Australian (ASX) Stock Market Forum

Retail Wreckage

For what it is worth, my son in his 20s never listens to radio, always on Spotify.
Never watching TV either
I still listen to radio but gave up on tv..netflix
In the car is the only placeI I listen to it. Younger kids just Bluetooth their phones to the radio. Funny, my wife was just complaining about all the ads on radio.
 
Something I'm wondering about is the mainstream media?

Printed newspapers and magazines are stuffed as a business and TV isn't doing much better, radio's the only form of traditional media that seems to still have much of its relevance intact although even that has reduced to some extent.

If there's a broader economic contraction with retail then doesn't that mean less advertising? Will that push one of the TV networks over the edge into collapse for example?
:2twocents
The T.V model will change IMO, ATM they rely on advertising money to survive, in the future this will be a supported by a subscription model.
Once the NBN is completely rolled out, the T.V networks will move the high margin content onto it.
It will be legislated they have to keep one channel on free to air, eg 2,7,9,10, but the remainder 7mate, etc will be pay to view over the cable.
This will have a two fold effect, one those who don't want or use the internet, still get 'some' free to air and secondly it frees up more bandwidth that can be sold into 5G.
The pay to view model will reduce the pressure on the T.V stations to fight with the online competition for advertising dollars and it becomes a 'user pays' system.
They don't put a sign in the top left hand corner of your T.V, saying "Live and Free" for nothing, it is telling you one of the two is going to disappear my guess is the "Free" bit.
That will be another reason the 'service' charge is going to happen, because when the T.V stations move to that model a lot of people will say, "stuff it I will go wireless and disconnect the NBN.
Like I've always said, the NBN always was a disgrace, the telecommunications companies should have had to put it in, all that has happened is we have been made to pay for the rod that they will whip our backs with.:mad:
Just my opinion.
 
Again another couple of examples of the changing demographics and tastes of the next generation, we have mentioned that the snob value that the baby boomers placed on some things has changed with following generations, this is having an effect on what they buy.
Unless the retail sector adjusts very quickly, there will be a lot of pain associated with retail.

https://www.heraldsun.com.au/motori...d/news-story/aa629193c7dc55822992196608c5f73d

https://www.wsj.com/articles/harley...orcycle-sales-in-u-s-11580215262?page=1&pos=1

Good articles sptrawler, I think you are right about that, i.e. the peak of automotive sales. I am intrigued by all the new cars on the road and hardly any older cars unless it is some collectible or an old muscle car driven by an enthusiast. If you simplify it down, if everybody has bought a new car and they don't plan to replace it straight away (at least hold it for 5 to 10 years), then it's likely there will be a glut of new cars at showrooms and dealers. There will be a few fleet and business vehicle sales but perhaps not the mass general public buying frenzy, hence possibly reaching the peak.
 
I see that the inevitable has happened and K&D Warehouse in Hobart is closing.

It's not a business collapse, they've sold the site (an entire block in the CBD) for redevelopment so it's a planned exit, but it's somewhat a "how not to" lesson in running a business.

K&D's history goes back to 1902 but the point of significance is that the Warehouse was opened ~9 years before another company, Bunnings, decided to adopt the same concept for retailing hardware in Australia.

Had K&D aggressively expanded at the time, they could easily have ended up as a national chain indeed they did at the peak have multiple stores in Tas and a few in Victoria. Reality though is that Bunnings did it better and expanded far more aggressively. End result is there's at least 3 Bunnings stores in Hobart (well, there were 3 when I left Tas in 2018 so I assume there's still 3) and plenty of others around the state and around the country but K&D is now kaput.

Moral of the story - if you've got an idea that nobody else is doing then act quickly before someone else gains a foothold. :2twocents
 
The Bunnings, Wesfarmers story, is an amazing read, they have been a great investment, from Franked Income Fund to Wesfarmers great investment. Still hold and probably always will, I can't see the catch.com purchase being a backward step either.:xyxthumbs
https://www.bunnings.com.au/about-us/history

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wesfarmers

Interesting sptrawler. What do you think about the Wesfarmers Ltd (WES) decision to spin off Coles supermarket chain, currently trading as Coles Group Ltd (COL) ? Is it to get out of supermarket retail due to too much competition (Coles +Woolies +Aldi +IGA +Costco / (-ve Kaufland)) ?
 
Interesting sptrawler. What do you think about the Wesfarmers Ltd (WES) decision to spin off Coles supermarket chain, currently trading as Coles Group Ltd (COL) ? Is it to get out of supermarket retail due to too much competition (Coles +Woolies +Aldi +IGA +Costco / (-ve Kaufland)) ?
I think WES spun it off as there is very little room for rapid growth in that space, as you say there is a lot of competition, it is low margin and has big overheads. By the way I still have the COL shares.
The purchase of catch.com probably has more upside, with much smaller overheads and a much smaller workforce.
How they grow catch will be interesting, but it should intergrate with K Mart, Bunnings, Target etc with the click and collect pickup facility.
However online is also becoming crowded, 25 million population isn't a large population to support all these retailers.
 
Toll was hacked and they didn't pay the ransom. A lot of people not getting their deliveries (me included).
 
Toll was hacked and they didn't pay the ransom. A lot of people not getting their deliveries (me included).
Japan Post wont be happy, I wonder if the I.T system came with TOLL, or Japan Post put their own in when they bought Toll out?
 
Off topic and just my opinion: Should not pay ransom as it sets the example of giving into evil monsters of the society. Same with hackers/kidnappers/catfishers. Should make it ABSOLUTE law to get these monsters to pay a minimum of 10x of the amount asked as ransom if they are caught. Could be higher than 10x (+very long jail sentence) if ransom is asked for kidnapping kids etc (imagine the pain and suffering and worry of being assaulted/raped of your child through the whole ordeal !!)
 
George Calombaris' ailing food empire came crashing down on Monday with restaurants closed, administrators appointed and the celebrity chef's Toorak mansion put on the market
https://www.theage.com.au/national/...is-food-empire-collapses-20200210-p53zgl.html

Calombaris said he was "gutted" by what had happened to his business and apologised to his family, friends, staff, 400 of which will lose their jobs, and customers.
The administrators cited difficult trading conditions – in the wake of the company being rocked by a major underpayment scandal – as a reason for the collapse of the business.

Employees will be paid all entitlements owed, the administrators said.
 
Off topic and just my opinion: Should not pay ransom as it sets the example of giving into evil monsters of the society. Same with hackers/kidnappers/catfishers. Should make it ABSOLUTE law to get these monsters to pay a minimum of 10x of the amount asked as ransom if they are caught. Could be higher than 10x (+very long jail sentence) if ransom is asked for kidnapping kids etc (imagine the pain and suffering and worry of being assaulted/raped of your child through the whole ordeal !!)
Unfortunately in Western Society today, there is very little respect for anything, so I think these problems are going to get worse before they get better. That is if they get better at all?
Just take our media, they constantly harass anyone over anything be it a personality a politician, the royal family, respect is the last thing on anyone's mind.
Just my opinion.
 
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