I don't think anyone really knows, given that they haven't got final figures on their reserves. On this thread, $12-$14 has been touted as a target price.Out Too Soon said:So, is AED undervalued or is the expected production later this year already factored into the sp.
The chart has been building bullishly over the last couple of weeks. I'm thinking this news will put a rocket up the a*se of the share price tomorrow morning. A roughly 50% increase in reserves can't do anything but. What a gem of a stock.bigdog said:ASX ann on reserves today
AED 1:29 PM Puffin NE 2 Oil Initially in Place
http://www.asx.com.au/asx/statistics/showAnnouncementPDF.do?idsID=00692681
SP increased marginally yesterday and no much reaction to ann 30 minutes ago!!
Look like the reserves could be!!!:
-- Puffin North East NE2, (updip of Puffin-3) Oil Initially In Place 11-30 Mmbl
-- Any reserves attributable to Puffin NE2 will be in addition to the previously announced P50 Reserves of 40 Mmbl.
Unless it is a blue chip, news takes a while to get around.alankew said:Any reason that it didnt put a rocket under at time of ann or is it just a matter of time for people to realise
Yup. Here we go again!bigdog said:Looking good to start of the day +8 cents
AED $4.85 +$0.08 +1.68% 14-Feb 10:00:40
Beats me why NWE didn't release the AED ann. yesterday. But this puts the value of the AED held reserves at well over $4 billion. That's pretty impressive, and very conservative, especially considering that is set at $50 a barrel, and AED is hedged at around $70. Mind boggling that the SP has not really moved for either NWE or AED on this. I managed to top up on NWE yesterday on a dip, because it is bound to move sooner or later. They both seem to be an obvious buy to me. Both have enormous potential and enormous reserves. Staggering that they are still at the prices they are.bigdog said:Late ASX ann today to restate oil reserves
AED 5:35 PM NWE: Puffin Oilfield Reserves Update
http://www.asx.com.au/asx/statistics/showAnnouncementPDF.do?idsID=00693685
15th February 2007
Puffin Oilfield Reserves Update
Norwest provides reference to the latest reserve upgrades in the Puffin Oilfield
issued by the AED Oil Limited (AED) in an ASX announcement dated 13th February 2007.
In the announcement, AED quotes an Oil Initially in Place (OIIP) range for the NE2 area of 11 to 30 million barrels, which when added to the previously quoted OIIP volume of 90 million barrels for the area called NE1, increases the total field OIIP volumes to a range of 101 to 120 million barrels.
Norwest has made a simple calculation based on an oil price of US$50 per barrel, a recovery factor of 44% (taken from AED’s estimate for the NE1 area), the average of the OIIP range quoted for NE2, and Norwest’s 1.25% over-riding royalty as follows:
NE1 Reserves 90 OIIP Million barrels
40 reserves (based on 44% recovery factor *note that AED indicate this could increase)
NE2 Reserves average (and range) 20.5 (11-30) OIIP Million barrels
9 (5-13) reserves (based on 44% recovery factor *note that AED indicate this could increase)
Total NE1 & NE2 Reserves 110.5 OIIP Million barrels
49 reserves (based on 44% recovery factor *note that AED indicate this could increase)
Value of Norwest 1.25% Royalty @US$50/ barrel AU$41 million
This is an increase over the AU$33 million previously calculated for the NE1 area alone.
Norwest would encourage the reader to access the full version of AED’s ASX
release via the ASX website: www.asx.com.au. AED Oil’s code is AED.
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