also invalidate the impulsive count to the downside and place the currency in a neutral position. Waiting for either a breakout through the neckline or a retracement into the right shoulder to make an entry. I would certainly not expect a new trend higher but a larger corrective wave (B) to form which should take the form of three larger waves.
 

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Thanks for the news on AUD. Seeing the graph the AUD position will be down for some time. But before it closes trades can see some buying pressure.

Happy Trading
 
Another view of the reverse H&S pattern that could be forming on the AUD....in the beautiful Ichimoku chart on Amibroker and Pattern Explorer....a real work of art!

cheers,

CanOz
 

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Lil' Au$$ie Bleeder back DOWN to $US 65.1c ... and slipping...

Will the RBA "intervene" again?

How deep are their pockets now?

The mood is so bad now for mining economies the target looks like $US55c to $US60c. Foreigners seem to be reducing anything risky in Aus. If the RBA intervenes then they are fools, the speculators are on this one.
 
US dollar continue to strengthens and commodities are down. The next 3-6 months will be crucial for the commodities market and the AUD.
 
On alert for a trade here on the AUDUSD, short. Waiting for a close under the signal bar, a Tenkan Sen/Kijun Sen cross. If it triggers an entry i'll post the whole trade.

Cheers,


CanOz
Incidently there is a similar trade setup pending on the AUDJPY, lots of correlation with the two pairs, obviously.
 

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Well with alot of patient waiting we finally got our close below the signal bar and got stopped in to the AUD a short late last night. Still in the trade and managing it with only the stop loss now. Keeping it pretty tight since the S&P has bottomed again. Will use the Ichimoku KS line as my stop for now, Blue.

Cheers,


CanOz
 

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Well with alot of patient waiting we finally got our close below the signal bar and got stopped in to the AUD a short late last night. Still in the trade and managing it with only the stop loss now. Keeping it pretty tight since the S&P has bottomed again. Will use the Ichimoku KS line as my stop for now, Blue.

Cheers,


CanOz

Well, I predict the RBA will crank up the ol' funny-money press again and bailout big-time today in response. They have set a precedent in recent days - a precedent that they now have to live up to - and by Jove, they will!

"Ahhhh! The smell of fresh BananaBucks in the morning!" :bananasmi

aj
 
Well with alot of patient waiting we finally got our close below the signal bar and got stopped in to the AUD a short late last night. Still in the trade and managing it with only the stop loss now. Keeping it pretty tight since the S&P has bottomed again. Will use the Ichimoku KS line as my stop for now, Blue.

Cheers,


CanOz

Nice work Can
 
Just a follow up on this mornings trade, stopped out just after i got to work for a few pips. Interesting that the two pairs are so correlated, yet the JPY pair faired much better, was that the intervention?

Cheers,


CanOz
 

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Extremely tight range on AUD/USD so far today.

Looks like the average might get filled during the USA session.
 

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Got stopped out everything on the retest tonight. S&P 500 into a nice rally atm.

Could this be the new bottom?

CanOz
 
Rocket up over 66c now. No doubt about it - the RBA must have been on the fiddle again. They have got the taste for a bit of a gamble now - hooked on the BananaBuck$ jig. :bananasmi :bananasmi
 
Rocket up over 66c now. No doubt about it - the RBA must have been on the fiddle again. They have got the taste for a bit of a gamble now - hooked on the BananaBuck$ jig. :bananasmi :bananasmi

More like a hunger for risk has just returned.

CanOz
 
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