Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Ukraine War

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Garpal Gumnut said:
I must admit that your summary is compelling, however if I were ole Xi, this what I would do.
  • Continue to threaten Taiwan and develop weapons and alliances in the South China Sea and Pacific to keep the US distracted.
  • Allow Putin to become exhausted and Russia to be neutralised by NATO and the US.
  • Invade Siberia and Russian East across the Amur river and annex Siberia and the Kurils with Sakhalin Oblast.
Eastern Russia is wasted on the Russians who are feckless and operating as they were under the Romanovs over 100 years ago. It is a feudal, sparsely populated area adjacent to Chinese northern provinces wherin vodka and thuggery is the currency as opposed to a thriving large Chinese population in what used be Manchuria.

There is bad history going back over a thousand years between China and Russia, and China has a huge population who could exploit the riches of Eastern Russia better than has been the case under Czarist or USSR control.

You heard it here first.

gg
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It won't be a war. China will set it up as a mutual economic zone. Putin will have weakened Russia so much by then that Russia will have to agree.
 
So EU/NATO alliance (with Turkey granting the "green light" for both Finland & Sweden to join NATO) now essentially have a close proximity "stranglehold military circle" around Russia - my guess is that Putin going to step up/activate "nuclear threat in the region" imo
 
Telamelo said:
So EU/NATO alliance (with Turkey granting the "green light" for both Finland & Sweden to join NATO) now essentially have a close proximity "stranglehold military circle" around Russia - my guess is that Putin going to step up/activate "nuclear threat in the region" imo
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Yes, he's said he'd do something like that or move some launchers to Kaliningrad. This is a risky game of chicken.
 
Sean K said:
Yes, he's said he'd do something like that or move some launchers to Kaliningrad. This is a risky game of chicken.
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Putin is a KGB thug, and a survivor. He has children, probably the only reason he wouldn't use even "limited" nukes.

The Western leaders and China realise this.

He will back down.

You heard it here first.

gg
 
Garpal Gumnut said:
Putin is a KGB thug, and a survivor. He has children, probably the only reason he wouldn't use even "limited" nukes.

The Western leaders and China realise this.

He will back down.

You heard it here first.

gg
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Sorry GG I respectfully disagree with you re: Putin will back down

No chance of this ever happening as it would spell/signify the end of Russia - Putin ain't going down without a huge fight/war imo
 
Telamelo said:
Sorry GG I respectfully disagree with you re: Putin will back down

No chance of this ever happening as it would spell/signify the end of Russia - Putin ain't going down without a huge fight/war imo
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He has run out of bully rhetoric.

Nobody believes him, even his Ch01 propaganda orcs on Russian TV.

Only way to deal with a bully is confront and destroy him.

Even the Western Alliance, sooks that they are, now realise this.

gg
 
Garpal Gumnut said:
Putin is a KGB thug, and a survivor. He has children, probably the only reason he wouldn't use even "limited" nukes.

The Western leaders and China realise this.

He will back down.

You heard it here first.

gg
Click to expand...

Agreed. There would have been some behind the scenes discussions with Russian military and diplomats - 'if you use nuclear weapons the retaliation will be like for like on all Russian hierarchy, assets and family.'
 
Something kicks off with China in Taiwan or pacific while NATO are massing against Russia and we are in WWIII.
 
Telamelo said:
So EU/NATO alliance (with Turkey granting the "green light" for both Finland & Sweden to join NATO) now essentially have a close proximity "stranglehold military circle" around Russia - my guess is that Putin going to step up/activate "nuclear threat in the region" imo
Click to expand...
let's put in terms you might understand. A bully in the playground takes your cricket bat, so other kids gather around and help you get it back.
 
Dona Ferentes said:
let's put in terms you might understand. A bully in the playground takes your cricket bat, so other kids gather around and help you get it back.
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Have you ever stopped to consider that most of the world's population would have reason to consider the West as the world's bully.

That may come as a shock to you as it would take a moment of self reflection.
 
3 hound said:
Have you ever stopped to consider that most of the world's population would have reason to consider the West as the world's bully.

That may come as a shock to you as it would take a moment of self reflection.
Click to expand...

ah the self hating from the youtube education generation. If the west is so bad why are you still here? plenty of 3rd world heavens waiting with open arms and offering a better life
 
3 hound said:
Have you ever stopped to consider that most of the world's population would have reason to consider the West as the world's bully.
Click to expand...
Most of the world's population?.... The ones in trucks on the Mexico/ US border, those in boats crossing the Med, the 200K that went out of Russia in the week after 24 Feb. Don't notice much flow the other way. Maybe Snowden is a hero, or Assange?
 
againsthegrain said:
ah the self hating from the youtube education generation. If the west is so bad why are you still here? plenty of 3rd world heavens waiting with open arms and offering a better life
Click to expand...

Low IQ response to be honest.

Do you believe in this war enough to go fight in it or you do you just want to see what market opportunities it creates?
 

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