ADI - Adelphi Energy

[bart9]

To assist organizing the drilling activity across the Eagle Ford Trend I offer the following links:

Regional structure map covering 22 counties:
"users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/index.html"

EFS Gross Interval Isopach:
"users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/efs_grs_intl.html"

EFS TOC Isopach:
"users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/efs_toc.html"

That's what I do ...make maps,

Bart9

 

[condog]

Hi Bart

Thanks, can you offer any interpretation of what you see in the JVP area....from your maps....

I havent downlaoded each and though you may be able to put a good summation in using your knowledge..ta.

 

[bart9]

The EFS structure map is not suprising.

Often in regional mapping of this scale the significance of subtle local structures and fairways of productivity are masked...the implementation of basement plate shears is something I ( like probably others) have been observing for some time....my scribing of these shears is at first driven by region-wide gravity and magnetic surveys, corroborated by or reinforced by linaments of Edwards, Georgetown, Buda and Austin Chalk "fairways of production. Adding the overlay of "reservoir pressure" (mudweights) and GOR of recent EFS completions is illuminating and providing further "sweet spot" compartmentalization. Tracking the character of Edward's ratios offers more data points...and "crossplotted" below, as it were, the Eagle Ford is distinquishing a set of "fencelines for expectations I look to be fulfilled in future EFS drilling.

The contrast scoping between Petrohawk's map of net porosity and my map of gross interval velocity arises from: 1) I don't have logs of recent wells to flush out the isopach, 2) I don't have any contact with Petrohawk, to have a sense of cutoffs / flags / or data points they have used.

The artful interpretation of net TOC stands alone here. I have not seen nor heard of anyone else unveiling such a map...I developed transforms calibrated to EFS wells, scant geochemistry, and some gas shale log analysis. My efforts sought to establish a trend-wide transform with cutoffs and flags I could apply to conventional legacy logs of gamma ray, resistivity, density porosity, bulk density, and sonic records. The problem, among several, is the depth/pressure/compressibility/fluid components that are NOT laterally continuous. While I considered drawing compartments to gain resolution....I thought the better of it to wait until I felt I had a better foundation of what really was significant and defensible. My sense is that some workers are not looking at the storage issue to support the significant rates we are experiencing in the trend.....for not recognizing the lithologic variance in the system.

B.

 

[Agentm]

is that a clever way of saying its your best guess given the data

but seriously,, great answer..

love to meet up with you bart,, your in houston i gather.. maybe this year i will get there, love to see more of your work..


cheers

 

[condog]

Holy crap bart , can you dumb that down like 500% and give it in laymans terms....

Clearly you know you stuff like no tommorrow...

How bout just answering this.....in your educated guestimate how do you rate the JV tennement area of ADI, AUT, EKA and hillcorp......

Is it likely to produce #$%#@ loads of oil and gas .....and why, relative to its neighbours????

 

[Tordilla Kid]

Howdy Bart9,

Thanks for the maps. Really fine work!

I'm curious. On the structure map, are the black and orange lines major and minor faults? By, "the implementation of basement plate shears" are you referring to these faults and how they (and other factors) might impact sweet spots in our shale rock? Interestingly, the area has a recent history of half a dozen minor tremors?

Thanks again.

 

[sam76]

Good to see a Texan with a taste for Aussie rock!

Great maps Bart, you should send in to the JVP.

 

[bart9]

For the "Tordilla Kid", see the jpeg explanation of structure map

To simplify the map I changed color of antithetic faults (DTNorth) to brown as well. Interpreters have long recognized "families of faults" offsets along these trends....few maps published are as clear in seeking to tie these offsets to some basement controls. Observations of fault groups (ie. the Karnes Trough, Charlotte, Sample, Jordanton, Edwards, Sam Fordyce, Vanderbilt, Luling fault trends) were the subject of papers pbulished in the '50's and '60's.

Until more EFS well data gets out in circulation the measure of influence on TOC, fracturing, productivity will remain interpretative. I do think we are observing an influence but it is the unknowns: ldistribution of wells, effective lateral length, completion procedure, number of stages, actual vs calculated rates, sustained test vs burp distort the picture.

To reply to those with advice as to resource productivity I am mindful of the jeopardy to my professional certifications for furnishing investment advice or the basis of such to the public or otherwise unqualified investors. See as well ASIC Notice (1). My intention had been to provide maps with which to post drilling results that others may benefit in seeing spatial and other rather generic relationships of the Eagle Ford Shale trend.

B.

 

[bart9]

For those who have not found the url here are small shots of maps in question.

Maps that should plot with good resolution up to Ansi D size are at the previously posted url.

B.

 

[RDA]

Bart9
Having a hard time accessing the maps you posted. Another texan here having to go "Downunder" to find out whats going on!
Any suggestions?

 

[bart9]

Agentm,
I hold highest regard for what you bring to this forum....my small offering is only in support for the cause....you're on the mark, I don't have acccess to the "lot of data" that has resulted from EFS drilling over the last 18 months....but make do with volumes of legacy well data.

RDA, and others, try these links again....though you should be able to see the smaller jpegs I posted here earlier...


http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/index.html

http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/efs_grs_intl.html

http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/efs_toc.html

B.

 

[condog]

Agentm,
I hold highest regard for what you bring to this forum....my small offering is only in support for the cause....you're on the mark, I don't have acccess to the "lot of data" that has resulted from EFS drilling over the last 18 months....but make do with volumes of legacy well data.

RDA, and others, try these links again....though you should be able to see the smaller jpegs I posted here earlier...


http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/index.html

http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/efs_grs_intl.html

http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/efs_toc.html

B.

Have you accessed the RRC database...I would have thought that would be the place for the data you are seeking...

To others whats the news... has anyone heard anything about what AEST day are we expecting flow to sales announcment....

 

[Sean K]

Love your Signature condog!!

Not many provide good analysis and then ask for it to be tested.

Great work!!

kennas

 

[Agentm]

Agentm,
I hold highest regard for what you bring to this forum....my small offering is only in support for the cause....you're on the mark, I don't have acccess to the "lot of data" that has resulted from EFS drilling over the last 18 months....but make do with volumes of legacy well data.

RDA, and others, try these links again....though you should be able to see the smaller jpegs I posted here earlier...


http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/index.html

http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/efs_grs_intl.html

http://users.hal-pc.org/~bgroth/efs_toc.html

B.

bart

i understand, as you do, that the mapping is extremely generalised, and there are far too few datum points to get an accurate picture through out, but on a general trend, the maps follow the trends along and give great indications of where to look in some regards.. you have put some effort into it, i commend your effort.

i gather you know that some studies on the edward backreef were undertaken in the recent past.. i know that a while back one geologist has put up some interesting data about this region adi is in.. particularly the edwards backreef play

did you take data from the sturken wells in live oak. or the old butler horizontal just north of kowalik..from a few decades back.. the pogue well that tcei drilled.. or that mobil well in northern bee county??


condog

the data is very interesting, in the future as more data is presented bart will be able to map the play far more accurately.





imho you cant deny that the eagleford is indeed in play, that many of the industry giants are chasing acreages, and that the majority of people laughed themselves stupid when i first started posting about the eagleford shale.. but when the president of conocophillisp is talking up the exact same play i was talking up a few years back.. speaks for itself,,

 

[condog]

imho you cant deny that the eagleford is indeed in play, that many of the industry giants are chasing acreages, and that the majority of people laughed themselves stupid when i first started posting about the eagleford shale.. but when the president of conocophillisp is talking up the exact same play i was talking up a few years back.. speaks for itself,,

I hear what you say...its a brave move to poke your neck out...as i have done on several stock in here which i have researched thoroughly...

I commend you for your efforts, thank you for your input and admire you for your courage.... I take my hat off tou you agent.....and IMO we will all be rewarded in due time on these stocks thanks to your research and input here....

You have stared doubters in the face with shear grit and belief over a long time and its almost pay day..congrats...

 

[condog]

Hi guys can anyoneconfirm or otherwise- who Morgan 228-2 belongs to... its approved for TCEI on 5th jan 2010 and appears to be not too far from kawalik... its a bit hard to tell with some as they dont have the section numbers...its 8 miles SW of Karnes City....., Kowalik is 10 mile SW, Kennedy is 12 miles...

 

[condog]

Hi guys can anyoneconfirm or otherwise- who Morgan 228-2 belongs to... its approved for TCEI on 5th jan 2010 and appears to be not too far from kawalik... its a bit hard to tell with some as they dont have the section numbers...its 8 miles SW of Karnes City....., Kowalik is 10 mile SW, Kennedy is 12 miles...

There was some discussion on page 222 of this thread by Agent and Father ted... Is it going ahead and is it part of the JV

Or is it one of the ones that got canned because they decided to drill the other way...??

 

[Agentm]

condog

morgan is next to go.. as new permits go in i generally post info or sometimes some others see them and post them

at morgan a pad is ready on the site, built in last few weeks, fences are up around it so i think its pretty close to being capable of having heavy equipment on site..

once easley is completed, if hilcorp and tcei wish, they can move the rig there, but to date only the announcement on easley has been released

many of the permits you see there are now cancelled..

with the new designs on the wells, and with them wanting to drill with different engineering plans, they are pulling the permits, putting in new ones and going ahead with them.

 

[Tordilla Kid]

Condog,

AgentM is right, about drilling permits. Operators can amend, or just cancel 'em, and a lot of that is going on.

To answer your original question, There' a shortcut to locating wells in the TRCC site. Find the Drilling Permit (Form W-1) for either well. Where the W-1 shows the API click on the TRCC icon. It puts the API in the space for you in the GIS. Click to search by API. Then zoom out some and you'll see both Morgan 228-2 and Kowalik 228-1 in the Coy City Survey near the intersection of FM 99 and FM 626.

You can drill deeper by clicking on individual wells, but most operators don't report production right away. Plus, they can get TRCC to allow confidentiality for up to a couple years. Some will just pay a fine for not reporting. So, you can't tell a lot about new wells from the TRCC site other than location and what's approved in the permit. Like Bart9 cautioned me about his most excellent maps, TRCC info can only show general trends--particularly with new wells.

Tordilla Kid.

 

[condog]

Cheers to both

Yep had drilled doen to map previously and id'd 595 and 642 nearby, but was still uncertain on morgan ownership.... Ta both for clearing that up...
So with easley anticipated to flow around 2nd March is that when youd be anticipating start for Morgan, or could they shift rig from Kennedy much sooner??

Kowalik rig has gone elswhere I assume...