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XAO Banter Thread

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Just reinforcing the terrible conditions for investors, the top50 are the most unloved stocks around

Yet a small cap making 5million will be up 20-30%
 
Toyota Lexcen said:
Just reinforcing the terrible conditions for investors, the top50 are the most unloved stocks around
Yet a small cap making 5million will be up 20-30%
Click to expand...

I would have called that risk on! (gold off as well)
Rolling out of fat dogs into growth, inflation and boooom..... (usually after a correction)
 
notting said:
I would have called that risk on! (gold off as well)
Rolling out of fat dogs into growth, inflation and boooom..... (usually after a correction)
Click to expand...

i think 2017 might see a better period and the XAO trend more in the range of 5600-6000,

still too many factors like the US election, europe elections, US interest rises, bank capital raising's/APRA, commodity crunch to go away
 
will be an interesting day to see if buyers come into the market

XAO is really under the control of the FED i feel, the outcome on whether they raise rates or keep them unchanged are negative for XAO,
 
looks like status quo with the fear of fed raising rates impacting market again

want to take it from 0.25->0.50, maybe same next year, going to be a long time for our market to get thru this
 
Couple of weeks? Gawd, you gotta look further ahead than a coupla weeks for a retirement fund investment. If you mean timing then I understand. My timing is terrible too.
 
Wysiwyg said:
Couple of weeks? Gawd, you gotta look further ahead than a coupla weeks for a retirement fund investment. If you mean timing then I understand. My timing is terrible too.
Click to expand...

Yes the timing, I never fail. ( or should it be always fail)
 
can only struggle for next few weeks with 3 banks reporting, US election, hysteria over Oil & Commodities, Britexit still to be resolved, Duetsche Bank

only 2 months to go for 2016 so be interesting to see who wins the comp
 
Corrective period that started 12th Aug (see: #2339) most likely close to completing. Developing triangle in XAO in my opinion will break upward to around 5800-5850 and most likely will be led by a a commodity price rise.

Could be the last push up before the larger bear that started with GFC resumes
 

Only way we see 5850 is if banks participate and thats looking unlikely medium term given earnings growth metric and the chances of another capital raise to shore up capital adequacy , definitely aint happening this year
 
Quant said:
Only way we see 5850 is if banks participate and thats looking unlikely medium term given earnings growth metric and the chances of another capital raise to shore up capital adequacy , definitely aint happening this year
Click to expand...

yes I agree Quant,

a couple of discussions in the press recently regarding capital adequacy will make it an interesting next 6 months, some banks and analysts feel that capital raising/adequacy may stop

and with the drive for growth and inflation around the world regulators (BASEL) are going to have think about it
 
Quant said:
Only way we see 5850 is if banks participate and thats looking unlikely medium term given earnings growth metric and the chances of another capital raise to shore up capital adequacy , definitely aint happening this year
Click to expand...

Taking the following weekly chart at face value (ASX200), the uptrend that started in February remains intact. As can be seen the buy and sell analysis has been very good for the last 300 weeks. Until another spike is generated to suggest the trend is at risk, then I am staying with it. If we do get another leg up to approx 5758 (or approx 5800+ for All Ords), it will most certainly be the last before the larger downtrend takes hold again and continues.

Having said that the longer term (monthly) has an active sell spike
 
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