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Victorian Politics



That's undeliverable mind you WA is next level crazy
 
Sorry to my Victorian friends and family, but you are a special bunch

Daniel Andrews blows $380m on Commonwealth Games cancellation

Victoria will pay $380 million compensation to the three Commonwealth Games bodies for cancelling the 2026 event but there will be other substantially higher hidden costs facing taxpayers.
And the terms of the settlement will be confidential, opening the way for significant debate about exactly what was agreed to and why.
The three key Commonwealth Games bodies and Victoria announced the payout figure on Saturday morning, which is higher than initially expected but lower than the highest estimates that were floated publicly amid the outrage over the cancellation.

East West Link: Cost of scrapping project more than $1.1 billion, auditor-general says

The cost to taxpayers of scrapping Melbourne's East West Link road project has topped $1.1 billion, Victoria's auditor-general has found.
In a scathing report tabled in Parliament, Dr Peter Frost condemned both sides of politics for wasting public money and criticised the state's public servants for sometimes failing to provide frank and fearless advice.
 
The problem in Australia IMO, is sensible objective debate and news coverage, has been hijacked by tribal politics which is just driven by emotion and zero common sense.
Australia needs a bigger middle ground, to hold both sides of politics accountable, at the moment that isn't happening.
 
Does this come under pork barreling, ICAC or just plain arrogance and not giving a $hit.


The business case for the dumped 2026 Commonwealth Games last year predicted the event would potentially fail to generate any economic benefit even before the projected cost almost tripled within 18 months.

Financial workings, released on Saturday after the government reached a $380 million settlement with Commonwealth Games organisers, reveal the Andrews government was told it might generate only 70¢ in economic benefits for every $1 invested when it signed up to host the event at regional hubs.

The figures, which sparked fresh concerns about the state’s bid, found the best-case scenario would have delivered an economic dividend of just 60¢ for every $1 spent.

Benefits the government used to justify the 2026 Commonwealth Games​

MISSING: summary MISSING: current-rows.
Benefit-cost Ratio





Benefits (NPV, 7 per cent real discount rate)Worst caseBest case
Value add from increased tourism (pre and during the Games)$298m$325m
Value add from induced tourism (post-Games)$184m$265m
Value add from increased tourism from future major events$38m$47m
Value add from induced exports$324m$377m
Value add from induced business investment$90m$120m
Social housing benefits$153m$153m
Avoided health costs and reduced productivity costs from increased physical activity$228m$352m
Consumer surplus$46m$97m
Civic pride$21m$38m
Increased volunteerism$9m$9m
Total benefits$1390m$1782m

 

Who said it was about economic benefit? It was always about winning regional votes, and it worked.

The majority of Victorian’s are either socialist or gullible ?
 
They knew it wasn't a goer but it was much worse than predicted. Too many people wanted it to happen and E&Y were put in charge of estimating it and got it completely wrong. I will give points to the government for pulling out and getting pilloried as a result but this is a disaster.

Too much group think, lack of rigour and an over reliance on accounting firms when they should have been using estimating firms and engineering firms to work this out.

Heads should roll. The sports/ events minister should have resigned. Chosen heir, the deputy premier, Jacinta Allen has her hands all over this and has shown she is not fit to be a future leader.
E&Y should return their fees.
 
Too much group think, lack of rigour and an over reliance on accounting firms when they should have been using estimating firms and engineering firms to work this out.
This is a problem with government overall.

The accounting and consulting firms are seen as gods meanwhile, depending on the subject, engineers, ecologists, doctors, geologists, logistics experts and countless other professions, trades and others who know what needs to happen are sidelined.

That's why so many things keep going wrong.

There's a place for accounting but it's not the answer to everything as government seems to think it is.
 
Two interesting things for those of us spending our days in Victoria.
1. A Labour MP, Will Fowles is being investigated over sexual assault allegations, nd has been forced off the front bench and out of the part.

There has been nothing from the #metoo movement, nothing from the sisters who said that parliament is cesspit of sexual deviants, and Louse Milligan has yet to tweet about the blokes guilt. Nothing from Grace Tame, Miss Higgins, or even lisa Wilkinson.
Now why would that be?
2. John Pesutto has been saying to "liberals across the country that they can win" after the Liberal party took a resounding win in the Warrandyte by-election with the libs candidate Nicole Werner picking up 58% of first preferences, and a whopping 70% on a two party preferred basis.
The fact that there was no Labour candidate to face off against did not seem to dampen his enthusiasm.
The second most popular person was a greens candidate.
Not exactly what i would call a ringing endorsement, and will be almost impossible not to have a swing against her at the next real election.
But I guess he has to find positives.
Mick
 
Looks like we are in for some interesting times if these recommendations get through, different rules for different people.

Department of families, fairness and housing

(The) department … must ensure that:

  • all incoming child protection staff, as part of their pre-service education, complete cultural awareness and human and cultural rights training covering issues including:
  • the history of colonisation and in particular the impact of ‘protection’ and assimilation policies
  • the continuing systemic racism and paternalism inherent in child protection work today that must be identified, acknowledged and resisted
  • the value of First Peoples family and child rearing practice
  • upholding human rights including Aboriginal cultural rights, and
  • the strength of First Peoples families and culture and culturally appropriate practices
  • all child protection staff and Department executives undertake regular, mandatory cultural safety training, to be designed and delivered by a Victorian First Peoples business or consultants on a paid basis
Police
The Victorian government must establish and adequately resource a new independent police oversight authority … The new authority must:

  • have powers to arrest, search property and compel the production of information including from Victoria Police, and
  • include a dedicated division for complaints from First Peoples that is under First Peoples leadership.
Access to pre-charge cautions in the adult criminal legal system in appropriate cases should be increased by all necessary legislative, administrative and others means including by:
  • legislating a positive duty upon Victoria Police to:
  • take into account an Aboriginal person’s unique background and systemic factors when making decisions on cautioning or diversion
The following mandatory criteria must be introduced for the selection and appointment of the chief commissioner of police and when undertaking annual executive performance reviews of the commissioner:
  • knowledge, experience, skills and commitment to changing the mindset and culture of Victoria Police, to end systemic racism and to ensure the human rights of First Peoples are respected, protected and promoted in all aspects of police operation.
Justice system

The Victorian government must:

  • amend the Sentencing Act to require courts to, in appropriate cases, consider alternatives to imprisonment for all offenders, with particular attention to the circumstances of Aboriginal offenders.
  • where appropriate decriminalise offences linked with disadvantage arising from poverty, homelessness, disability, mental ill-health and other forms of social exclusion.

 

From the article:
The recommendations are aimed at addressing a national tragedy in which Aboriginal men are 13.6 times as likely than non-Aboriginal men to be in prison and Aboriginal children over-represented in the child-protection system by a rate of 11 to one.

Maybe it will help?
 

Yeah, it is the system that is 100% at fault. Nothing to do with dysfunctional families, alcohol and drugs.

Let’s design a multi-tier society, where race dictates the status of the person and their legal rights.
 
Reading George Orwell should be made compulsory for the Victorian political elite.

 
Dan the Man, sounds like he has pulled the ripcord.
Well someone's inherited a mess, interesting times, housing mess, electricity mess, State debt mess.
State politics are starting to look like FMG, a revolving door of senior executives, interesting times, it gives one a feeling the smart ones know when to get out.
Anyone guess what the common denominator is yet? The light is obviously dawning and the vision must be scary and big.



Daniel Andrews will step down as Victorian premier after nine years in power, announcing he will resign from the job and as member for Mulgrave on Tuesday.
The premier made the announcement on Tuesday afternoon at a snap press conference organised with just 40 minutes’ notice.
 
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Yes when you hear the size of their debt, then add to it the cost of the transition to renewables, the housing issue and the mass influx of immigrants adding to the social housing pressure and they all consume electricity.
Then look at the size of the tax base that has to grunt it and it all starts to look like a serious funding shortfall, that's from a back of the napkin approach.

It is starting to look like the GST might be a topic of conversation, while they have a full house of labor across the country, because every State seems to be suffering from the same issue, large looming energy and housing costs and no large looming tax take to cover it.

Stamp duty must be just about maxed out, payroll tax is likely to be dropping if unemployment falls, GST take will be dropping as shoppers tighten their belts, it is doubtful they will pass on all the energy costs to consumers, as that would be admitting it is a bit of a chaotic transition.

So AirBnB tax, well that's ashtray money, EV road tax another pittance plus the EV adoption increase adds extra pressure on the energy sector, which it looks like they are also going to have to give direct subsidies to.

Interesting times ahead. McGowan bailed, Andrews bailed, two of the leading lights, they aren't old and are at the top of their game electorate wise.
 
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Interesting times ahead. McGowan bailed, Andrews bailed,at the top of their game electorate wise.
And Peter Gutwein in Tazzy also.
All 3 would easily win an election if held at the time of the resignation. Rarely have so may pollies retired on top.

9 years for Andrews, winning each election by more than the previous one. I blame Peta Credlin and brownshirts and the Usa style conspiracy crazies for making him stronger.
 
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