Alternatively, people are simply recognising that Mr Abbott's performance is woefully lacking.
At the same time, however much the electorate wants to be rid of the government, it needs a valid reason to vote for the opposition. There is simply little evidence of this at present.
It seems that Tony Abbott gained so well on the basis of his dire predictions about the carbon tax. But now that people are perceiving this to be less than catastrophic, he has little else to offer.
He also looks pretty silly talking about 'big new taxes' when he plans to tax business for his ridiculously generous maternity scheme.
Of course it's a popularity contest. Why else would both sides be directing all their efforts into discrediting the competition? Why else would Labor have imported McTernan from the UK to direct their spin?
And if that were to be wrong, and in fact voters were sitting down and seriously only considering the policies offered by each side (ignoring the awkwardness and silly comments of both Abbott and Hockey), they'd be pretty hard pressed to come up with anything serious from the Libs. Even the "turn back the boats" is looking pretty hollow in the face of Indonesia's reluctance to co-operate with this. Why should they? They don't want asylum seekers adding to their already considerable problems in Indonesia. The more who leave for Australia, the better for Indonesia, surely?
Absolutely true. But it's working and if it continues to work amongst enough people, and if Tony Abbott continues to fail to come up with a counter strategy, it could well see us with another four years of Labor.