I'm still trying to decipher the latest drilling report. I have re read all the reports from start to now , and it is still not clear to me if they are talking about the 1,500 ft lateral pilot hole (ie 4600ft to 6000ft) or from around the 14,000 ft measured to 16325 ft measured mark.
at 13,835 ft measured (1000 to 1300 units , 17/9/08)
at 15,239 ft measured (2000 units , 50ft flares , 1/10/08)
at 16,178 ft measured (excess of 2000 units , 8/10/08)
at 16,325 ft measured or 4600ft lateral (2000 units , 15/10/08)
are we talking about the 1,500 ft inside these measured ranges or not.
The comparison to dual 6000 ft laterals only seems to be an indication of how Kowalik is with respect to drilling a shorter lateral and single one at that . What is it ?????
Hi Seasprite,
I believe they are saying that the 1500ft is the very last section of the Horizontal (Lateral) section of the well.If you have a look at the release they state the following:
We agree with the Operator’s interpretation that whilst approximately 4,600 feet of horizontal section was drilled in this well, it was approximately the last 1,500 feet that was drilled at a specific horizon within the upper chalk which should be pursued in subsequent wells drilled in this area of the field. This particular horizon demonstrated the gas flows and flares during drilling which are an indicator of higher permeability, usually through natural fracturing. Accordingly completion operations have focused on that 1,500 foot section.
So they found a horizon where they essentially hit the 'Sweet spot' This can also be seen from their weekly updates as below:
measured depth 15239 (Which was about 400 ft into the last 1500ft drilled)
Since the last report the well has continued to produce gas intermittently while drilling, with larger flares observed following periods of shut in when tripping to change components of the drilling assembly. The surface gas readings have averaged 2,000 units during this section.More significant gas flares including a 50 foot flare were observed while drilling the horizontal section prior to pulling out of hole.
Here we have our first indication that the readings hit over 2000 units and they encountered more significant gas flares (the first 50 foot flare was seen)
AUT also point out:
We consider it worth comparing the current production at Kowalik #1H to our analysis of recent wells drilled in analogue Austin Chalk formation in Polk and Tyler Counties in East Texas. There development operations are advanced and upwards of 100 development wells have been drilled, the majority now being dual 6,000’ lateral sections (i.e. up to 12,000’ of exposure to an established and well known reservoir). In relative terms applying a comparative rate per 1,000’ of horizontal section, we consider that the Kowalik #1H initial production represents a mid-level producer and is consistent with and within the range of productivity levels to be expected.
My take on this statement is that if they can drill a 6000ft lateral in the same horizon as the last 1500ft of Kowalik then they will have a decent producing well.
High risk / High reward, patience is hard to come by in this market and I have been in this stock for a loooong time. So very biased towards a successful outcome, but I have always been happy with the big picture and Kowalik has shown that this play extends through our acreage which is what ADI was getting at:
The present production rate of approximately 2.8 million cubic feet of gas equivalent per day is significant to the extent that it expands the area of gas and condensate productivity. Kowalik -1H is located approximately 5 km from our producing Kennedy - 1H well and 9 km from announced recent production in adjacent acreage.
So we have a lot of acreage of a play that extends between Kowalik and the Kunde / Baker wells...they just need to get into the right horizon and drill away...easier said than done it would seem, but I remain in for a while yet.
With AWE as a major shareholder of ADI they will have available all the technical info ADI is receiving. Doubt they will let their investment in ADI fall by the wayside if they think this play is the real deal...time will tell