Trembling Hand
Can be found on the bid
- Joined
- 10 June 2007
- Posts
- 8,852
- Reactions
- 205
In these periods growth flows from a sector out to the general economy as a whole whether it be techno change, demographic change or just good old fashion money printing
So in a deflation/risk averse phase, growth flows from a sector out to the general economy?
What does that actually mean?
No no. I haven't set out very well what I was getting at there.
Two things,
1. It anit that hard to see when we are in asset inflation/risk taking phase to asset deflation/risk averse phase. The cause of each is in part irrelevant more important to recognise each phase and the possible change.
2. You don't have to pick the winner. When we are in the asset inflation/risk taking phase you don't have to be directly linked to what is causing the asset inflation/risk taking phase. You don't have to be in the specific game/sector. You don't have to sit back trying to be always right. Money flows from that boom into the economy generally. I made money out of the late 90s tech/housing boom by being in a bakery business of all things . You could just pick $100 notes off the ground that had fallen out of the pockets of those that were involved directly. I didn't pick the winners I just got myself positioned to let their successes flow to me.
Very uncomplicated.