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The state of the economy at the street level

Well put it this way, a mate told me to drop in at his uncles place to pick up some fruit, when the wife and I were doing a road trip.
His uncle only exported his fruit, well long story short, we were meant to take it back home, but ate it all on the way, absolutely unbelievably tasty.
 
Supply issues, when you source everything from a small centralised number of supppliers, is hitting W.A retailers.

 
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The SMH giving a stark reminder of the state of the economy at street level.


Working Australians suffered the biggest
Increase in average tax rates in the developed world with the end of the low- and middle-income tax offset and bracket creep, just as an unusual mix of petrol, cooking oil, bread and insurance combined to drive up the cost of living.
 
Nah listen to labour, we all have tax cuts, they said it on their radio ads yesterday..., and 10% of each inflationary rise is straight to the ATO coffers .
 

RBA to lift cash rate to 5.1pc, says top forecaster​




There is data trending in the right direction to semi support this view although IB futures are as dynamic and mean reverting as anything out there , atm we are seeing just a hint of a hike starting to be priced with the terminal rate now above the present cash rate for the first time in many months . The chart posted here is the projected terminal rate change in Sept as priced by IB futurtes , this chart is a little delayed with current pricing at +3 bps terminal rate in sept compared to the -50bps of cuts priced 2 months ago . Dec '24 getting closer to a full rate hike priced .

 
T
Ten year bonds are trending up.
 
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