I'm a bit of a longer term trend follower with L plates, so for me the odds favour a continuation of the down bars. But ... I've been wrong many times before.
It has taken 18 months for global markets to work out that when most Central Banks concurrently prop up their economies then "bubbles" occur, and that these will ultimately burst.
We are entering a phase where inflation is likely to be accompanied by industrial stagnation and reduced purchasing power - stagflation.
For the time being employment numbers seem to be staving off the inevitable.
But in the USA there is pressure on Congress to keep raising the debt ceiling, while Biden is struggling to get his 3 trillion stimulus package through.
These uncertainties see gold - which remains unchanged as gold no matter where you are - as a vehicle that can ride through the turmoil. The big question is whether cryptocurrencies can be seen by investors in the same light.
We gold bulls are always hopeful, but it's based on why gold has performed well in the past.
Those lessons should begin to play out again.
If they don't, then the paradigm is broken.
Around the world regulators and governments are accelerating their efforts to regulate crypto assets and displace them with digital currencies of their own.
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