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Ukraine War

Further on the idea that the whole process was built on bribes comes this from Washington Examiner
Thanks Mick,

The only thing I would add is that this form of "business" is de rigeur in Russia.

Skimming starts at the top and goes all the way down from the FSB to the company that makes their version of Tim Tams.

It starts with Putin at the top.

It does however provide an easy excuse to get rid of a smaller enemy or miscreant.

Just accuse them of embezzlement. It will work 100% of the time because the whole economy runs on it.

gg
 
If indeed much of this is true, Putin should be very very worried.
The underlings will see that the leader has been humilitaed along with his intelligence force, the military, and the nation in general.
So how long before they turn on him?
I reckon his days are numbered.
Mick
 
Thanks Mick,

The only thing I would add is that this form of "business" is de rigeur in Russia.
And not a good way to mount an invasion. Assemble troops and tanks at the border, tell them it's an exercise and not much else, let them sit for a month and what do they do? Sell fuel to the locals.
Then the word comes to move out, and how far do they get?

The destruction of the spetsnaz forces must rankle
 
Could already be a done thing. Like you say, just a question of when as per: How Russia Will Die. This was posted on 26 Mar 2022 and another fantastic and very informative expose by the well regarded Peter Ziehan.

The Youtube clip is an excerpt from a Podcast with Jordan Harbinger.


 
Interesting @Craton . Of course the west is aiding Ukraine. I would expect nothing less. It's less 'covert' than a brief on the current situation.
 
Kursk is just 'up the road' less than 200km from Kharkiv. The Battle for Kursk was a defining point on the Eastern front. I suspect Russian tactics are little changed.
 
apologies if it has been posted before, but do you reckon this guy still has a job? (from 22 Feb)


 
Having seen the spectacle of that security meeting, geez, didn’t that demonstrate the strangle hold Putin has over his Siloviki?
The fear on their faces was hard to hide because they all knew, the broadcasting of them giving support for the invasion made them all culpable and accountable. No way they can say they didn’t support it.
 
Interesting @Craton . Of course the west is aiding Ukraine. I would expect nothing less. It's less 'covert' than a brief on the current situation.
Did u see that vid showing Russian hand grenade booby traps in civilian homes and anti personnel mine hiding in a shopping bag?

This is not a combatant conflict but out and out terrorism, designed to place fear and terror on the Ukrainian people.

The “current situation” started with that sacked ex president of Ukraine fleeing the country back in 2013. As he did so he asked Putin to send in the Russian Forces hence, Crimea was annexed.
Of course there is a lot more to that sacking.

Regardless, the Ukrainian’s have been in armed conflict with Russia ever since and without a resolution, was bound to escalate as we have witnessed.

BTW. That ex prez, now living in exile in Russia, in 2019 was convicted of treason by the Ukrainian courts.
 
From Liveuamap within last 12hr. Click on "Jump to map" for more info. re. the conflict

Vice PM of Ukraine: despite agreements Russian military not allowed evacuation from Mariupol today

Also reported:

In Kharkiv region Sercurity Service of Ukraine found warehouse with ammunition and spare parts for military vehicles worth $200M

Russian sabre rattling...

Russia test-launched Sarmat ICBM from Plesetsk

Sarmat test as reported by Reuters:

Russia tests nuclear-capable missile that Putin calls world's best​

 
Putin finally gets it right.

Attempting to fight the last 2000 Ukrainian soldiers in the tangled mess of the steelworks would be a tactical disaster. I'm guessing the estimated losses of soldiers would be at least 5000 - if they could get them to actually fight. It wouldn't surprise me if the frank advice was that the experienced soldiers, the conscripts or any officers would not have the stomach for a meat grinder attack.

I came across an excellent analysis of urban warfare. Worth checking out if anyone is interested in the topic.

The Eight Rules of Urban Warfare and Why We Must Work to Change Them


John Spencer | 01.12.21



From October 16, 2016 to January 4, 2017, US-backed Iraqi security forces conducted a full-scale city attack to liberate Mosul from the Islamic State. The operation was the largest conventional land battle since the attack on Baghdad during the US-led invasion in 2003 and one of the most destructive urban fights in modern history involving Western forces. The battle saw a force of over one hundred thousand attacking somewhere between five and twelve thousand enemy fighters defending the city. The nine-month battle is reported to have killed over ten thousand civilians, caused an estimated two billion dollars in damage to the city, created ten million tons of debris, and displaced over 1.8 million of the city’s residents.

This type of high-cost, high-risk operation—the city attack—will continue to increase in frequency unless the rules of modern urban warfare are addressed in a deliberate manner. In other words, the limitations characterizing the conduct of urban warfare must be overcome.

..Urban warfare has its own rules. In large-scale combat operations to liberate an enemy city today, those are rules that most if not all militaries have allowed to remain in place since World War II. These rules give great advantages to a defending force and make it an attractive option for militaries, insurgents, and terrorists who are weaker than their opponents. Until these game rules are changed (through a major change in tactics, technology, or weapons), the tendency of comparatively weaker actors seeking refuge and advantage in cities—and the damage caused in their liberation—will only continue.

 
Am assuming you're referring to the "How Russia Will Die" clip. Yes, op ed and as mentioned an extract from a Podcast with Jordan Harbinger.

I like that Peter gives the good and bad, very apt because the future is unknown. He encapsulates the broadest spectrum of important issues and factors into a coherent dialogue on the issue at hand. Don't get me wrong, I do not agree with all he has to say but to me, Peter is very insightful and spells it all out in a way that resonates.
 
An interesting sideline developing overnight in Russia.
From Zero Hedge
Coincidence that two major fires occur within hours of each other, or was it sabotage?
Who knows, but I am sure the various players will put their spin on it.
Mick
 
This is very funny in a number of ways. Steal airpods and let the opposition know of troop movements.

 
PS, I finally listened to that Peter Zeihan op ed piece. ... a bit of a curator's egg, IMO
Belongs in a museum?
Rather than with the clergy who can cure it?

On topic, aren't the Ukranians doing well? Of course we would rather they were Iraqi or Afghani so we could get in there and help out, but they have our blessing. And as much as we would like to offer fighter planes, they only asked us for Bushmen, so we are all good!
Who mentioned Mariupol? Fair suck, the Chinese are about to invade us from the Solomons so we have a lot on our plate right now. Anyway, the Russians seem to have done a pretty good job liberating the Ukrainians, mostly from their homes mind you, and we are really thankful they are still sending their oil and gas to needy nations.
 
Perhaps we should be full tilt into building nuke bunkers and to do it properly, let's ask the Ukrainians stuck in Mariupol for blueprints, plans and pointers for said bunkers and hunkering down tactics.

Cheers for the tongue-in-cheek though, needed a tad of stress relief.

BOT (back on topic).
I really should start to refer to this conflict as a Defacto or, more aptly, a Clayton's WW3. The world war you're having when you're not having a world war.
I'm mean really, it is in a sense a World War. The world sanctions, the material and $$$ being sent from all over the world to fight the aggressor in a typical us against them scenario. The only thing missing, NATO and West militaries upon Ukrainian land, sea and air.

Of course no one (in the West) wants an all out war and so we ply Ukraine with the means and material to repel the aggressor. From that, we all see the price of freedom and the Ukrainians continue to show us how to pay and what the cost truly is. It is this fact that endears and bonds us so strongly with Ukraine.

I ask myself, if Australia faced such an aggressor would we be the same, standing tall, standing as one, being brave and courageous and proudly fighting for our freedom and our country?
Rhetorical question because I'm certain a lot of people across the planet have asked the very same of their homeland.
 
If Ukraine is the new normal then we avert a real WWIII by never assisting any nation which is being attacked by a country possessing global nuclear strike capability.
In that context Taiwan would be hung out to dry and so would Australia.
 
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